18-unit duplex portfolio under contract at $1.88M — would you buy this?

18-unit duplex portfolio under contract at $1.88M — would you buy this?

Midwest · Member since 2022 · 1 post · 2 votes

Looking for feedback from experienced multifamily/duplex investors.

I'm under contract on 9 duplexes / 18 units spread across three smaller towns close to metro markets.

Year Built 1993

Purchase price: $1,880,000
Price per unit: $104,444
Current gross rent: ~$249,840/year
Current operating expenses: ~$99,151/year
Current NOI: ~$150,689
Going-in cap: ~8.0%

Based on current market rents, I believe rents can eventually increase by roughly $36,000/year, producing approximately $31,000–$32,000 of additional NOI after normal variable expenses. That would put stabilized NOI around $182,000 and yield on cost around 9.7%.

I'm purchasing cash and plan to refinance after closing, likely around $1.2M of debt on a 30-year amortization.

My biggest diligence items right now are roof/HVAC ages, sewer scopes, maintenance history, insurance claims, tenant ledgers, utilities, deposits and verifying actual expenses.

Questions for experienced investors:
Would you consider an 8% going-in cap / ~9.7% stabilized yield compelling enough for these smaller markets? What expense or reserve assumptions would you change? At $104K/door, does this look like a good deal, a great deal, or am I missing a major risk?

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  • Accountant · San Francisco, CA · Member since 2026 · 118 posts · 69 votes
    2w

    Hi Nathan, I'll leave the buy-or-not call to the operators here, that's their lane. Mine's the tax side, and it's the one angle nobody's hit yet.

    Your 8% and 9.7% are both pre-tax. What actually hits your pocket is after-tax, and depreciation does a lot of lifting. On roughly $1.5M of depreciable basis (after carving out land), that's around $50K a year in paper deductions, enough to shelter a real chunk of your ~$150K NOI. A cap rate never shows you that.

    One catch worth knowing before you count on it: those depreciation losses are passive. Unless you or a spouse qualify as a real estate professional, or your income's low enough for the $25K active-participation allowance, they can get suspended and carry forward instead of offsetting your income this year. Not lost, just delayed, but it changes whether something like a cost seg study pays off now or later.

    So the number I'd want before closing isn't the 9.7%, it's what this looks like after tax for your specific situation. Could be better, could be worse, but that's the one that spends.

  • Ashish AcharyaBusiness Member
    CPA, CFP®, PFS · Sarasota, FL · Member since 2017 · 5k+ posts · 3k+ votes
    2w

    Nathan, I like that you're looking at this based on both the current NOI and what the property could realistically produce after stabilization. At $104K per unit, I'd be less focused on whether the 8% cap rate looks good on paper and more focused on whether that $31K–$32K of additional NOI is actually achievable.

    With nine duplexes across three towns, I'd stress-test the rent increase, vacancy, repairs, insurance, property taxes, and CapEx separately rather than relying too heavily on the stabilized projection.

    I’d also look at the tax side before closing. On an 18-unit acquisition like this, I’d want to evaluate the depreciation strategy, including whether a cost segregation study makes sense, and make sure acquisition costs, repairs, improvements, and the property basis are being tracked correctly from day one. With an acquisition of this size, the difference between a repair and a capital improvement can also have a meaningful impact on the tax picture.

    Since you’re planning to refinance after closing, I’d model that alongside the tax strategy as well. The goal isn't just to get to a 9.7% stabilized yield, it’s to know what the after-tax return and cash-on-cash position look like once the property is stabilized and refinanced.

    The deal looks interesting from the numbers you've shared, but I'd want to see the actual trailing expenses and the assumptions behind that $36K rent increase before calling it a great deal.

    Feel free to DM me, I’d be happy to send over a few resources that might be helpful.

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  • Nicholas L.Pro Member
    Flipper/Rehabber · Pittsburgh · Member since 2018 · 6k+ posts · 5k+ votes
    2w

    @Nathan Ante

    looks like you got 2 responses written with AI. cool.

    my answer: no. it sounds like you're saying you'd have over $700K sitting in this after you refinance, possibly more. my goal with my investments is to add value such that i have little to no cash sitting in deals. otherwise you're better off in other asset classes with more liquidity.

    do you already have a portfolio or is this your first foray into real estate? happy to chat further,

    -not written with AI

  • Mark UpdegraffBusiness Member
    Real Estate Broker · Rochester, NY · Member since 2010 · 1k+ posts · 711 votes
    2w

    @Nathan Ante Have you broken the numbers out by duplex? I’d want to see whether all nine hold up individually or a couple of good ones are carrying the rest.

    Nine buildings in three towns is a lot of roofs, heating systems and trips for whoever handles maintenance. We manage a few hundred units in Rochester, and one problem building can eat up a surprising amount of time and money.

    I’d run it at the current rents first, with actual insurance quotes and a repair budget for each building. The $36k upside would be nice, but I wouldn’t want to need it to make the purchase work.

    Have you had a lender size the refinance using today’s income? That’s something I’d want a pretty good handle on before putting up the cash.
    - AI fueled with 15 years of proprietary data as an operator, broker, and property manager.

  • Investor · Member since 2023 · 133 posts · 68 votes
    2w

    At face value the going-in 8% and ~$104k/door look workable — but I'd underwrite the refinance, not the purchase price.

    Rough debt check on your $1.2M refi plan (ballpark 6.5% / 30-yr): payment lands around ~$7.6k/mo ≈ $91k/yr. Against today's $151k NOI that's ~1.65x DSCR — fine if NOI is real. Against a stress case (vacancy +5 pts, insurance +20%, one roof this year) that DSCR compresses fast.

