[Calc Review] Help me analyze my first BRRRR deal!

[Calc Review] Help me analyze my first BRRRR deal!

Joe FergusonPro Member
Real Estate Agent · Avalon & Stone Harbor NJ · Member since 2022 · 8 posts · 2 votes

My partner and I are preparing to purchase our first investment deal, and after years of studying our local market and saving capital, we believe we’ve finally found the right opportunity.

The property was originally purchased by a flipper who began renovations but ultimately had the project red-tagged by the township. After running into permitting and construction issues, the seller decided to walk away and list the property instead.

Since then, the seller completed a portion of the heavy work, including:

  • Installing a new HVAC system
  • Rough-in plumbing (though most of it will need to be corrected)
  • Rough-in electrical

The home is now down to the studs, which gives us a clean slate and, in our opinion, a solid foundation for our first BRRRR project.

We have a family member interested in financing both the purchase price and construction costs. Our plan is to complete the renovation, stabilize the property with a quality tenant, and refinance in approximately 18 months.

I work in the industry, have strong contractor and professional relationships, and plan to self-manage the property, which helps keep operating costs down.

That said, I’d love input from those who have been through similar projects.

Is there anything I may be overlooking or should be especially cautious about, given the property’s red-tag history and partial renovations?

Thanks in advance, BP — appreciate any insight.

- Joe

View report

*This link comes directly from our calculators, based on information input by the member who posted.

1Reply
211 views

Most Popular Reply

Member since 2026 · 97 posts · 57 votes
8mo

Hey Joe, congrats on finding a project after years of studying your market - that patience usually pays off.

Kevin nailed the financial side so I'll focus on your question about the red-tag history. A few things worth digging into before you close...

First, find out exactly why it got red-tagged. Was it permit issues (work done without permits), code violations, or something structural? This matters a lot because some townships are more forgiving than others about bringing unpermitted work into compliance, while others may require you to tear out and redo everything regardless of quality.

Second, get clear on the permit status before closing. Some municipalities will let you pull new permits and move forward, others may require you to resolve the previous owner's violations first. Talk to the building department directly and ask what the process looks like to get this property back in good standing - they'll tell you exactly what hoops you need to jump through.

Third, since the rough-in plumbing will "need to be corrected" as you mentioned, make sure you understand the full scope of what's actually usable vs what gets ripped out. That can swing your rehab budget significantly.

The upside here is that down-to-the-studs means you control everything from here. No surprises behind walls. But definitely nail down the permit situation before you're committed.

One more thing - since you're getting family financing, make sure you document everything properly (loan agreement, lien position, etc.). Keeps relationships clean and protects everyone if things go sideways.

Good luck with it - sounds like you've got the right foundation with your industry connections.

See this reply in the discussion

10 Replies

Jump to latestLatest
  • Realtor · Hanover Twp, PA · Member since 2018 · 3k+ posts · 3k+ votes
    8mo

    @Joe Ferguson, a few thoughts:

    1. You spoke of a family member financing the purchase and construction. So, that means you intend to get a loan from a regular lender for the refinance. I don't think 5.25% with no loan fees is realistic. You always want to underwrite conservatively, especially for something 18 months out and harder to predict. Something in the mid 6s might be a more solid number. 

    2. The property taxes seem LOW for a property of that value. How are you estimating those? Are you using the current taxes? You may well expect a reassessment as a result of your down to the studs rehab. So, I would look for what homes worth the ARV are being taxed at.

    3. For the acquisition, I would put the $350k as a "loan" even though you are borrowing from a relative. 

    4. You want to budget for Cap Ex, Maintenance, and Vacancy. A typical budget for those might be 5% each (15% total) of incoming rent which for you is $525. You may be able to go a little less on Cap Ex and maintenance since you are doing a complete rehab. 

    5. Will you need to include any utilities? Many times some utilities are provided by a government entity and if unpaid can become a lien on the property. In those cases, it makes sense for the landlord to pay them directly and either bake the cost into the rent or bill the tenant back for a utility based on usage. In my area, the common examples would be sewer and garbage but could include anything really. 

