Real Estate Broker · Rochester, NY · Member since 2010 · 1k+ posts · 715 votes
Rochester City Council just approved the transfer of $20 million in state funding toward demolition of the long-vacant Terrence Building on Elmwood Avenue.
The proposed redevelopment covers roughly 27.5 acres and could ultimately bring more than 500 affordable and market-rate housing units, along with mixed-use development.
That's a meaningful opportunity for Rochester, but there's a big difference between funding demolition and delivering new housing.
From an investment and development perspective, I'm watching several milestones:
Demolition: When will asbestos abatement and demolition actually begin and finish?
Site readiness: What additional infrastructure, environmental or site work will be needed?
Financing: When does the first phase have committed capital and a viable development plan?
Delivery: How many units will realistically come online, in what phases, and on what timeline?
I wouldn't adjust rental projections or neighborhood valuations based solely on the announcement. The project has real potential, but the execution matters.
For those involved in development, brokerage or investing in Rochester and other Upstate NY markets:
What's the milestone that would make you start treating this project as a real housing pipeline rather than a redevelopment proposal?
Your milestone list is the right one, and I'd separate demolition from delivery even more sharply. Demolition funding clears the site, but it doesn't commit anyone to build. The point where I'd start treating this as a housing pipeline is when the first phase has three things at once: an approved site plan for a specific unit count, closed construction financing, and a building permit. Until all three line up, unit counts and timelines are still projections.
On a site this size, the infrastructure question you raised deserves the most attention. Roads, utilities, and any environmental work left after abatement often have to be funded and sequenced before the first building starts, and that work tends to set the real timeline for the later phases.
For rental projections, I'd count only the first phase: its unit count, its mix of affordable and market-rate units, and its delivery date once financing closes. Later phases deserve a discount until the first one is leasing.