Hi, I'm a new investor with 2 rental properties (Paid Cash, Full Renovations needed on both so that's where my experience comes from, now their successful rentals) & a fairly successful small multi-family flip out of state. I analyze multiple off-market deals thru wholesalers & my local network that know I'm a "Real" cash buyer on a daily basis and I can't get ANY deals to pencil out to cashflow if using the BRRRR method at 7-8% rates. Cut the purchase by 50% off asking, little to no renovation budget & still deals aren't cash flowing if you pull any money out. What am I missing? How are people making a "business" of investing using this method at this time? Those same deals with logical numbers I can flip & make $15-$20k estimated but personally that's not what I want to do....but is that what most are doing right now just to keep their Real Estate business flowing?
Obviously "real cash buyers" cash flow. People doing 1031's of paid off properties for replacements that are only 20-30% more expensive. People switching to MTR or STR are collecting 2-4x the rent. House hackers who are more concerned about saving rent or are doing rentals by room. LTR landlords are the most price sensitive and have to pay the least. They will only win by finding or making deals the others don't know about or taking a worse deal. Imagine if they accepted the same returns LTR landlords did. They'd be paying even higher prices.
Ps. I just did my first 1031 to buy my first new build. It equates to 60% down and a builder buy down of the rate plus closing help and it would still look like a bad investment to an outsider who didn’t know about the $100k in taxes I saved.
Obviously "real cash buyers" cash flow. People doing 1031's of paid off properties for replacements that are only 20-30% more expensive. People switching to MTR or STR are collecting 2-4x the rent. House hackers who are more concerned about saving rent or are doing rentals by room. LTR landlords are the most price sensitive and have to pay the least. They will only win by finding or making deals the others don't know about or taking a worse deal. Imagine if they accepted the same returns LTR landlords did. They'd be paying even higher prices.
Ps. I just did my first 1031 to buy my first new build. It equates to 60% down and a builder buy down of the rate plus closing help and it would still look like a bad investment to an outsider who didn’t know about the $100k in taxes I saved.
I find all my deals off-market. I don’t go through wholesalers and very rarely do I go through an agent (though this does happen from time to time). I live in one of, if not the most, competitive market in the US and I still find deals.
I would recommend finding a niche and getting really good at that. For me, it was cold calling and relationship building. I took a long term approach and it paid off huge. In my market you can drop two deals a year and easily net half a million - so I focussed on quality and not quantity.
Cold calling is not for everyone but there are other methods. The point is, there are plenty of deals everywhere you just need to be in front of this deals (people) when they want to sell. Figure that out and you have got yourself a winning strategy.
I find all my deals off-market. I don’t go through wholesalers and very rarely do I go through an agent (though this does happen from time to time). I live in one of, if not the most, competitive market in the US and I still find deals.
I would recommend finding a niche and getting really good at that. For me, it was cold calling and relationship building. I took a long term approach and it paid off huge. In my market you can drop two deals a year and easily net half a million - so I focussed on quality and not quantity.
Cold calling is not for everyone but there are other methods. The point is, there are plenty of deals everywhere you just need to be in front of this deals (people) when they want to sell. Figure that out and you have got yourself a winning strategy.
2 Deals per year & net half a million? Using the BRRR Strategy? I could also flip homes & Make $...That's just not my goal as I'd like to own the property for the long term just don't want to have negative cash flow if I can help it.
Hey @Ell Jay Lindsey you kinda have 2 choices right now as things are in a little state of confusion. You can stay right where you are and do nothing real estate related. Which is ok because you have a regular job and a couple of properties.
OR you can change what you do. You know things are not penciling out right now. That is the way it is. I think what @Bill B. is saying is that if you want to keep going, you have to try different things. You may not WANT to do a flip or two, but it's kinda what you do already, you just dont sell. BUT if selling is what makes sense, do it. Maybe the numbers dont work for a regular rental, but maybe they do for a mid-term or short-term.
Keep the machine going. Stay in the game. Keep the contractors busy. When things make more sense to hold again, hold again. For now, do something else!!
The only answers here are you need different markets or better deals.
That said, if you're executing a true, full BRRRR it's a bit unrealistic to expect to get much cash flow after the fact.
If I can get all my capital back (or real close) I'm content with operating at break even. It's essentially a free property and rents will go up over time, etc.
We're still doing plenty of strong cash flowing deals in Detroit but there's a balance. The more cash you end up leaving in it after a BRRRR the less net cash flow is left (generally speaking).
@Ell Jay Lindsey going to guess that you are referring to Class A properties?
Prices & rates have gone up so much in the last 3-5 years, that these won't cashflow ANYWHERE!
So, you can either accept negative cashflow for 3-5 years or switch to investing in Class B & C properties.
@Ell Jay Lindsey
We run a debt fund buying loans and others are doing private lending. That is one way you can make money in this environment
@Ell Jay Lindsey I was finding deals.
Currently I’m raising funds for my next deal although I’m not sure what that deal will be yet. I’m sure it will appear once I have my funds in place and start looking for it.
I’m in the midst of renovating the last deal so am not too concerned about the next project just yet which is why I’m happy to be raising my capital currently.
I expect to get serious about looking for my next deal mid March.
BRRRR is not a cash flow strategy.
BRRRR is not a cash flow strategy.
Fair enough, what would be a cash flow strategy if not BRRRR? If I put 50% down on an investment it may cashflow but that's basically appreciation play because I'd have so much $ left in the deal & can only do that so many times before I run out of Cash.
@Ell Jay Lindsey going to guess that you are referring to Class A properties?
Prices & rates have gone up so much in the last 3-5 years, that these won't cashflow ANYWHERE!
