I am a W-2 earner currently house-hacking a multi-family property in Jersey City, NJ. I am actively looking for my next investment and considering a Short-Term Rental (STR) specifically for the potential tax efficiency. I heard that 2025 was a terrible year for STR and many predict the same expectation for 2026.
What's your advice? Should I be serious for it?
If tax help is your primary concern you would want to focus on markets with low land value, as the percentage of your purchase that is attributed to the land is not depreciable like the rest of the house is.
I am a W-2 earner currently house-hacking a multi-family property in Jersey City, NJ. I am actively looking for my next investment and considering a Short-Term Rental (STR) specifically for the potential tax efficiency. I heard that 2025 was a terrible year for STR and many predict the same expectation for 2026.
What's your advice? Should I be serious for it?
You need to be cautious and run your numbers with a buffer before jumping into any new investment property. Do that and you should be fine.
I once took 2 years to find a new STR based on my criteria of what I wanted.
Don't rush into anything.
If tax help is your primary concern you would want to focus on markets with low land value, as the percentage of your purchase that is attributed to the land is not depreciable like the rest of the house is.
If tax help is your primary concern you would want to focus on markets with low land value, as the percentage of your purchase that is attributed to the land is not depreciable like the rest of the house is.
There's no easy money or secret market. Everyone on the internet is looking for a $400-600k property that will do 80-100k in gross rents without a lot of work or renovation.
I'm of the opinion that you have to solve a serious problem or take on a big project (ie parcel off lots, build an ADU, add a bedroom or bathroom, etc.) to get returns to make it worth the hassle.
I feel for you. Do your homework. 10 years ago, you almost could do no wrong. Now, you really, really need to do your homework on: location, property, ordinances, market, etc. Even if it takes 2 years!
I am a W-2 earner currently house-hacking a multi-family property in Jersey City, NJ. I am actively looking for my next investment and considering a Short-Term Rental (STR) specifically for the potential tax efficiency. I heard that 2025 was a terrible year for STR and many predict the same expectation for 2026.
What's your advice? Should I be serious for it?

I am a W-2 earner currently house-hacking a multi-family property in Jersey City, NJ. I am actively looking for my next investment and considering a Short-Term Rental (STR) specifically for the potential tax efficiency. I heard that 2025 was a terrible year for STR and many predict the same expectation for 2026.
What's your advice? Should I be serious for it?

I am a W-2 earner currently house-hacking a multi-family property in Jersey City, NJ. I am actively looking for my next investment and considering a Short-Term Rental (STR) specifically for the potential tax efficiency. I heard that 2025 was a terrible year for STR and many predict the same expectation for 2026.
What's your advice? Should I be serious for it?

https://www.cbs8.com/article/news/local/working-for-you/new-....
Currently in my jurisdiction both the city of San Diego and the county for unincorporated areas (county is detached only) are evaluating opting into Ab1033. Ab1033 allows by right condoizing ADUs. What do you think happens to the value of detached ADUs if this passes. I suspect in the fairly near term all detached small MF units in these 2 jurisdictions will be allowed to condoize by right. What do you think will happen to detached unit valuations.
A few years ago the state passed a law protecting safe unpermitted units. What do you think this did to the values of safe unpermitted units?
I suspect many jurisdictions have these type of laws (or proposed laws) that can be leveraged to achieve above market appreciation.
Good luck
I am a W-2 earner currently house-hacking a multi-family property in Jersey City, NJ. I am actively looking for my next investment and considering a Short-Term Rental (STR) specifically for the potential tax efficiency. I heard that 2025 was a terrible year for STR and many predict the same expectation for 2026.
What's your advice? Should I be serious for it?
I am a W-2 earner currently house-hacking a multi-family property in Jersey City, NJ. I am actively looking for my next investment and considering a Short-Term Rental (STR) specifically for the potential tax efficiency. I heard that 2025 was a terrible year for STR and many predict the same expectation for 2026.
What's your advice? Should I be serious for it?
Thanks Shawn. I am in for this strategy. My search is to identify right locations. Do you have any recommendations?
I am a W-2 earner currently house-hacking a multi-family property in Jersey City, NJ. I am actively looking for my next investment and considering a Short-Term Rental (STR) specifically for the potential tax efficiency. I heard that 2025 was a terrible year for STR and many predict the same expectation for 2026.
