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Updated about 1 month ago on . Most recent reply

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Ryan Foster
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How do you actually evaluate a syndication deal before writing the check?

Ryan Foster
Posted
Hey everyone — I’m a real estate investor exploring the LP side of syndications. I’ve been looking at a few deals and honestly the due diligence process feels like a mess. I’m trying to figure out how experienced passive investors evaluate offering memorandums before writing a check. A few questions: How do you verify the sponsor’s projections (rent growth, cap rate assumptions, exit numbers)? Do you use any tools or just Excel? How many deals do you pass on before committing? Would love to hear what your process actually looks like. Thanks.

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Evan Polaski
#2 Commercial Real Estate Investing Contributor
  • Cincinnati, OH
3,730
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Evan Polaski
#2 Commercial Real Estate Investing Contributor
  • Cincinnati, OH
Replied

@Ryan Foster,  it amazes me how many investors don't do a basic LinkedIn search first.  Or if they do, they allow the sponsor to talk around lack of actual operating experience.  (I see many with almost no real world experience, but also a good number that try to translate some other type of experience and successes into how they will be successful in real estate).

I would search company name and look not just at first page results, but push into pages 2 and 3.  This does take some general critical thinking about who may be posting reviews and feedback.  Commonly, you will get far more negative reviews than positive on any online forum, but this is true with amazon products and really anything people review overall.  Disgruntled people will go out of their way to let others know, while happy customers rarely leave reviews (without being pushed or incentivized).

The hardest part is really coming to your own understanding of market conditions and where things are moving.  At the end of the day, market conditions will have a much larger impact on your investment returns than any individual sponsor, as we are seeing with many previously successful sponsors that are taking baths in today's market.  Not to say the sponsor isn't to blame to some level (they didn't need to keep buying, but investors also didn't need to keep writing checks).  

At the end of the day, one of the best things you can do is have a lot of conversations with various groups before writing checks.  There is no "right answer" but I would say 20+ is reasonable.  Have a set of questions you ask all of them, and also dig deeper into various topics they bring up.  As others noted, you will get some good sales guys but when you dive into nuanced questions they fall short.  

Questions I always ask:
- Track record.  Types of deals, years bought, last deal sold.  When they got started (both company and principals in the industry).  How waterfalls and fees on full cycle deals compare to current deal.  How do realized returns compare to initial projections for these deals?

- Alignment: co-investment by GP.  Fees charged by GP (often ask for both percentage and absolute dollar amount).  If proforma ends up being correct, how much will the sponsor make in cumulative fees versus how much will they make from their carried interest?  Major red flag: if acquisition fee, alone, nets GP more than their co-invest

- How current deals are performing relative to initial proforma.  Ask for current financial statements and original offering memos to confirm.

- Referrals - I ask this only to hear if there is any hesitation in their answer.  The right answer is: "yes, how many would you like".  Note: I know they will only ever share happy investors, so I don't ever actually reach out to these people.

-

  • Evan Polaski
  • [email protected]
  • 513-638-9799
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