$100 Billion Micron Semiconductor Plant Breaks Ground in Clay NY

$100 Billion Micron Semiconductor Plant Breaks Ground in Clay NY

Real Estate Agent · Central New York · Member since 2023 · 207 posts · 96 votes

After years of promise, the $100 Billion Micron Fab Plant officially broke ground this past Friday (1/16) in Clay NY, just 15 minutes North of Syracuse. This marks the largest private investment in New York’s history, and is expected to bring upwards of 50,000 jobs either directly through Micron or indirectly through local economy drivers (hospitality, hospitals, educational centers). Construction is expected to happen over the next 15 years as Micron intends to build a total of 4 fabs.


How does this relate to Real Estate Investing? MFH and apartment-style complexes are expected to begin construction in expectance of the population influx over the coming years. Both SFH and MFH spaces, both city and suburbs, have been appreciating at an astonishing 8-12% YoY even before Micron broke ground. The true "Micron Boom" has not happened yet. The Greater Syracuse area is already in a bit of a housing shortage. Now that construction has began, I expect this imbalance of supply and demand to only become greater, further increasing property values and forcing appreciation. This undoubtedly will creep into the investment space as well. The city and suburbs as a whole are still relatively affordable. Both SFH and MFH range anywhere in the 100-350K range, with the higher end representing more "ready to go" properties for investors. Given local zoning regulations (NIMBYs) and builder constraints, builders likely will not be able to keep up with the population increase, also forcing property values and appreciation upward. Given the amount of short term contract work (HVAC, electricians, construction workers), the local rental economy will likely experience upward pressure as demand increases. This is quickly positioning itself to become potentially the largest investment opportunity in the area's recent history.

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  • Lender · Charlotte, NC · Member since 2016 · 371 posts · 172 votes
    8mo

    New World Order tracking

  • MD/DC · Member since 2024 · 1k+ posts · 1k+ votes
    8mo

    I know nothing about this endeavor but wonder if things like this are ever as predictable as we might imagine. Will there actually be a population explosion? How much of these jobs can be performed virtually or outsourced? I can tell you from first hand experience how long the process to increase services at small community hospitals can take let alone getting approval, funding and constructing an actual medical center. And while I’m definitely a fan of the local pub cuisine in that area it’s in the middle of nowhere and cold. It would be great for RE if it follows the path you are predicting.

    • Real Estate Agent · Central New York · Member since 2023 · 207 posts · 96 votes
      8mo
      Quote from @Jules Aton:

      I know nothing about this endeavor but wonder if things like this are ever as predictable as we might imagine. Will there actually be a population explosion? How much of these jobs can be performed virtually or outsourced? I can tell you from first hand experience how long the process to increase services at small community hospitals can take let alone getting approval, funding and constructing an actual medical center. And while I’m definitely a fan of the local pub cuisine in that area it’s in the middle of nowhere and cold. It would be great for RE if it follows the path you are predicting.


       So right now they are just breaking ground and starting to clear the land. Phase 1 is expected to take 3 years to complete for the first plant. They are expecting to hire 2,500 people to help clear the site, run utilities, and actaully construct the first plant. They are aiming for about 80% local labor. Syracuse University and Onondaga Community College have both erected programs to help directly transfer students from college to work for Micron. Housing prices are already appreciating at high rates, and as mentioned the Boom hasn't even close to happened yet. If even a fraction of what is expected happens, appreciation and property values are just going to keep rising at astonishing rates. 

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