So, you can either accept negative cashflow for 3-5 years or switch to investing in Class B & C properties.
The only answers here are you need different markets or better deals.
That said, if you're executing a true, full BRRRR it's a bit unrealistic to expect to get much cash flow after the fact.
If I can get all my capital back (or real close) I'm content with operating at break even. It's essentially a free property and rents will go up over time, etc.
We're still doing plenty of strong cash flowing deals in Detroit but there's a balance. The more cash you end up leaving in it after a BRRRR the less net cash flow is left (generally speaking).
Makes sense.
Hey @Ell Jay Lindsey you kinda have 2 choices right now as things are in a little state of confusion. You can stay right where you are and do nothing real estate related. Which is ok because you have a regular job and a couple of properties.
OR you can change what you do. You know things are not penciling out right now. That is the way it is. I think what @Bill B. is saying is that if you want to keep going, you have to try different things. You may not WANT to do a flip or two, but it's kinda what you do already, you just dont sell. BUT if selling is what makes sense, do it. Maybe the numbers dont work for a regular rental, but maybe they do for a mid-term or short-term.
Keep the machine going. Stay in the game. Keep the contractors busy. When things make more sense to hold again, hold again. For now, do something else!!
BRRRR is not a cash flow strategy.
Fair enough, what would be a cash flow strategy if not BRRRR? If I put 50% down on an investment it may cashflow but that's basically appreciation play because I'd have so much $ left in the deal & can only do that so many times before I run out of Cash.
BRRRR is not a cash flow strategy.
Fair enough, what would be a cash flow strategy if not BRRRR? If I put 50% down on an investment it may cashflow but that's basically appreciation play because I'd have so much $ left in the deal & can only do that so many times before I run out of Cash.
The only answers here are you need different markets or better deals.
That said, if you're executing a true, full BRRRR it's a bit unrealistic to expect to get much cash flow after the fact.
If I can get all my capital back (or real close) I'm content with operating at break even. It's essentially a free property and rents will go up over time, etc.
We're still doing plenty of strong cash flowing deals in Detroit but there's a balance. The more cash you end up leaving in it after a BRRRR the less net cash flow is left (generally speaking).
You put more money down or buy distressed and fix up for less than stellar gains.You can get "creative", but not everyone has time to sniff out 1000 leads and act on 4 of them.
I think the fundamental mistake is thinking REI is instant cash flow.
Y'all got tricked by post-GR which was the greatest culmination of events for residential REI. The reality is physical assets are rarely intrinsic. You buy with the intention of it becoming intrinsic. That may sound speculative, but in some degree all forms of investing are. Most people are shackled by yester-years "investing" strategies.
A monkey could buy a property in 2014 and cash flow. This is a different ball game 10 years later.
The only answers here are you need different markets or better deals.
That said, if you're executing a true, full BRRRR it's a bit unrealistic to expect to get much cash flow after the fact.
If I can get all my capital back (or real close) I'm content with operating at break even. It's essentially a free property and rents will go up over time, etc.
We're still doing plenty of strong cash flowing deals in Detroit but there's a balance. The more cash you end up leaving in it after a BRRRR the less net cash flow is left (generally speaking).
You put more money down or buy distressed and fix up for less than stellar gains.You can get "creative", but not everyone has time to sniff out 1000 leads and act on 4 of them.
I think the fundamental mistake is thinking REI is instant cash flow.
Y'all got tricked by post-GR which was the greatest culmination of events for residential REI. The reality is physical assets are rarely intrinsic. You buy with the intention of it becoming intrinsic. That may sound speculative, but in some degree all forms of investing are. Most people are shackled by yester-years "investing" strategies.
A monkey could buy a property in 2014 and cash flow. This is a different ball game 10 years later.
The only answers here are you need different markets or better deals.
That said, if you're executing a true, full BRRRR it's a bit unrealistic to expect to get much cash flow after the fact.
If I can get all my capital back (or real close) I'm content with operating at break even. It's essentially a free property and rents will go up over time, etc.
We're still doing plenty of strong cash flowing deals in Detroit but there's a balance. The more cash you end up leaving in it after a BRRRR the less net cash flow is left (generally speaking).
The only answers here are you need different markets or better deals.
That said, if you're executing a true, full BRRRR it's a bit unrealistic to expect to get much cash flow after the fact.
If I can get all my capital back (or real close) I'm content with operating at break even. It's essentially a free property and rents will go up over time, etc.
We're still doing plenty of strong cash flowing deals in Detroit but there's a balance. The more cash you end up leaving in it after a BRRRR the less net cash flow is left (generally speaking).
The only answers here are you need different markets or better deals.
That said, if you're executing a true, full BRRRR it's a bit unrealistic to expect to get much cash flow after the fact.
If I can get all my capital back (or real close) I'm content with operating at break even. It's essentially a free property and rents will go up over time, etc.
We're still doing plenty of strong cash flowing deals in Detroit but there's a balance. The more cash you end up leaving in it after a BRRRR the less net cash flow is left (generally speaking).
@Jonathan Pflueger
We are also finding market deals.
Wholesalers had gotten spoiled by adding 30k to their "deals", well the winds have shifted.
After a unicorn decade, we are back to normal. If you want to "invest", you'll need some money. Something for nothing is simply not happening anymore (on a regular basis). I have been BRRRR'ing for over a decade in Milwaukee and about 3 years ago (when inventory started getting unltra low) our BRRRR's would come up with some negative equity. The alternative is to cut corners and for example leave the roof for another 3 years, but that's not how we operate.
You can also zoom out: if you factor in 3 years worth of appreciation, BRRRR's are working very well. We didn't have that before.
@Ell Jay Lindsey
My W2 job, buy I buy and hold