What's your advice? Should I be serious for it?
>Best part is anything STR can get shut down relatively fast if town decided to change laws, if this becomes the case switching to a MTR model is very easy and protects your asset
Have you ever experienced this? I suspect not because it is terrible. I have first hand experience with this. A location that I have STRs implemented an STR quota 2.5 years ago. On the same day over 200 STRs did not get their permit. Virtually all of them switched to MTR (including me). What do you think happened to the rents? The MTR rents were literally less than for long term rentals even though MTR include furnishings and usually utilities. I rented my unit for $200/month less than if I had placed a long term tenant into an unfinished unit with LTR tenant paying utilities. By the time utilities are included (WiFi, gas, electricity, water), my rent was ~$500 less than LTR rent.
Curious if anyone, anywhere has experienced anything different when many STRs had to convert to MTR at the same time. If not, then my experience is the current edging experience.
Best wishes
I am a W-2 earner currently house-hacking a multi-family property in Jersey City, NJ. I am actively looking for my next investment and considering a Short-Term Rental (STR) specifically for the potential tax efficiency. I heard that 2025 was a terrible year for STR and many predict the same expectation for 2026.
What's your advice? Should I be serious for it?
>Best part is anything STR can get shut down relatively fast if town decided to change laws, if this becomes the case switching to a MTR model is very easy and protects your asset
Have you ever experienced this? I suspect not because it is terrible. I have first hand experience with this. A location that I have STRs implemented an STR quota 2.5 years ago. On the same day over 200 STRs did not get their permit. Virtually all of them switched to MTR (including me). What do you think happened to the rents? The MTR rents were literally less than for long term rentals even though MTR include furnishings and usually utilities. I rented my unit for $200/month less than if I had placed a long term tenant into an unfinished unit with LTR tenant paying utilities. By the time utilities are included (WiFi, gas, electricity, water), my rent was ~$500 less than LTR rent.
Curious if anyone, anywhere has experienced anything different when many STRs had to convert to MTR at the same time. If not, then my experience is the current edging experience.
Best wishes
I cannot speak for your market but I will say North Jersey MTR is very lucrative. I would avoid STR all together in markets that heavily rely on vacation stays. I would go after STR in markets that attract multiple client types so if there was change in laws MTR switch is possible.
I am a W-2 earner currently house-hacking a multi-family property in Jersey City, NJ. I am actively looking for my next investment and considering a Short-Term Rental (STR) specifically for the potential tax efficiency. I heard that 2025 was a terrible year for STR and many predict the same expectation for 2026.
What's your advice? Should I be serious for it?
>Best part is anything STR can get shut down relatively fast if town decided to change laws, if this becomes the case switching to a MTR model is very easy and protects your asset
Have you ever experienced this? I suspect not because it is terrible. I have first hand experience with this. A location that I have STRs implemented an STR quota 2.5 years ago. On the same day over 200 STRs did not get their permit. Virtually all of them switched to MTR (including me). What do you think happened to the rents? The MTR rents were literally less than for long term rentals even though MTR include furnishings and usually utilities. I rented my unit for $200/month less than if I had placed a long term tenant into an unfinished unit with LTR tenant paying utilities. By the time utilities are included (WiFi, gas, electricity, water), my rent was ~$500 less than LTR rent.
Curious if anyone, anywhere has experienced anything different when many STRs had to convert to MTR at the same time. If not, then my experience is the current edging experience.
Best wishes
I cannot speak for your market but I will say North Jersey MTR is very lucrative. I would avoid STR all together in markets that heavily rely on vacation stays. I would go after STR in markets that attract multiple client types so if there was change in laws MTR switch is possible.
>Best part is anything STR can get shut down relatively fast if town decided to change laws, if this becomes the case switching to a MTR model is very easy and protects your asset
I asked if you ever experienced a jurisdiction shutting down STRs and MTRs doing OK. 2.5 years ago I experienced this in mission beach and MTRs did not do OK. Over 200 MTRs were added to the MTR market in fairly small mission beach greatly increasing the supply. MTR furnished rents were below unfurnished LTR rents. I question if there has ever been a case where a large number of STRs were shutdown and converted to MTRs that did ok? Do you know of any such place or where you suggesting a scenario that you did not know if it has ever happened?
