Cross -posting here -
Hi BP!
I own REI in Canton and got a tax bill where the property assessment was $64k in 2024, in 2026 the property assessment is $33k. Totally understand the tax assessment will be lower than market value and this is good from a tax perspective. But was curious if it has other implications - ...If tax assessment is dropping - does that mean the asset is less valuable so resale value will be lower yoy? Trying to understand if its a good market to buy more in. If appreciation is zero or negative then the strategy is more heavily focused on cash-flow.
I'm a newish REI investor so thanks for sharing your pov on this.
Good to see you posting again, Chi.
Whether a dropping assessment signals falling market value is more of a market read for other investors familiar with Canton to weigh in on, since assessments and actual resale value don't always move together.
Where the tax side matters, a lower assessment does mean a smaller property tax bill going forward, which helps your cash flow numbers, but don't let that assessment drop change how you're tracking your basis for depreciation. Your depreciable basis is set by what you actually paid plus improvements, not by the county's assessed value, so a falling assessment has zero effect on your depreciation deductions either way, that's a separate number entirely from what shows up on your tax bill.
If you do end up buying more in this market and the trend continues, worth having your CPA watch for any reassessment pattern here specifically, if assessors are systematically undervaluing properties relative to sale price, that can sometimes mean a correction is coming down the line, which would spike your tax bill in a future year even if it's currently working in your favor.
Happy to connect!
Good to see you posting again, Chi.
Whether a dropping assessment signals falling market value is more of a market read for other investors familiar with Canton to weigh in on, since assessments and actual resale value don't always move together.
Where the tax side matters, a lower assessment does mean a smaller property tax bill going forward, which helps your cash flow numbers, but don't let that assessment drop change how you're tracking your basis for depreciation. Your depreciable basis is set by what you actually paid plus improvements, not by the county's assessed value, so a falling assessment has zero effect on your depreciation deductions either way, that's a separate number entirely from what shows up on your tax bill.
If you do end up buying more in this market and the trend continues, worth having your CPA watch for any reassessment pattern here specifically, if assessors are systematically undervaluing properties relative to sale price, that can sometimes mean a correction is coming down the line, which would spike your tax bill in a future year even if it's currently working in your favor.
Happy to connect!
Ashish's depreciation point is a good one to remember: basis is what you paid, full stop, assessment doesn't touch it.
On the market value side: I wouldn't read too much into the assessment drop by itself. Assessed value and market value move somewhat independently. Could be a reassessment cycle, an appeal that went through, a reclassification, whatever. Doesn't necessarily mean the property (or the market) actually lost value. Counties also don't always assess at 100% of market value, so the ratio can just shift too.
If you want the real signal on whether Canton is appreciating, flat, or dipping, I'd pull actual comps, recent sale prices, not assessments. County recorder/auditor sites or Redfin/Zillow sold filters work fine.
If you're planning to buy more there, might be worth asking your CPA why your specific parcel dropped.
I would be careful about treating the tax assessment as a market signal.
It may contain information about the market, but it is not the market.
The resale value of the property is ultimately determined by what buyers are willing to pay for it. The assessor is trying to estimate taxable value using a mass-appraisal process, and that number can move for reasons that have very little to do with what the property would sell for tomorrow.
A drop from $64k to $33k is large enough that I would absolutely investigate it, though.
Before drawing any conclusion about Canton, I’d pull the parcel history and figure out why this particular assessment changed.
Was there a successful valuation appeal?
Did the county correct square footage, condition, unit count or some other property characteristic?
Was there a parcel split?
Was a structure removed?
Are you comparing the same valuation field and the same tax-year convention?
Did the entire neighborhood get adjusted downward, or just this property?
Those questions matter because there is a huge difference between:
“The assessor corrected this one parcel.”
and
“Comparable properties throughout this submarket are being repriced downward.”
The first tells you almost nothing about Canton as an investment market.
The second is at least worth investigating.
I’d probably look at this as a signal-versus-measurement problem.
If I owned a property worth $150k yesterday and the assessor changed its taxable value from $64k to $33k today, I did not suddenly lose $31k of economic value. Nothing happened in the transaction market merely because a database field changed.
Conversely, an assessment staying flat doesn't mean the property held its value either.
If you want to know whether Canton is appreciating or depreciating, I’d go directly to the transaction data.
For the type of properties you actually buy, I’d compare recent arms-length sales against older sales and look at things like price per unit, price relative to rent, days on market, seller concessions, inventory, rent growth and what investors are actually accepting for cap rates.
I’d also separate property appreciation from investment performance.
Suppose Canton gives you very little appreciation over the next ten years, but you can consistently buy properties at sensible bases that produce strong cash flow, amortize debt, and maintain stable occupancy.
That can still be an excellent business.
