Analyzing A Flip Deal

Analyzing A Flip Deal

Member since 2019 · 12 posts · 3 votes

Hey guys just want to make sure I'm analyzing this correctly. I'm looking at a home in long island New York for a flip. The home was built in the late 1920's. It's a 3 bed 1.5 bath. It's a foreclosure that just hit the market for 275k. ARV is approximately 415,000k.Taxes are $14,000 annually. I'm taking money from my heloc for a down payment and to pay the holding costs and the rehab. Let me know if I'm missing anything or if anything needs correction or clarification. I know this isnt a good deal, but I just want to make sure my analysis is proper. Thank you.

BUYING COSTS

DOWN PAYMENT 20% = $55,000

REHAB $85,000

CLOSING COSTS $15,000

HOLDING COSTS

MORTGAGE W/TAXES AND INSURANCE $2,540 per month

HELOC $800 per month @5% interest min. payment

Utilities $500 per month 

SELLING COSTS 

Commission - @ 6% $24,000

All that have followed so far assuming I held onto this from start to finish for 8 months and sold it at ARV of $415k. My holding costs would be appx. $31,000 including utilities, monthly insurance, monthly mortgage, and heloc payments interest only. Like I said earlier i know this deal wont work, but am I missing anything in terms of analyzing. Thanks.

-Sean

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  • Rental Property Investor · Hicksville, NY · Member since 2016 · 21 posts · 6 votes
    7y

    @Sean A. Not sure if the 85k rehab has around 10% contingency built in. I would be mindful of that being an older house. Good luck!

  • Member since 2019 · 12 posts · 3 votes
    7y

    Hey Roger,

    Thanks for the reply yes I put 10% in there for unforeseen circumstances. Anything else you can see that I missed? @rogervonurff

  • Investor · New York City, NY · Member since 2013 · 1k+ posts · 269 votes
    7y

    Seems like you have everything covered. A older house such as this may have some unforeseen repairs once you dig in. Would certainly keep a contingency. 

    Also would factor in a lower sales price in case you need to sell quickly or market changes. Just as a precaution. 

    Best of luck in all your endeavors.  

  • Rental Property Investor · Lynchburg, VA · Member since 2018 · 116 posts · 73 votes
    7y

    @Sean A.

    Have you purchased this?

  • Member since 2019 · 12 posts · 3 votes
    7y

    Thanks everyone. No I havent purchased it because I think the numbers might be a little too tight. @Preston Quinn

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