Updated over 8 years ago on . Most recent reply
Is Airbnb Sustainable Through Fall/Winter in a Beach Town?
Hello!
I'm about to leave Virginia and move up north, and am really struggling on what to do with my current property. I own a 4 bed/2.5 bath single family house in Chesapeake, VA that has a good sized fenced-in yard that backs up to a park in a great neighborhood. We are about 25 minutes to Virginia Beach Oceanfront and 25 minutes to Naval Station Norfolk.
The options as I see them are:
-List my house for rent for 12 months and probably not get what I need to cash flow positive (I need $2350/month - *not including a property manager* and most realtors think I can get $2200/month from a long term tenant in this market).
-Put my house on Airbnb as a short term rental and "hope" that it rents out for enough weekends in September-March to get me through to the summer months (I could set high discounts to encourage long-term weekly and monthly rentals).
-Do a combination of the two - list my house on Zillow for under $2000 to quickly secure a tenant for a 6 month rental starting in September and then once April arrives, put the house on Airbnb. I believe that the income from summer months would more than make up for the loss I would be taking in the fall/winter.
I've researched some on airdna.co, but don't really know if the numbers will be as accurate as they say. My house is smack dab in the middle of suburbia and most of the vacationers come here for the beach. Although we have several military bases and corporations in the Hampton Roads area and there are always people coming and going, but I'm afraid that my place is "too much house" for the average group traveling here for the weekend. I've reached out to several Airbnb hosts in the area to see if they have gotten much business during the cold months, but most are brand new to Airbnb this year and haven't experienced hosting their house during this time of the year. Also, in my experience people book last minute on Airbnb so I've really only gotten interest for Labor Day weekend in September, but nothing else as of yet.
I'm just really not sure what the sustainability of Airbnb will be through the "dead" fall and winter months here. If anyone has any thoughts on a good solution that would be much appreciated! @Zeona McIntyre maybe you would have some insights on this that you wouldn't mind sharing...
Thank you!
Most Popular Reply
Hi @Rob Roy, thanks for your question and I'm sure you are feeling like you are stuck between a rock and a hard place at the moment with these decisions. Bear in mind, I know nothing about your market from an STR or even long term rental perspective but my knee jerk reaction to your question is to just sell and move on. Assuming you can get break even or a little positive equity on what sounds like a heavily leveraged property, chances are you are not going to cash flow enough to make it worth it.
If you need 2350/month for just your mortgage, then you need to realize STR"s run at a 60-80% operating expense ratio including management (which is only 20% of that). It also doesn't sound like you have a 'home run', so to speak, from your location to the prime rate beach areas as well. Once again, I could be wrong on this but from what I'm reading and the use of words like 'hope' in your investment models is not a good sign. I can't even recommend a lease option to you either since it sounds like you are pretty well leveraged on the property.
Sorry I can't be positive on this, but once again, I'm wrong all the time so just be sure you do your due diligence on whatever you decide and keep in mind that a market correction is coming soon and you want to be sure you have enough margin to weather the storms to come.
Good luck to you!
Cheers!
~Jon