I am skeptical that a large number of STRs have ever been shutdown by a jurisdiction and converted to MTRs that did ok or better. Logically it seems unlikely because the MTR supply increases substantially over night.
Here is my STR calendars in my local vacation market in the offseason. Note many of those vacancies will still book so my off season vacancy is likely to be much lower than the calendar because we get around 30% of booking no more than w weeks out. I will likely have less than 15% vacancy in the off season (but our weather today was mid 70s today so who would not want to leave their cold environment for mid 70 weather). Imagine my occupancy/rate in the high season. You can choose any market, but STRs in the right vacation market can still do well. Make sure to run accurate and conservative underwriting,




btw the 2 units self booked were for my son’s girlfriends’s birthday. They and quite a few friends got to stay at the beach with great weather. Life is good.
Best wishes
I will shoot you a DM so we can explore more in-depth.
I don't think 2025 was a "terrible year for STR". I guess it depends on who you ask (where they are and how their property is positioned in their market). We had a good year in Tampa and projecting YoY rate growth for the suncoast.
STR's are very local when it comes to performance, I know that mine have been performing better each year over the last few years. I did have clients in some markets like the smokies that had a dip, but their experience is not representative of that entire market.
I have clients in the Pinellas County market in Florida that have been crushing the returns, and its probably the highest COC return area I have had clients invest in. If you want to explore that area more, @Josh Green is a local resource that knows the STR market in and out over there.
You’re hitting on the exact pivot point we’re seeing in the 2026 market. The reason 2025 felt 'terrible' for many was the market correcting from post-pandemic inflation. We’ve moved from an 'easy money' phase to an 'operator’s' phase.
If you're a high W-2 earner, the STR play isn't just about the nightly rate—it's about the tax alpha. Even with bonus depreciation at 20% this year, a cost segregation study combined with 'material participation' remains one of the most effective ways to shield your active income.
My advice: Don’t look for 'rentals,' look for 'hospitality assets.' If the property doesn't have a unique 'moat' (location, amenities, or design), it’s a commodity. In 2026, commodities fail, but curated experiences are still seeing strong ADRs. Are you looking at specific markets, or are you strictly focused on the tax shield?
I am a W-2 earner currently house-hacking a multi-family property in Jersey City, NJ. I am actively looking for my next investment and considering a Short-Term Rental (STR) specifically for the potential tax efficiency. I heard that 2025 was a terrible year for STR and many predict the same expectation for 2026.
What's your advice? Should I be serious for it?
I work with a lot of W-2 earners in a similar spot - house hacking, building momentum, and starting to look at STRs because they’ve heard about the tax upside.
The first thing I usually tell clients is to be careful not to lead with taxes. STRs can be tax-efficient if the underlying operation works. If the deal doesn’t cash flow cleanly or is overly sensitive to occupancy swings, the tax benefits won’t save it ... they’ll just delay the pain.
It's true that 2025 was rough in a lot of STR markets, and 2026 will likely continue to reward operators who are disciplined. That's not necessarily bad news, but it does mean the bar is higher. Market selection, regulations, seasonality, and pricing matter more now than they did a few years ago.
For W-2 earners specifically, I usually suggest getting very clear on a few things before pursuing an STR. How volatile can your cash flow be without creating stress? Are you planning to self-manage or outsource? Does the deal still work if you underwrite conservatively and assume professional management? And are you doing this primarily to build a business, or to solve a tax problem?
On the tax side, STRs can create powerful outcomes under the right facts, but those outcomes are highly dependent on how the property is operated, how much time is actually spent, and how the rest of your financial picture looks. It’s not a plug-and-play strategy.
My general advice is to consider STRs seriously only if you’re serious about the operation itself. Treat it like a business first, a tax strategy second. If you do that, the tax efficiency tends to follow naturally. If you reverse the order, that’s when people get burned.
Do not buy a STR if you are just looking for the tax savings.
Buy a STR if you plan to be a long-term operator in STR's.
STR's are getting more saturated year by year and a lot of investors / companies have professionalized the space. You will not compete with others who do this 24/7
best of luck