[Calc Review] Help me analyze this deal
26 Replies
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
posted 11 months ago
*This link comes directly from our calculators, based on information input by the member who posted.
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
I don't know if these numbers are accurate, but trying to get my first deal it doesn't seem convincing
Pete Storseth
Investor from Houston, TX
replied 11 months ago
Are the rents for that area really only 1000?
Brandon Cooper
Rental Property Investor from Winston Salem, NC
replied 11 months ago
@Roberto Lopez 500 for expenses seems high also
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
I research is the rental in that area is around 950 to 1200
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
maybe I'm doing something wrong that i don't see
Grayson Spittel
Rental Property Investor from Wake Forest, NC
replied 11 months ago
I think your property tax amount is for the total year, but you have it being paid out per month
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
thanks for that. yes i did put for a year
Grayson Spittel
Rental Property Investor from Wake Forest, NC
replied 11 months ago
But with a $1000/month rental, and an $850 P&I, you’re going to be cash negative if you factor in your need to save for cap ex, maintenance, vacancy, and PM (usually 8-12%) of monthly rent.
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
that why I needed your expertise because is my first investment and I want to do it right. So it may not be a good investment
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
thanks, Grayson for your input.
Nick Peters
Specialist from New York City, NY
replied 11 months ago
@Roberto Lopez Based on the report, a few things are not properly set up. A few comments:
1. Your overall rent expectation is low compared to your purchase price (see the 2% / 1% rule)
2. your monthly expenses are through the roof. If you look at the breakdown, you can see that you put your annual property taxes as a monthly expense, so you should change that.
3. Estimates for Vacancy, capex, Management, Repairs at 2% are way too low. Property management usually costs between 7%-10%. Capex is usually set around 8-10% (check BP's blog, they have multiple articles about that). Vacancy at 2% means your property is empty only one week a year, that might be a stretch too.
4. How did you come up with an ARV of $250k for a house purchased for $190k with only $5k of repair work? Unless you're making a very good deal at purchase, it's unlikely that your property would appreciate so much post acquisition.
Please let me know if I can help!
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
thank you nick I changing the numbers now and wrote the estimated repair. I was thinking around 50000 not 5000
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
wow it really changes a lot but still not hi enough
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
if there any changes that i should check
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
the ROI is 1.32% if my calculation is accurate
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
and the other thing is tenant occupied but it doesn't say how much is the rent there paying
Nick Peters
Specialist from New York City, NY
replied 11 months ago
Can you recirculate the updated report?
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
i did the changes but i don't know if you see on your end
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
[Calc Review] Help me analyze this deal
Jason Hamilton
Investor from Greenville
replied 11 months ago
Doesn’t seem like a good deal at all.
P&I, taxes, and insurance aren’t even covered by rent. Take in to consideration PM, repairs, Cap and you are paying out of pocket every month for someone else to live there.
I would look in to the 2%/1% rule.
Fernando Stennett
Wholesaler from Houston, TX
replied 11 months ago
@Roberto Lopez Nice. Where can I find this template?
Steve Milford
Realtor from Vancouver, WA
replied 11 months ago
Ok, as I look at this I am thinking, "Hopefully this person is looking at the property with their own eyeballs." Please remember, any deal has to make sense when you buy it, first. Realtors write descriptions to get houses to sell, that doesn't mean it is a good deal based on your circumstances. In my opinion, based on basic numbers displayed it's not a good deal unless you start cash flowing on 13th month. In my market, that can be hard bit still doable (but I usually consider the 1st year a bust). I don't fuss with all the fancy calculations, I look at it from debt-service-coverage with ratio. I had once heard 1.4 was good. So when I look at a property, I look at it with how much it should rent for based on my PITI+PMI. Everything else is fluff that makes me feel better/worse. I noticed in this case that will use a down of 3.5%, so you're house-hacking. Did I miss PMI? That will also add considerably to closing costs. Something you might want to review is Fannie Mae Eligibility Matrix, very helpful. Now if you're buying with 20% down and then rehabbing to increase rent-flow to say $1,500, then it might be good. That's another thing, it's a rental, if it generates $900 in rent now, why would you spend more than $1,200 in rehab if it only is going to rent for $1,000? Remember this is a business, you can't stay afloat without having positive cash flow.
Matt M.
Contractor from Easton, PA
replied 11 months ago
$190k purchase price and rent is $1000?! Not trying to be rude, but I think you need some more education before looking into REI.
Roberto Lopez
from Glen Cove, New York
replied 11 months ago
hi, matt I thank you for your comment that's why I'm talking to all of you guys because this is another way to educate myself. You all masters in this and I'm a newbie even if I'm 52 I feel like a baby learning to walk.