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David Totten
  • Real Estate Consultant
  • Barstow, CA
59
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86
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Insurance Costs Are Killing Landlord Cash Flow - What the 2026 Numbers Say

David Totten
  • Real Estate Consultant
  • Barstow, CA
Posted

Been compiling research briefs for real estate coaches and wanted to share something that keeps coming up in every conversation about deal underwriting right now.

Insurance has stopped being a line-item it's become a deal variable. Here's what the data actually shows:

● Average annual premiums hit a record $2,412 in 2025 after back-to-back surges of 13.8% and 13.7% in the two prior years. The pace is slowing but the baseline is now permanently higher.

● Multifamily per-unit insurance costs rose from $39/month in 2019 to $68/month by end of 2024 a 75% jump in real terms. That's straight from the Federal Reserve.

● A Minnesota Fed survey found 2024 premiums were double 2021 levels more than 6x the CPI increase over the same period.

● 80%+ of home flippers reported insurance issues causing them to miss a deal entirely. 44% of rental investors said the same.

● J.P. Morgan projects commercial property insurance costs increase nearly 80% by 2030. That's not a warning that's a planning horizon.

Heading into 2026 the investors who underwrite insurance as a fixed cost are pricing in risk they can't see. Geographic diversification into lower-catastrophe-exposure markets is becoming a core strategy, not an afterthought.

Happy to share the full brief if it's useful to anyone here. No pitch  just sharing what I put together for a client this week.

- David 

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Patricia Steiner
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Hyde Park Tampa, FL
3,948
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2,566
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Patricia Steiner
  • Real Estate Broker
  • Hyde Park Tampa, FL
Replied

And, the #1 state with the highest insurance cost in the nation:  Florida.  Woo-hoo! We're #1 - and yes, it sucks.

The cost of living in paradise includes surviving a hurricane or two - and even worse, the endless drama created by weather people who start reporting 'disturbances' in Africa.  I guess all that reporting of sunny and clear gets to be too boring day after day.  With it all, rental prices have increased.  Landlords cannot/will not absorb this cost. Those engaged with Section 8 have been successful in holding their ground that if the muncipalities want housing, the subsidies/prices have to increase. We have also found that renters are emotionally tied to where they live and will pay more to be in the 'right market/property.'

What's most interesting and is being experienced in other 'paradise' states like Hawaii:  the locals leave the market due to the costs but 'mainlanders, snowbirds', non-US citizens and those seeking a lifestyle change are moving in. 

With all the drama of real estate, it remains the fastest way to build and preserve wealth.  There is no 'passive' in building and managing a successful business - any business - and especially one as complex as real estate.  My recommendation to all investors is KNOW your business...winging it is for rookies.  You got this.

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