Explsoive Growth predicted in CNY due to MIcron Project

Explsoive Growth predicted in CNY due to MIcron Project

Real Estate Agent · Central New York · Member since 2023 · 207 posts · 96 votes

After much speculation for the past few months, I attended a meeting with County Executive McMahon regarding the $100 Billion Micron Semiconductor Plant Project coming to Central New York in Clay. This marks the largest semiconductor manufacturing facility in US history. Actual opening of the first fab has recently been pushed back to late 2030, however infrastructure (highways, wastewater lines, and clearing of the land) is being heavily modified to accomodate both the plants and anticipated population growth. Here's a brief summary of the meeting yesterday:

-Anticipating upwards of 150,000 in population growth within the next 10-15 years, which would bring the county's population over 600,000 resulting from direct hires, hospitality industry, contractors, etc

-Micron's investment is also expected to spur expansion from local hospitals, universities, and is drawing attention from global companies as CNY is expected to become a technology and operational hub. 

-Multifamily and apartment style complexes are expected to start popping up across the region to account for increase in population growth, though many local municipalities are struggling with existing zoning regulations currently.

How does this relate to REI? The greater Syracuse area is already in a housing shortage. Both single family and multfamily homes have been appreciating at a pretty constant rate (between 8-12% YoY) in the city and suburbs. I don't believe that the true "Micron Boom" has happened yet. That being said, once shovels start digging at the end of this year, I fully anticipate it to become the wild west with property values for the foreseeable future given imbalance of supply and demand. Builders will not be able to build fast enough to keep up with demand, increasing existing properties' value. Given the amount of short term contract work (electricians, construction, HVAC, plumbing), rental demand will also likely sky rocket. From how everything is being presented by the state and county, this is quickly positioning to become one of the greatest potential investment opportunities in recent memory.

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Jaron WallingPro Member
Rental Property Investor · Indianapolis, IN · Member since 2018 · 4k+ posts · 4k+ votes
9mo

https://newsroom.intel.com/tech101/how-a-semiconductor-facto...

Intel has a cool website that shows how fabs work, and the crazy amount of resources that go into building one. Taiwan (TSMC) have the most state-of-the-art fabs which include 4nm process technology. The US is way behind in this regard. Hopefully the Micron Project gets us a little closer. 

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  • Jaron WallingPro Member
    Rental Property Investor · Indianapolis, IN · Member since 2018 · 4k+ posts · 4k+ votes
    9mo

    https://newsroom.intel.com/tech101/how-a-semiconductor-facto...

    Intel has a cool website that shows how fabs work, and the crazy amount of resources that go into building one. Taiwan (TSMC) have the most state-of-the-art fabs which include 4nm process technology. The US is way behind in this regard. Hopefully the Micron Project gets us a little closer. 

  • Member since 2025 · 4 posts · 5 votes
    9mo

    It's surely going to become an interesting real estate environment. As a home buyer in the area, it's already a struggle. It took us 7 months and 12 offers to find a property and throughout much of the year homes were off the shelf in 6 days or less at an average of 106% over asking price. Now that were in the winter, things have slowed a little as they traditionally do. 

    I believe you're right though. Once shovels hit the dirt I predict the market has potential to pop off even more. I hope homebuilders can eventually align with the demand to the area. That said, when I was thinking about going down that option of potentially building, I was being told by the builders that the building environment is becoming increasingly more complex due to the no natural gas law that is still looming. 

    We ended up purchasing in October and I became a real estate agent in the process. Its certainly a city to watch IMO.

  • James ColganPro Member
    Real Estate Agent · North NJ · Member since 2017 · 77 posts · 17 votes
    9mo

    Hey, I looked into this as well and am interested in the area for small Multifamily investing. The project seems interesting and would be great if it comes to fruition. From the research I’ve gathered, seems they officially started and the big unpredictable is how many fabs they actually can build. Right now it looks like 2 but they are shooting for 4. 

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