    6. Get an insurance quote! Your number of $150 looks low for a $650k house. In part insurance is based on replacement cost. It is taking you $425k to finish a shell of a house. It might actually take $700k+ to tear it down and build it anew in case of a fire. The insurance will be based on that "replacement cost" valuation. 

    7. Even though you are going to self manage, it can be good to budget for property management. This is just another step in underwriting CONSERVATIVELY. You may not be able or willing to do that work forever. 

  • Joe FergusonPro Member
    OP
    Real Estate Agent · Avalon & Stone Harbor NJ · Member since 2022 · 8 posts · 2 votes
    8mo

    Thank you for your comment Kevin!  It is very helpful.

  • Member since 2026 · 97 posts · 57 votes
    8mo

    Hey Joe, congrats on finding a project after years of studying your market - that patience usually pays off.

    Kevin nailed the financial side so I'll focus on your question about the red-tag history. A few things worth digging into before you close...

    First, find out exactly why it got red-tagged. Was it permit issues (work done without permits), code violations, or something structural? This matters a lot because some townships are more forgiving than others about bringing unpermitted work into compliance, while others may require you to tear out and redo everything regardless of quality.

    Second, get clear on the permit status before closing. Some municipalities will let you pull new permits and move forward, others may require you to resolve the previous owner's violations first. Talk to the building department directly and ask what the process looks like to get this property back in good standing - they'll tell you exactly what hoops you need to jump through.

    Third, since the rough-in plumbing will "need to be corrected" as you mentioned, make sure you understand the full scope of what's actually usable vs what gets ripped out. That can swing your rehab budget significantly.

    The upside here is that down-to-the-studs means you control everything from here. No surprises behind walls. But definitely nail down the permit situation before you're committed.

    One more thing - since you're getting family financing, make sure you document everything properly (loan agreement, lien position, etc.). Keeps relationships clean and protects everyone if things go sideways.

    Good luck with it - sounds like you've got the right foundation with your industry connections.

  • Joe FergusonPro Member
    OP
    Real Estate Agent · Avalon & Stone Harbor NJ · Member since 2022 · 8 posts · 2 votes
    8mo

    Thank you for the comment and advice on the project.

    We have been working with reliable electricians, plumbers and HVAC contractors who understand the scope of the work and provided estimates.  The owner provided all of the violations and has provided access to the permitting work with the Construction Office.

    One thing that could help the numbers now that we are looking at additional costs is depreciation and cost segregation.  Have you ever used this strategy?  

    Thank you!

  • Drew SygitBusiness Member
    Property Manager · Royal Oak, MI · Member since 2012 · 12k+ posts · 9k+ votes
    8mo

    Get EVERYTHING in writing with contractors!

    Inevitable, there will be changes on the Scope Of Work as you progress through the renovation.

    Many contractors view Change Orders as an easy way to boost their profit margin, so you'll want those in writing.

    Also, recommend taking videos with contractors when discussing corrections, change orders, etc., as everyone has selective memory. Do audio recordings when having intense conversations/renegotiations for the same reason.

  • Bo SmithPro Member
    Hinton, WV · Member since 2026 · 1k+ posts · 373 votes
    8mo

    Red-tag history can be gold if you handle it right. Get the township inspector out BEFORE closing to walk through compliance requirements - don't trust the seller's version of "completed work." Are you scheduling that pre-close inspection?

  • Vijay FriedmanBusiness Member
    Miami, FL · Member since 2026 · 766 posts · 122 votes
    5mo
    Quote from @Joe Ferguson:

    My partner and I are preparing to purchase our first investment deal, and after years of studying our local market and saving capital, we believe we’ve finally found the right opportunity.

    The property was originally purchased by a flipper who began renovations but ultimately had the project red-tagged by the township. After running into permitting and construction issues, the seller decided to walk away and list the property instead.

    Since then, the seller completed a portion of the heavy work, including:

    • Installing a new HVAC system
    • Rough-in plumbing (though most of it will need to be corrected)
    • Rough-in electrical

    The home is now down to the studs, which gives us a clean slate and, in our opinion, a solid foundation for our first BRRRR project.

