Timing when to buy following the Fed

[Carlos Ptriawan]

Most of the folks already know this, but the biggest economic expansion or asset appreciation happened when the Fed is expanding monetary base or when it held more securities. In the last 13 years we know the best time is at the red circle above: 2009/2010,2011,2013 and then 2020. Lets say we plan to hold asset for 7 years and we time our purchase at average median price in that year only. It's not difficult to create 20-25% IRR when Fed is also expanding. We just need to ride the wave.