Technology · Miami, FL · Member since 2026 · 9 posts · 2 votes
Hi all,
I’m researching the Sunbelt from the outside (Texas and Florida), and would value a reality check from people of those areas .
Considering supply:
Texas: Accidental landlords own 14.2% of Houston’s active single-family rentals. In suburban Fort Bend County, 17.8% of active rentals are listed for sale at the same time. (parcl lab)
Houston and Tampa both entered spring 2026 with more homes for sale than in 2019. (resiclub)
32.6% of Hillsborough County listings had a price cut in August, the third-highest share among Florida counties.
These numbers count homes listed as regular rentals. For a suburban home in Katy, Pearland, Brandon or Wesley Chapel, is short-term renting a real alternative vs. long term? Maybe HOAs, local rules and suburban demand make it a non-starter?
Tampa, FL · Member since 2022 · 3k+ posts · 3k+ votes
23h
Hey Antoine - I manage about 60 rentals in the Tampa area. A few notes:
32% of Hillsborough county listings having a price cut - this is a tale of 2 stories in the same county. Yes the market is soft, it is always so late 3rd and 4th quarters but rates going higher is not helping. However, the submarkets in the desirable urban core (midtown, south Tampa, Seminole Heights, etc) are still competitive. The surburban areas are still being overbuilt affecting existing home and a ton of new build neighborhoods 30-45 mins from downtown. That is the majority of the price cuts. The best STR's are obviously in the more urban areas close to the attractions.
On your question of doing STR in the suburbs, I do see from time to time people finding success but it is difficult. There are a lot of STR's and the majority of people want to be near the attractions and can get a nice place at a good price. The people who want to be near WC or Brandon likely have a very specific reasons for wanting to be there i.e. moving to that area and need transient housing, or have family, or maybe a medical treatment etc. The problem with that is it would be very sensitive to any increase in supply as demand is not that great there.
Also, the majority of homes in WC and Brandon are in HOA's and have their own restrictions.
Tampa, FL · Member since 2022 · 3k+ posts · 3k+ votes
23h
Hey Antoine - I manage about 60 rentals in the Tampa area. A few notes:
32% of Hillsborough county listings having a price cut - this is a tale of 2 stories in the same county. Yes the market is soft, it is always so late 3rd and 4th quarters but rates going higher is not helping. However, the submarkets in the desirable urban core (midtown, south Tampa, Seminole Heights, etc) are still competitive. The surburban areas are still being overbuilt affecting existing home and a ton of new build neighborhoods 30-45 mins from downtown. That is the majority of the price cuts. The best STR's are obviously in the more urban areas close to the attractions.
On your question of doing STR in the suburbs, I do see from time to time people finding success but it is difficult. There are a lot of STR's and the majority of people want to be near the attractions and can get a nice place at a good price. The people who want to be near WC or Brandon likely have a very specific reasons for wanting to be there i.e. moving to that area and need transient housing, or have family, or maybe a medical treatment etc. The problem with that is it would be very sensitive to any increase in supply as demand is not that great there.
Also, the majority of homes in WC and Brandon are in HOA's and have their own restrictions.
St Louis, City of Saint Louis · Member since 2026 · 5 posts · 0 votes
22h
Great topic! For accidental landlords transitioning into suburban STRs, the biggest challenge is usually operational overhead—guest messaging, turnover scheduling, and keeping dynamic pricing aligned with suburban demand curves.
Suburban STRs can definitely perform well with family travel, remote workers, or local insurance/relocation stays, but success usually comes down to automated guest systems and setting clear house rules upfront.
If anyone is navigating this transition and needs support setting up 24/7 guest communications or dynamic pricing, feel free to reach out!
Real Estate Broker · Tampa, FL · Member since 2017 · 1k+ posts · 689 votes
19h
From my experience owning both, I'd stress-test it as an LTR first, then test corporate, mid-term and STR demand even pre launch it and see what kind of interest you get. Personally, with the current market, I'd probably stay long-term through next year unless the numbers clearly show another strategy is better.
Investor · Member since 2022 · 3k+ posts · 3k+ votes
14h
Quote from @Jorge Vazquez:
From my experience owning both, I'd stress-test it as an LTR first, then test corporate, mid-term and STR demand even pre launch it and see what kind of interest you get. Personally, with the current market, I'd probably stay long-term through next year unless the numbers clearly show another strategy is better.
It'd be really underwrite as LTR, optimize as STR.
Stress-testing is too time consuming; no one wants to do that.
Some of my best STRs are outskirts cities of major metros, by design. Underwritten as LTRs, optimized as STRs. Almost to no competition, definitely niche-based. Now if saturation does come in, pivoting to LTR is not a concern of mine at all.
Technology · Miami, FL · Member since 2026 · 9 posts · 2 votes
4h
Hi VG,
I agree about the stress-testing being time consuming. I was wondering which niches have worked best for you in those "outskirts markets"? Feel free to share.
CPA, CFP®, PFS · FL · Member since 2017 · 5k+ posts · 3k+ votes
5h
Antoine, I think suburban STRs can absolutely be a viable option, but I'd look at the after-tax economics alongside the local demand and regulations. I'd compare realistic STR revenue against what the property could generate as an LTR, then account for furnishing, utilities, cleaning, turnover, management, insurance, property taxes, and the additional operational work that comes with an STR. I'd also verify the local STR rules and HOA restrictions before getting too far into the numbers. A property can have strong projected STR revenue and still not be the better investment once the full operating costs are included.
From the tax side, the distinction between STR and LTR can matter as well. Depending on the actual use, average guest stay, and how actively the owner participates, the tax treatment can be very different.
For me, the question isn't just "Can this property make more as an STR?" It's "Which strategy gives me the better risk-adjusted, after-tax return?" Feel free to DM me, I’d be happy to send over a few resources that might be helpful.