🔥 Are you Ready for the Real Estate Boom? Prediction that I agree with.

🔥 Are you Ready for the Real Estate Boom? Prediction that I agree with.

AJ WongBusiness Member
Real Estate Broker · Oregon & California Coast · Member since 2022 · 834 posts · 696 votes

Excellent article here summarizing what could be a strong return of the real estate and mortgage markets. 

https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/5563627-real-estate-boom...

We've certainly seen a dramatic improvement in rates for investors across a wide range of loan production and qualifications. On average in comparison to last year we're roughly 1.25-1.5% LOWER. For well qualified borrowers with 20%+ down, you're in the low 6%'s and touching high 5%'s with a buy down. If we reach the low 5%'s then eventually high 4%'s..it is in fact off to the proverbial races. 

The real estate industry drives 14–18% of the U.S. GDP, touching everything from construction to retail. When the next housing boom hits, it’ll ripple across the entire economy—benefiting builders, lenders, brokers, and small businesses alike.

The key trigger? Mortgage rates dropping below 5.5%. While some homeowners are locked into 2–3% loans, nearly two-thirds of Americans have rates between 3% and 6%—and they’re ready to move when affordability improves.

Translation: once rates dip, the market could ignite fast.

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  • Cody RobertsPro Member
    Member since 2024 · 13 posts · 7 votes
    1y
    If the key trigger happens, we could move quickly from readiness to momentum, with supply struggling to catch up. The question isn’t just if the boom is coming, but who’s prepared to act when it does.
  • Chris SeveneyBusiness Member
    Moderator
    Investor · VA · Member since 2015 · 21k+ posts · 19k+ votes
    1y

    Disagree, may get an initial bump but comes down to affordability and homes are still not affordable for many. Throw in that many first time home buyers are also the ones who could get hit the hardest with the potential increases in health insurance, rising taxes and property insurance.  I think you may see some additional activity with an initial bump, but not sustained or increase in pricing. 

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    • AJ WongBusiness Member
      OP
      Real Estate Broker · Oregon & California Coast · Member since 2022 · 834 posts · 696 votes
      1y
      Quote from @Chris Seveney:

      Disagree, may get an initial bump but comes down to affordability and homes are still not affordable for many. Throw in that many first time home buyers are also the ones who could get hit the hardest with the potential increases in health insurance, rising taxes and property insurance.  I think you may see some additional activity with an initial bump, but not sustained or increase in pricing. 


      You usually do ;) We just had our busiest month ever - by far. There is a wall of demand from buyers and investors that will crescendo when rates decline another .75-1%. Prime Investment property loans are in the very low 6%'s already. As importantly -those that purchased in the past three years (like me) and could qualify at higher rates - will refinance and REDUCE their housing obligations while equity rich owners - sell and reinvest.

      We expect more of a K-Shaped housing market: Entry level homes will be more competitive as fewer buyers will qualify (or struggle to meet obligations) as valuations climb but at the higher end of the market range - demand for diversification of prime assets will accelerate.

      Asset prices are all up: equities, precious metals, commodities, crypto and those invested have historical liquidity. Additionally, lenders are VERY loose and we can qualify 95/100 applicants for a mortgage one way or another. 

      My mentor is a 20+ year RE Attorney and manages a literal Billion Dollar RE enterprise in South Florida. They just secured and refinanced several commercial notes of $10M+ at +/-5.5% and if rates decline from now..they'll realize the savings. This is a dramatic shift from near 7% terms for similar projects just a year ago that makes entire asset classes investable. 

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