Real Estate Agent · Vineyard, UT · Member since 2020 · 14 posts · 1 vote
I read an Article and it kind of made me think twice about buying a rental property anytime soon. Since I'm new to the game and live in a place called Utah where we live in a bubble that has a 55K unit housing shortage. We haven't really seen rents go down or any of the houses lasting on the market more than a few days. Is there really going to be a drop in the rental market going on?
@Bradley G Fagg Agree with the others. Real estate is very regional.
I don’t think you can take what’s going on in San Francisco or Silicon Valley (two places mentioned in that article), and make any sort of accurate comparison with what’s going on in Utah.
I live a short drive from both San Francisco and Silicon Valley, but outside the Bay Area. And I’m seeing the exact opposite of what’s mentioned in that article. (I’m actually RAISING rents.)
Point is, you have to know your local market and you definitely can’t base your decisions on what’s going on in some other market/state.
Real Estate Agent · Sammamish, 🌧️ Seattle Investor-Agent | 🤑 Helped 400+ Clients Invest in Real Estate | 🏘️ Owns 23 WA Rentals & Airbnbs | 🏗️ Built 5 DADU's | 📈 You Can Do It Too · Member since 2016 · 725 posts · 3k+ votes
Seattle is pretty stable. The only rents I've seen decreasing are in the downtown core for large apartment complexes and condo's - in all the neighborhoods outside of downtown rents remain steady or increase. Home prices are up around 10% YoY here in Seattle and projected to increase another 6-10% in 2021. There continue to be massive net-inflows of residents to the city and suburbs.
All rentals I've listed since Covid have had multiple applicants. I've never seen so many people lining up to invest in the Greater Seattle Metro. I think a downturn will come at some point, but there's a lot of momentum pushing rents and prices higher right now.
@Dan Worontzoff, I agree with what @Michael Haas mentioned above. Aside from the Central Business District (CBD) area, rentals are pretty stable. Even when someone got impacted by Covid, we connected them with assistance programs to keep getting the rent.
We were just discussing this topic here in this thread. Feel free to get a look:
Personally, I've been raising rents here in Toledo for every vacant unit I've had and there has still been a ton of interest. The rental market here is very strong overall, but we are not a destination city, just a good ol' Midwestern city.
It's all location and what industries you have in the area. Grand Forks, ND is stable after taking a hit two years ago due to overbuilding apartments and condos. Covid has had minimal effect due to a large University population. Students still need a place to live even if they attend classes via computer. Some trade businesses have closed but others have taken their places. More restraunts have closed than usual, but that doesn't seem to effect the need to live locally and rent an apartment. More people are grouping together in multi-family dwellings. 4 BR Duplex are holding steady.
We raised rents on 3 our properties in Arizona (2 in Surprise and 1 in Peoria) an average of 12.35%. All 3 were lease renewals. Also, leased up a new build that we just acquired for over $250 more than I projected when running initial comps.
@Dan Worontzoff: I own 250+ units in A, B and C class properties, SFH and MFR, in CA, TX, and OH. I also invest passively in AZ, FL, GA, TX and NC.
We have seen steady rental increases across the board throughout the pandemic. The few assets that I've seen any kind of distress at all have been c-class assets in tertiary markets, and even then it hasn't been that bad.
I know that San Francisco and NYC have been hit, but they seem to be the exception, as they were already hyper inflated, and they lost some of their value proposition during the pandemic.
This is going to be very location specific, but also it will depend on which part of the rental market you service. Almost all of my rents are between $700-1300 per month. I am generally feeling that rents are stable here in the Berwyn and Cicero area outside of Chicago. I am sure the A class down town apartments are hurting, but more affordable housing seems to be unaffected.
NYC rents have tanked. With no entertainment there is a lot of vacancy. For studios and 1br that’s I’ve looked at - maybe a 20 percent decrease in rent, some with broker fees waived or a month free.
Rents in downtown Chicago high rises are being squeezed. I don't know if it's a 20% decrease but management companies and landlords are providing incentives that didn't exist one year ago.
@Bradley G Fagg I agree that this is entirely by location. I'm not seeing the need in Cincinnati to drop rents.
There are still plenty of working/paying tenants looking for a nice place to live. I raised rents from $350-$650 and did an eviction in the middle of the CDC moratorium.
May be unrelated to most of you, but interesting on this topic... I currently live in a popular tourist city in Mexico (w/ a lot of American investments). My upscale condominium is owned by a large hotel chain, and they have given us 50% off rent since last March. Can't complain as I'm currently the renter, haha.
I'm an investor and realtor in the Greater Peoria (IL) area. I've seen rents stay steady and even increase in some areas. In our brokerage alone, we've seen people coming from out of state to get the affordable cost of living, and I've had a huge uptick of out-of-state investors buying homes in the Greater Peoria Area that have great ROI's. Our property management team is turning away possible tenants for certain areas because we have no vacancies - they're being rented out crazy fast!
Still seeing normal 2-5% increases in tier 3/4 cities like Rochester, NY / Huntsville, AL / Charlottesville, VA. Tier 2 is prob tough for new investments right now with rent dropping and purchase price increases (i.e. Boston)
My advice would be to still buy, just buy smart. In the market I'm in, Atlanta, there is no shortage of people needing a place to stay. Given the times we're in does it mean that rates won't INCREASE as much as they would've otherwise? Maybe. But a decrease is not really likely so long as you're in anything close to a major city or suburb area.
I can only imagine there is a decline in rental rates in a area where there is a decline in a general desire to live.