Rental Property Investor · Ellsworth, ME · Member since 2021 · 1k+ posts · 2k+ votes
3mo
You guys know this...taxes and insurance are the weight on the Houston market. We sold a single family home in Sugar Land for $360k last year, which does not sound that expensive, but when you add up HOA, insurance, and taxes, the monthly mortgage on a 5% down 30 year conventional loan was $3500. Rents on that property are probably $2500...it was obviously bought by an owner occupant, but there is some real sticker shock for buyers on a loan estimate.
Property Manager · Katy, TX · Member since 2015 · 1k+ posts · 1k+ votes
3mo
Thanks for the update Sharon! With DOM rising (almost 2 months!) we're seeing a lot of sellers turn to renting their properties while they wait for a better time to list.
Bad for sellers but good for investors and buyers!
Rental Property Investor · Ellsworth, ME · Member since 2021 · 1k+ posts · 2k+ votes
3mo
You guys know this...taxes and insurance are the weight on the Houston market. We sold a single family home in Sugar Land for $360k last year, which does not sound that expensive, but when you add up HOA, insurance, and taxes, the monthly mortgage on a 5% down 30 year conventional loan was $3500. Rents on that property are probably $2500...it was obviously bought by an owner occupant, but there is some real sticker shock for buyers on a loan estimate.
You guys know this...taxes and insurance are the weight on the Houston market. We sold a single family home in Sugar Land for $360k last year, which does not sound that expensive, but when you add up HOA, insurance, and taxes, the monthly mortgage on a 5% down 30 year conventional loan was $3500. Rents on that property are probably $2500...it was obviously bought by an owner occupant, but there is some real sticker shock for buyers on a loan estimate.
You're 100% correct Travis. A lot of deals at todays prices and interest rates aren't making sense.
The flip side of that is someone (hopefully you) rode an incredible wave of appreciation over the past 5-7 years as values outpaced rent growth.
Do you think it's likely over the next 5-7 years values compress, or rent growth outpaces appreciation to get back to an equilibrium?
Real Estate Agent · Houston, TX · Member since 2019 · 190 posts · 137 votes
3mo
Agree completely with Cameron. Finally a good time for investors! And you are right Travis, with some areas, property and MUD taxes will eat up returns. Even so, if you can keep the holding costs low, and stay out of flood and windstorm zones, the BRRRR strategy is finally working well again. We are consistently buying off-market right now and cash out refinancing them into the portfolio.
Rental Property Investor · Ellsworth, ME · Member since 2021 · 1k+ posts · 2k+ votes
3mo
@Cameron Tope affordability drives the Houston market like it does everywhere else. The monthly payment on the property I mentioned in my last post - at $360k - is the same as a $500k+ home in Tennessee, for example, after accounting for taxes, insurance, and HOA. Houston builds a lot of new housing, but the sticker shock of year 2 and beyond property taxes to pay back the development and infrastructure cost is wild and out of reach for most first time homebuyers that are not getting help from their parents.
Inward migration and a ridiculously strong job market will always provide solid demand. It's probably going to be a slow up and down slog while wages catch up to the cost of housing. It's a matter of getting the first time homebuyer back in the market on the home value side. And I'll continue to use that house we sold as an example - it sat on the market for 60-90 with showing activity but no offers; we then lowered the price and got 3 offers in 2 days. There is a huge buyer pool, but you have to find the market price.
As far as rents go, it's likely a similar story as I see it. You probably have a better handle on that than I do.