Rental Property Investor · Phoenix, AZ · Member since 2020 · 23 posts · 7 votes
Hi Guys:
I'm trying find some market data and need help. I want to fill in the missing info indicated my the question marks below. According to the latest Marcus & Millichap report, 2020 North America Multifamily Investment Forecast, page 66, I was able to find some of the data I was looking for. Does anyone have the missing info?
I'm trying find some market data and need help. I want to fill in the missing info indicated my the question marks below. According to the latest Marcus & Millichap report, 2020 North America Multifamily Investment Forecast, page 66, I was able to find some of the data I was looking for. Does anyone have the missing info?
Thanks.
Market
Average Apartment Cost per Unit
Boston
$301,469
Charlotte
$121,026
Chicago
$153,565
Cincinnati
$54,082
Cleveland
$61,043
Columbus
$72,024
Dallas/Fort Worth
$110,745
Akron, Ohio
?
Augusta, Ga.
?
Birmingham, Ala.
?
Dayton, Ohio
?
Fayetteville, Ark.
?
Little Rock, Ark.
?
Memphis, TN
?
Oklahoma City, Okla.
?
Scranton-Wilkes-Barre, PA
?
Toledo, Ohio
?
Tulsa, OK
?
Averages are meaningless in terms of market study or analysis. Kind of like relying on Zillow's Zestimate to determine the value of a property. Everything within a certain radius is used to generate an average without regard to type, style, class, age, condition, specific location etc. There are way to many variables and every deal needs to be evaluated individually. That being said you can use google search, Loppnet, Crexi and Costar among other to find out that information.
Rental Property Investor · USA / NZ · Member since 2016 · 1k+ posts · 812 votes
6y
Hi @Bryce Witcher I didn't click on your link, but from reading what you posted i think the question is and answers are very broad! The question doesn't specify what asset class within the location.
I'm trying find some market data and need help. I want to fill in the missing info indicated my the question marks below. According to the latest Marcus & Millichap report, 2020 North America Multifamily Investment Forecast, page 66, I was able to find some of the data I was looking for. Does anyone have the missing info?
Thanks.
Market
Average Apartment Cost per Unit
Boston
$301,469
Charlotte
$121,026
Chicago
$153,565
Cincinnati
$54,082
Cleveland
$61,043
Columbus
$72,024
Dallas/Fort Worth
$110,745
Akron, Ohio
?
Augusta, Ga.
?
Birmingham, Ala.
?
Dayton, Ohio
?
Fayetteville, Ark.
?
Little Rock, Ark.
?
Memphis, TN
?
Oklahoma City, Okla.
?
Scranton-Wilkes-Barre, PA
?
Toledo, Ohio
?
Tulsa, OK
?
Averages are meaningless in terms of market study or analysis. Kind of like relying on Zillow's Zestimate to determine the value of a property. Everything within a certain radius is used to generate an average without regard to type, style, class, age, condition, specific location etc. There are way to many variables and every deal needs to be evaluated individually. That being said you can use google search, Loppnet, Crexi and Costar among other to find out that information.
Rental Property Investor · Phoenix, AZ · Member since 2020 · 23 posts · 7 votes
6y
Thank you for some of the answers so far to my multi-family asset class questions. I am trying to gain some sort of market intelligence for these cities. I have been doing Google searches and going to Loopnet (and CoStar properties) and Crexi. That info just is not available... that is... unless I am missing something.
Rental Property Investor · Phoenix, AZ · Member since 2020 · 23 posts · 7 votes
6y
@Account Closed That is also a really awesome suggestion that had not occurred to me for some reason. I will contact the bigger brokers in those areas for more info.
Rental Property Investor · Phoenix, AZ · Member since 2020 · 23 posts · 7 votes
6y
@Hadar Orkibi You are absolutely correct and wise about not putting the cart before the horse. I'm glad you mentioned that. The purpose of this exercise is to determine which 5 or 6 MSAs to prioritize above the rest first in order to then do a deep dive on the specific area's demographics, job growth, rents, vacancy levels, and other data. It would be great to be able to specialize in all the areas I mentioned, but from a time perspective, I want to be able to do my market research, and form the much-needed relationships with brokers and property managers, with the best prospects first. Thanks!
