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48
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32
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Jada Thoele
  • Lender
32
Votes |
48
Posts

A price drop that doesn't sell your flip can also kill your refinance.

Jada Thoele
  • Lender
Posted

I had a borrower come to me last week with a flip that wouldn't move.

$50K into rehab. Priced at $700K. Dropped it to $650K trying to get traction.

Meanwhile, he's bleeding hard money fees every month with no exit in sight.

He decided to refinance and keep the property as a rental to stop the bleeding.

Most flippers assume refinancing is straightforward once the rehab is done — especially if the appraisal comes in strong.

So they drop the price, wait for the right buyer, and plan to refi if it doesn't sell.

☝️ What they DON’T know is that price drop just became the number their lender has to work with.

If your property is listed — or was listed in the last 6 months — a DSCR lender cannot use appraised value. They use the lowest list price on record.

So his math changed fast.

Property appraised at $700K. Loan at 75% LTV. He wanted $525K out.

But the lender had to base the loan on that $650K price drop. His actual loan came in at $487,500.

That's $37K less than he was counting on.

The fix: don’t drop and delist before you apply.

  👉 Most lenders need 6 months off market before they can ignore the list price history and go back to appraised value.

Know this before you cut the price.

If you're sitting on a flip that isn't moving and you're thinking about refinancing out, get off market first.

THEN start the conversation with your lender.

Timing this wrong is an expensive lesson. Hopefully this saves someone from learning it the hard way.

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91
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54
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Richard Golding
  • Contractor
  • NYC/Los Angeles
54
Votes |
91
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Richard Golding
  • Contractor
  • NYC/Los Angeles
Replied

This is a good reminder that the exit strategy has to be underwritten before the rehab starts. If the flip only works as a sale at a strong ARV, but the backup refinance depends on that same optimistic value, you do not really have two exits. You have one hopeful number.

I would model sale and refinance separately. For sale, use realistic sold comps, days on market, commissions, closing costs, seller credits, and possible price reductions. For refinance, use conservative appraised value, lender haircut, seasoning rules, DSCR/rent assumptions if relevant, cash-out limits, and the cost of keeping the property if it does not sell.

A price drop can signal to both buyers and appraisers that the first number was too high. It may not always kill value, but it can weaken the story if the market is already soft.

The safest approach is to buy and rehab to a number that works without needing a perfect sale. That means conservative ARV, realistic rehab, real holding costs, and a backup plan that stands on its own.

If the refinance backup only works at the same aggressive ARV as the retail exit, I would not treat it as a true safety net.

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