Deal Evaluation - Good Deal or Not

Hi, I'm looking at a deal in the San Antonio area and wanting to get an opinion on whether or not it is a good deal.  Here are the particulars:

Price - 137k

ARV - 170k

Rehab-15k

Rent-1600

Tax-4400/yr

Ins-1450/yr

HOA-250/yr

30 yr Conv @ 5%

Closing Cost-5k

Thanks