On the other hand, a market appreciating 7% annually can still be a lousy place to buy rentals if you're paying so much for the assets that the economics only work if the appreciation continues.
That’s why I wouldn’t change the strategy to “cash flow instead of appreciation” because an assessor lowered a value.
I’d underwrite appreciation at something conservative — possibly zero if you want to be especially disciplined — and see whether the investment still earns an acceptable return.
Then appreciation is upside rather than something the deal needs to survive.
One thing I would do with that lower assessment is enjoy the tax implication if it actually produces a lower tax burden, while remembering that lower assessed value and lower taxes aren't always perfectly proportional.
For deciding whether to buy more in Canton, I’d ask a different question:
Are the actual economics of acquiring another property there getting better or worse?
What are purchase prices doing?
What are achievable rents doing?
What are taxes, insurance, repairs and management doing?
How long are vacancies lasting?
What does the tenant pool look like?
What return can you buy today compared with what you could buy two years ago?
Those are the numbers I’d let make the acquisition decision.
So I’d definitely investigate the $64k-to-$33k change because something caused it.
I just wouldn't assume the answer is “my property lost half its value.”
A tax assessment is an administrative estimate of the asset.
A sale is a price.
Those two numbers talk to each other, but they are not the same thing.
Chi - I’m confused… Stark County assessed in 2024 and will again in 2027, a three year cycle. Did something with your property spur this? Summit County (Akron) was this year, but not Stark.
Regardless, property values are back to our normal and expected slow and steady appreciation, maybe even plateaued a little.
Thanks Jack. It came from Stark County. I wont read into it as I just bought this one. Overall the market is showing good signs of growth.
Property values are backed by comps. Assessment is all over the place in my area. Sometimes it's high right or low. In my area every odd year it's reassessed but I would factor in the assessment to go higher once it's reassessed again (for numbers sake).
Normally, the cities/counties want to get as much in taxes as they can :) I think it's safe to assume that if a tax assessment drops this much on a property, they probably use market trajectory to identify a drop in value. I would think this means that overall, properties are going down in value in that area.
Cash is king, as they say! It's a good idea to buy properties with a good cash-flow as a general rule.
Chi, I wouldn't use the assessment change alone as a proxy for market value. I'd separate assessed value from actual comparable sales, rents and operating performance. If appreciation is uncertain, the acquisition decision becomes more dependent on sustainable NOI, taxes, insurance, maintenance and financing. Comparing those property-level numbers across your existing holdings can give you a much better signal about whether adding another Canton property makes sense.
Cross -posting here -
Hi BP!
I own REI in Canton and got a tax bill where the property assessment was $64k in 2024, in 2026 the property assessment is $33k. Totally understand the tax assessment will be lower than market value and this is good from a tax perspective. But was curious if it has other implications - ...If tax assessment is dropping - does that mean the asset is less valuable so resale value will be lower yoy? Trying to understand if its a good market to buy more in. If appreciation is zero or negative then the strategy is more heavily focused on cash-flow.
I'm a newish REI investor so thanks for sharing your pov on this.
@Chi Sastry, from my experience in real estate, I would not let one tax assessment tell me whether I should buy more in that market.
I’ve seen plenty of situations where the tax value and the real market value were very different. I look at the tax assessment as one number for the property, but I look at actual sales, rent, days on market, and tenant demand to decide how healthy the market really is.
The other thing I would be careful about is using today’s lower tax bill in your future deal numbers. If you buy more, I would still leave room for taxes to go back up after a future reassessment or sale.
For me, the simple rule is this: use the assessment to understand taxes, but use real market activity to understand value. Since this is Ohio, I would also check with someone local who knows how that county handles reassessments.
Thanks for all the detailed perspectives on this. I'm really well informed and feel more confident going in. It's been a good market for my 1st duplex here - so wanted to do this check before I expand. Appreciate the feedback and insights - Thank you!
Chi, building on what Ashish and Ana already said: the assessment drop is a property tax event, not a basis event. Your depreciable basis is locked to what you actually paid plus capitalized improvements, so the county cutting your assessed value from $64k to $33k doesn't touch your depreciation schedule at all. The one place assessed values do legitimately show up is at purchase, where the relative land-to-building split from the assessment is an accepted way to allocate your cost between the two when you don't have better appraisal evidence, but that's using the ratio rather than the dollar figure, and it's a one-time decision at acquisition instead of something you revisit each year. The lower bill itself is real money and it's deductible against your rental income, so it genuinely helps cash flow. On whether it says anything about market value, I'd go with Ana and pull actual sold comps instead, since assessment cycles, appeals and reclassifications all move that number for reasons that have nothing to do with what a buyer would pay you. Worth keeping in mind too that a correction later can swing the bill back the other way, so I wouldn't underwrite new purchases assuming today's tax number holds. All of this depends on your specific facts, so run it by your own CPA or tax advisor.