    We have a family member interested in financing both the purchase price and construction costs. Our plan is to complete the renovation, stabilize the property with a quality tenant, and refinance in approximately 18 months.

    I work in the industry, have strong contractor and professional relationships, and plan to self-manage the property, which helps keep operating costs down.

    That said, I’d love input from those who have been through similar projects.

    Is there anything I may be overlooking or should be especially cautious about, given the property’s red-tag history and partial renovations?

    Thanks in advance, BP — appreciate any insight.

    - Joe

    View report

    *This link comes directly from our calculators, based on information input by the member who posted.

    @Joe Ferguson

    This could be a good BRRRR opportunity, but I'd be extra cautious because the red-tag and permitting history can change the whole risk profile.

    Before moving forward, I'd want the township/code office history, open permits or violations, contractor bids, corrected scope of work, timeline to certificate/approval, ARV support, and refinance exit reviewed upfront. If the prior plumbing/electrical work needs correction, that can materially affect both budget and timeline.

    The deal may still work, but I’d underwrite the refinance exit conservatively and make sure the property can be fully stabilized before the planned takeout. 

    DreamPoint Capital
  • Contractor · NYC/Los Angeles · Member since 2019 · 91 posts · 54 votes
    5mo

    Late response and I hope everything is going well but here is my two cents:

    For a first BRRRR, I would focus less on whether the spreadsheet works and more on which assumptions can break it.

    Start with the rehab number. Is it based on contractor bids, your own line-item scope, or a rough per-square-foot guess? If it is not tied to a written scope, treat it as a placeholder. Break it into systems, exterior, interior, unit turns, permits, contingency, and rent-ready punch list. Then ask which items affect appraisal value and which only make the property functional.

    Next, stress-test ARV and refinance. What happens if appraisal comes in 5 percent low, rehab runs 15 percent high, or the refi takes two extra months? A BRRRR can look great when everything hits perfectly and fall apart when one number moves.

    Also include cash timing. Even if a lender funds rehab, you may need to front draws, carry vacancies, pay utilities, and cover surprises before money comes back.

    If the deal still works under a conservative case, it may be worth pursuing. If it only works with best-case rehab, best-case appraisal, and fast refinance, I would either renegotiate or pass.

    Hopefully, this helps anyone in the same predicament.  

  • Contractor · Member since 2026 · 13 posts · 0 votes
    4mo

    Sounds like a great long-term value-add strategy.

    We specialize in interior & exterior residential remodeling projects throughout Greater Los Angeles, including full remodels, ADUs, additions, backyard & pool projects and renovations designed to improve both functionality and property value.

    Happy to connect for future projects.

  • New to Real Estate · Orange County, CA · Member since 2026 · 40 posts · 28 votes
    4mo

    Hey Joe, Kevin and Richard already covered the big stuff (realistic refi rate, missing reserves, stress-testing the rehab). One thing I haven't seen anyone flag though: your projections table is using 14% annual appreciation.

    At 14%, the model shows this $650K property hitting $2.4M by year 10 and $33M by year 30. That's doing a lot of heavy lifting for your returns. Even strong NJ coastal markets have historically averaged closer to 4-6% annually.

    Here's why it matters beyond just the long-term charts: at 14% appreciation, your year 2 equity is $422K on a $425K loan, you're barely underwater after the refi. That's fine if the property appreciates quickly, but at a more conservative 4%, your year 2 equity is closer to $252K, meaning you're sitting at ~67% LTV instead of ~100%. Not a crisis, but it changes how much cushion you actually have if something goes sideways during stabilization.

    The post-refi cash flow of $628/mo is the real story here, and Kevin already pointed out it gets thin once you add realistic reserves. If that monthly number holds up after you plug in his suggestions (higher rate, real insurance, vacancy/CapEx), the deal works on cash flow regardless of appreciation. If it doesn't, you're relying on that appreciation assumption to bail you out and 14% isn't a number you want to bet on.

    Good bones on the deal though! Down to studs with a clean slate is a nice position for a first BRRRR.

Join the conversationCreate a free account to reply, vote on answers and follow this thread.