    What I'd change or verify before calling it "great":

    1. Expense ratio is ~40% of gross — confirm insurance quotes today for 18 doors across three towns (not seller's T12)

    2. CapEx: roof/HVAC ages on every building, plus sewer scopes — scattered 1993 stock is where one surprise wipes the year-1 cash

    3. Rent upside: only count units with expired leases + comps you can defend; don't bank $36k until you have ledgers

    4. Exit liquidity: three small markets = thinner buyer pool when you want to sell or cash-out again

    I'd buy an 8% going-in in secondary markets if (a) insurance is locked, (b) CapEx reserve is funded up front (I'd want 3–5% of purchase sitting for year-1 roofs/HVAC), and (c) the refi DSCR still clears 1.25x on trailing NOI, not pro forma. Price/door alone doesn't tell you if the debt works.

  • Accountant · Bloomfield, NJ · Member since 2026 · 19 posts · 3 votes
    2w

    Hey Nathan, on verifying expenses, I’d request a 12-month report broken out by duplex, with supporting invoices and payment records. A combined total can hide one property’s recurring repair problem. I’d also compare the rent roll with actual collections and reconcile the security-deposit ledger before closing. For the expense review, separate recurring operations from major replacements, then identify costs that could change under your ownership, such as insurance and management.

    Have you received property-level financials, or only a consolidated report for all nine duplexes?

  • Matthew MorrowBusiness Member
    Investor · PA - NY - NJ · Member since 2019 · 853 posts · 301 votes
    1w

    @Nathan Ante an 8% cap on paper is a starting point, not a verdict. I'd want the actual rent roll and leases, not a pro forma, and I'd compare the seller's expenses to what you'll really pay, especially taxes after the sale and insurance. With 1993 builds, nine duplexes means nine roofs and a lot of HVAC aging on the same timeline, so price the capex in. Since you're paying cash and refinancing later, find out now what a lender will appraise and lend on. Appraisals are coming in light right now. Just my experience, but hopefully it gives you something to consider.

    CORE Team | Realty ONE Group Supreme548 Reviews
  • Quetzaly TorresPro Member
    Investor · Jacksonville, FL · Member since 2026 · 51 posts · 6 votes
    1w

    Nathan, you're planning to put up $1.88M cash and refinance around $1.2M afterward. Is leaving $680K+ in the deal intentional, or would you prefer to preserve some of that capital?

    Also, do you know what's motivating the seller to sell all nine duplexes? Depending on their situation, there may be some flexibility in how the purchase is structured. The 8% cap is interesting, but I'd want to understand the seller's motivation before assuming an all-cash purchase is the best approach...

  • Dearborn, MI · Member since 2016 · 14 posts · 2 votes
    1w

    Two things I haven't seen covered yet. First, pin down how the refi actually gets done before you close. Nine duplexes are nine separate 2 unit properties, so you're looking at either one blanket loan from a commercial lender or a stack of individual residential loans, and the rate, recourse and prepayment terms can be very different. Ask a couple of lenders now whether they'll lend right after a cash purchase, how long they want you to own it first, and whether they'll size it off your purchase price or a new appraisal. Second, check property taxes in all three towns at your purchase price. If any of those counties reassess on sale, the seller's tax line in that $99K is probably too low, and that comes straight out of your 8%.

  • Member since 2026 · 8 posts · 1 vote
    1w

    Nathan, one thing I'd check before judging the 8% is what's inside the $99,151.

    At 39.7% of gross, it's lean for nine 1993 buildings in three towns. Three lines are often missing from a seller's number:

    - Management. If the seller self-manages, 8% of $249,840 is about $20,000. That alone takes NOI to roughly $130,700, about a 7.0% cap at $1.88M.

    - Reserves. Even $350/unit/yr is $6,300 more, which puts you near a 6.6% cap.

    - Property taxes and insurance after the sale. Ask the county how it re-assesses on transfer, and get your own insurance quote rather than using the seller's.

    If those are already in the $99K, great; the 8% holds up better than most. If not, I'd re-price off the corrected NOI, not the stabilized $182K. Also check that the refi lender will size the $1.2M on trailing NOI, not on the rent upside.

    Asking for the T-12 and rent roll by building, as others said, is the fastest way to see which of these are in there.

    Disclosure: I build Doorcount, a deal-underwriting tool. Drafted with AI help.

  • Member since 2026 · 24 posts · 3 votes
    2d

    Nathan, since you're buying with cash and refinancing afterward, I'd look closely at how the refi will be structured before you close. An 8% going-in cap is solid for smaller markets, but how much you can pull out depends on how the lender treats nine buildings spread across three towns.

    A few points to consider:

    - One blanket loan or several. A single blanket loan on all 9 duplexes is often easier and cheaper to close, but ask for release clauses so you can sell or refinance one building without disturbing the rest.

    - Seasoning. Some lenders will only lend on your purchase price for the first 6 months. If you want to lend off a higher appraised value, look for delayed-financing programs that allow a refi soon after a cash purchase.

    - Coverage at $1.2M. On about $150K of current NOI, a $1.2M loan at today's rates on a 30-year amortization should land well above 1.25x DSCR, so you may have room to borrow more if the appraisal supports it.

    - Lender type. Small-balance multifamily lenders and regional banks often treat a portfolio like this differently than 1-4 unit DSCR lenders, so it's worth getting quotes from both.

    Full disclosure: I'm Kevin Cecchine at ION Capital Solutions. We're a broker with 150+ lenders and no upfront fees, and I'd be glad to help line up the refinance on your duplex portfolio. (Written with help from an AI assistant.)

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