Rental Property Investor · Phoenix, AZ · Member since 2020 · 23 posts · 7 votes
6y
@Hadar OrkibiYes. Boston for example has average rent of $2,409 divided by average cost per unit of $304,206, giving us price to rent ratio of .8%. Contrast that with Cincinnati: $980 average rent divided by average cost per unit of $54,082, yielding 1.8%.
Using this analysis will tell me that I should focus my time and energy on Cincinnati before Boston. I will then need to gather those same numbers for the question marked cities above to determine where the generalized opportunities might be.
Rental Property Investor · Henrico, VA · Member since 2019 · 265 posts · 155 votes
6y
@Bryce Witcher Searching for price to rent ratio may lead you to some of what you're looking for. There are others that have compiled and done work in this area, using federal data like Bureau of Labor Statistics, analyzing several dozen cities and metro areas. And the underlying prices may be available along with it. Depending on what you're looking for, knowing how rent compares to price provides a useful basis for comparison. Also, folks have looked at historical trends over time which can speak to affordability at a point in time, and over under value.
Rental Property Investor · Phoenix, AZ · Member since 2020 · 23 posts · 7 votes
6y
@Alex Forest Yes, that is exactly the type of info I'm looking for. I spent several hours over the past few days on the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Census Bureau, and U.S. Department of Commerce websites. I wasn't able to get what I'm looking for. Any specific ideas or links?
@Hadar Orkibi Cash flow with value-add component. It is important, especially at this time in the cycle, to ensure that the properties perform well and can weather any down turns. I need to find the primary markets (outside of Arizona) before diving into the sub markets. Like you said... Be the expert.
Real Estate Broker · Salt Lake City & Oklahoma City · Member since 2018 · 3k+ posts · 2k+ votes
6y
This is a "painting with broad strokes" kind of discussion as other have pointed out. Nevertheless I'll throw out some numbers from the always useful Price Edwards Annual Analysis from 2019:
Class A packed a higher punch than previous years at $117,775 value per unit.
Class B, also up substantially from previous years, traded at $97,372 per unit.
Class C showed a (imagine this) increase from previous years to a $48,267 value per unit.
Real Estate Broker · Portland, OR · Member since 2019 · 4k+ posts · 2k+ votes
6y
Depending on where you want to buy, I'd call an apt broker in that area. Ask him for avg price RANGE and then comp sales at each price to get an idea. Make sure he understands you have funds and are serious, otherwise, may not return your call.
I'm in Portland. I've sold stuff in 2019 <$100K/unit and there is stuff going for $400K/unit.
I'd probably say $175K/unit average, then I'd send you what you get for $100K/$150K/$200K/$250K per unit.
Rental Property Investor · St. Paul, MN · Member since 2016 · 3k+ posts · 3k+ votes
6y
Don't focus so much on price, but return, growth potential, stability, rent affordability, etc.
Also, a cheap market appreciates slower. A 5% increase on $60,000/unit is $3,000, where it's $15,000 on a $300,000/unit apartment. Same goes with rental rates.
Rental Property Investor · Phoenix, AZ · Member since 2020 · 23 posts · 7 votes
6y
@Todd Dexheimer Right. Those points are very important. In this case it will be forced appreciation. I don't think we are in the Phase 3 Hypersupply quadrant just yet, but just in case, our next investments need to be able to weather that storm. Very good article.
Rental Property Investor · Oklahoma City, OK · Member since 2020 · 24 posts · 16 votes
6y
@Todd Dexheimer Todd, that was a great article, thanks for publishing. Based on your analysis what would list as the top 5 markets to invest in smaller MFs (< 50 units)?
Rental Property Investor · Dayton, OH · Member since 2019 · 293 posts · 440 votes
6y
@Bryce Witcher I think most others said it, but I never look at price per door, rather I’m looking for the return and cash flow. In Dayton, OH we have a unique market where C class can sell for 12k a door or 40k per door, so it is extremely hard to use that as a factor. The biggest hurdle in these smaller affordable markets is forcing appreciation for refi or Brrrrrr. It works if your going to sell, but because the market still has many distressed properties selling to guys like me, our comps stink and it’s hard to get an accurate appraisal. For us, if the cash flow is right and the debt service is right, we buy. If either are out of line, we pass. If you need any information in this area, let me know! Have a great one!