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Updated 27 days ago on . Most recent reply

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Stanislav Chaadaev
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How do you decide when a rental deal is worth restructuring vs. walking away?

Posted

I wanted to compare notes on how other investors set rejection criteria before buying.

I use this as a scenario-based pre-acquisition screen: first I test the property as-is, then I test whether a legal change in use or income structure can make it self-supporting before purchase.

My basic rule is that I do not want to buy a rental that I have to feed every month from my own pocket. If it does not pay for itself as-is, there has to be a clear legal path to fix that before I buy.

I recently used this screen before buying a property in Reseda, CA.

Purchase price was about $815,000, with about $163,000 down. Total capital exposure, including repairs, ADU/JADU work, and holding costs, was about $345,700.

As a regular single-family rental, the numbers did not work. Estimated rent was about $4,000/month, while expenses were about $4,950/month. That is about $950/month negative cash flow, or roughly $11,000/year. My target return was 10%, but the Year 1 hold ROI was about negative 3.2%.

So I would not have bought it as a single-family rental.

The only reason I kept going was the layout. The house had four bedrooms. One bedroom could become a JADU, while the main house would still have three bedrooms, a kitchen, and its own backyard. The garage could become an ADU, with part of the front yard assigned to it. The main house could also be rented within a few months after limited repairs, helping cover carrying costs while the ADU/JADU work was being finished.

Under the projected three-unit setup, total rent would be about $9,400/month, projected annual cash flow about $45,600, and projected hold ROI about 16.5%.

So the same property failed as a single-family rental but passed as a reconfiguration project.

For those who do ADU/JADU or similar conversions:

How do you decide when a bad as-is deal is worth restructuring?

And would you add a larger risk buffer if the numbers depend on an owner-builder approach?

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Richard Golding
  • Contractor
  • NYC/Los Angeles
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Richard Golding
  • Contractor
  • NYC/Los Angeles
Replied

The refinance stage fails because of the Appraisal Gap. New investors often assume: Purchase Price + Rehab = New Basis. But the bank only cares about ARV (After Repair Value).

1. Functional vs. Aesthetic: A $15k roof is a 'functional' requirement to get a loan, but it adds $0 to an appraisal. High-end kitchens and added bedrooms add value. If your rehab is 80% functional and 20% aesthetic, your refi will likely fail.

2. The 75% LTV Reality: You need to leave at least 25% equity in the deal to pull your cash back out. If you don't have a 'Margin of Safety' of at least 30-35% between your total cost and the ARV, you are one bad appraisal away from leaving your cash trapped in the house.

3. Seasoning Risk: Many lenders require 6-12 months of 'seasoning' before they'll loan on the new value. If you don't account for 6 months of holding costs (interest, taxes, insurance), your profit is gone before the refi even starts.

My Rule: If the deal only works if the appraisal is 'perfect,' it's not a BRRRR; it's a gamble

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