@Francis Bernadel many thoughts:
1) NEVER buy a property you can't inspect somehow!
- You're a newbie, you have no idea what to look for or understand what can go wrong.
- I've been doing this for 25+ years and still get inspections - unless buying a trainwreck super cheap.
- If house 25+ years old AWAYS get the sewer line scoped! Can be VERY expensive to repair.
2) Going to guess you're using the wrong type of agent.
- 95%+ agents only know how to do owner-occupied transactions. These are EMOTIONALLY-BASED transactions and agents learn how to read and even manipulate emotions to make sales happen and earn commission.
- Don't fall for all the agents claiming to be "investor-friendly" as most only really mean they are "commission-friendly" and are part of the 95%+ mentioned above.
- You want a true INVESTOR-EXPERIENCED agent that can prove they either own rentals or have helped several investors in the past. They should be able to discuss ROI, cash-on-cash, etc. metrics with you!
3) Evictions - how long do you think it takes, on average, to evict a tenant in the State of NY? You may want to chat with @Matthew Irish-Jones
4) Property Classes - so important to understand these!
- Up until around 2018 you could buy a Class A property and cashflow immediately.
- Could do the same with Class B up until around 2022.
- Now you have to buy Class C to cashflow immediately - but no one is telling newbie investors this! Newbies are buying Class C rentals expecting Class A results:(
Recommend you first figure out the property Class you want to invest in, THEN figure out the corresponding location/neighborhoods to invest in.
Why is Property Class so important for investors to understand and apply in their investing strategies?
Because the Property Class dictates the Class of the tenant pool that the property will attract.
The Tenant Class greatly impacts rental income stability and property maintenance/damage by tenants.
Both Property Class and Tenant Class affect what type of contractors, handymen and property management companies will work on a property.
If you buy & renovate a property in Class D area to Class A standards, what Tenant Class will rent it?
Or, if you put several Class D tenants in a Class A four-plex, what do you think will happen to the property?
So, if you fail to apply the correct assumptions to a property, your expectations won’t be met and it may even be a financial disaster.
We use the following to rank Property Classes, in order of importance:
- Property Tenant Pool: closely linked to location, but not always.
- Property Location: closely linked to tenant pool, but not always.
- Property Condition & Amenities: it’s important to, “Maintain to the Neighborhood.”
Key metrics for each Property Class:
Class A Properties:
Tenant Pool: Majority of FICO scores 680+, no convictions/evictions in last 7 years.
Tenant Default: 0-5% probability of eviction or early lease termination.
Section 8: Class A rents are too high and won’t be approved.
Vacancies: 5-10%, depending on market conditions.
Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, 3-5 years for positive cashflow, but you get highest relative rent & value appreciation.
Class B Properties:
Tenant Pool: Majority of FICO scores 620-680, some blemishes, no convictions/evictions in last 5 years.
Tenant Default: 5-10% probability of eviction or early lease termination.
Vacancies: 10-15%, depending on market conditions.
Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, 1-3 years for positive cashflow, balanced amounts of relative rent & value appreciation.
Section 8: Class B rents are usually too high for the Section 8 program.
Class C Properties:
Tenant Pool: Majority of FICO scores 560-620, many blemishes, but should have no convictions/evictions in last 3 years. Verifying recent 2-years of rental history very important! Same for 2-years of job/income stability.
Tenant Default: 10-20% probability of eviction or early lease termination.
Section 8: Class C rents usually meet program requirements, proper screening still recommended.
Vacancies: 10-20%, depending on market conditions and tenant screening.
Cashflow vs Appreciation: Should cashflow immediately, at the lower end of relative rent & value appreciation.
Class D Properties:
Tenant Pool: Majority of FICO scores under 560, little to no good tradelines, lots of collections & chargeoffs, but should have no convictions/evictions in last 12 months. Verifying last 2-years of rental history and income/employment extremely important to find the “best of the worst”.
Tenant Default: 20-30% probability of eviction or early lease termination.
Section 8: Class D rents meet program requirements, often challenges to pass Section 8 inspection.
Vacancies: 20%+, depending on market conditions and tenant screening.
Cashflow vs Appreciation: Typically, all cashflow with little, maybe even negative, relative rent & value appreciation.
Where did we get our FICO credit score information from?
Check out this chart:
|
FICO Score
|
Pct of Population
|
Default Probability
|
|
800 or more
|
13.00%
|
1.00%
|
|
750-799
|
27.00%
|
1.00%
|
|
700-749
|
18.00%
|
4.40%
|
|
650-699
|
15.00%
|
8.90%
|
|
600-649
|
12.00%
|
15.80%
|
|
550-599
|
8.00%
|
22.50%
|
|
500-549
|
5.00%
|
28.40%
|
|
Less than 499
|
2.00%
|
41.00%
|
Source: Fair Isaac Company
Make sure you understand the Class of properties you are looking at and the corresponding results to expect.
