Wait... Maybe I Really Could Do This!

Wait... Maybe I Really Could Do This!

Real Estate Broker · Northeast PA · Member since 2017 · 2k+ posts · 3k+ votes

Everybody’s talking about 6.75% mortgage rates right now.  And look — I understand why. Rates matter.

But I think a lot of newer investors, especially in places like Northeast Pennsylvania (NEPA), may be looking at national headlines without adjusting for local math.  A duplex in Wilkes-Barre or Scranton is a very different conversation than a $900,000 property in a major coastal city.  That changes things quite a bit.

For example: A newer investor using FHA financing on a reasonably priced duplex may still be able to live in one unit while the other unit offsets a significant portion of the monthly payment. That's really all "house hacking" is.

This isn't some trendy guru strategy--just owner-occupying a small multifamily property while rental income helps carry the property over time.  People have quietly been doing versions of this for decades.

One thing I still find interesting about parts of NEPA is that the rent-to-price ratios remain healthier than many larger markets where buying costs have completely outrun rents.

Obviously, every deal needs to be evaluated carefully.  Not every property works.  And higher rates absolutely affect cash flow.

But I do think some newer investors may be talking themselves out of opportunities because they’re applying national narratives to local markets that operate very differently.  Don't get yourself caught in that trap, and keep moving forward.

Curious what others here are seeing in their own regions.

Are smaller multifamily properties still penciling out reasonably well in your market at today’s rates… or have higher borrowing costs largely killed the numbers?  Reach out if you'd like to discuss.

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  • Debbie FalesBusiness Member
    Lender · Annapolis, MD · Member since 2018 · 145 posts · 47 votes
    5mo

    I couldn't agree more, Marc. Real estate is not a monolith, and it often doesn't make sense to apply national narratives to local markets. We see a lot of opportunity is Northeast PA, and just priced out a Larksville fix-and-flip last week. Sometimes it's the smallest markets that offer the biggest opportunities.

  • Rental Property Investor · Scranton, Boston · Member since 2013 · 101 posts · 40 votes
    5mo
    There is opportunity here in NEPA however one must due their DD. I'm seeing several flips that are not selling due to pricing too high. 
    Many out of town flippers are relying on others for their values and doing their own DD.

    I am looking for a gen contractor in the area - any leads would be appreciated..
  • Garrett CrosbyPro Member
    Real Estate Agent · Los Angeles, United States · Member since 2021 · 392 posts · 162 votes
    5mo

    This is such a good point and one I make to clients constantly. National headlines are written for a national audience, but real estate is always local. When people see "rates at 6.75%" they immediately apply that to their mental picture of whatever expensive market they've been reading about, not their actual backyard.

    I work primarily in LA/Ventura County where the math at current rates is genuinely challenging in most neighborhoods. But even here, there are pockets where creative structuring or the right property type can still work. In secondary and tertiary markets like NEPA where price-to-rent ratios are much healthier, the rate environment hurts but doesn't kill the deal the way it does in coastal gateway cities. The fundamentals of the strategy are sound — it's just about doing the actual math on actual properties in your actual market.

  • Rental Property Investor · Scranton, Boston · Member since 2013 · 101 posts · 40 votes
    4mo
    Absolutely correct. 
  • G. Brian DavisPro Member
    Investor · Hatboro, PA · Member since 2016 · 3k+ posts · 902 votes
    4mo

    I think that's a great point. One of the biggest mistakes investors make is assuming that what's true nationally is automatically true in their local market.

    We've seen the same thing in many markets. Higher rates have certainly changed the math, but they haven't eliminated opportunities everywhere. In some areas, rents and purchase prices still support reasonable cash flow, especially for owner-occupied multifamily properties.

    At the end of the day, I think investors are better served analyzing individual deals than trying to make decisions based on headlines. A deal either works or it doesn't, regardless of what the national narrative happens to be.

  • Garrett CrosbyPro Member
    Real Estate Agent · Los Angeles, United States · Member since 2021 · 392 posts · 162 votes
    4mo

    Marc is right and I think this is one of the most important corrections newer investors need to make: stop applying national narratives to local markets.

    I operate in both LA/SoCal and have rental properties in Fayetteville, NC. The math in those two markets is completely different, and neither of them moves in lockstep with whatever the national headlines say. I could never buy a cash-flowing SFR in LA — the rent-to-price ratios simply don't work there. But in Fayetteville, I've had SFRs cash flowing $400-550/month on deals I bought in 2021-2022 because the price points are completely different.

    The house hack framing is spot on too. $200k in a NEPA market gets you into a small multifamily with a realistic chance of having your tenant offset most of your housing cost. The same $200k in SoCal gets you barely into the downpayment on a condo. Same dollar amount, completely different real estate reality.

    The rates conversation is also context-dependent. Yes, 6.75% is higher than 3%. But if you're buying a duplex at $175k instead of an SFR at $850k, the payment impact is proportionally much smaller. The investors I work with who are getting deals done right now are the ones who've stopped trying to find the perfect entry point and started finding the right market for their capital.

    The opportunities are still there. They're just not in the same places they were in 2021.

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