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BlogArrowReal Estate Rookie PodcastArrowRookie Podcast 50: Rookie Reply: I Have Analysis Paralysis, What Should I Do?
Real Estate Rookie Podcast Feb 05, 2021

Rookie Podcast 50: Rookie Reply: I Have Analysis Paralysis, What Should I Do?

Real Estate Rookie Podcast
Expertise:
58 Articles Written

Welcome to the first Rookie Reply episode of the Rookie podcast! We’ll be taking questions from Facebook, Instagram, the BiggerPockets forums, and maybe even the Rookie Request Line (Call us at 1-888-5-ROOKIE).

This week’s question comes from Trevor on the Real Estate Rookie Facebook Group. Trevor is asking: What was the hardest part of getting started? What helped you overcome that obstacle, and how do you mitigate analysis paralysis? 

This is a question we often get, so it’s perfect for the first Rookie Reply show. Here are some suggestions:

  • See the first deal as a learning opportunity 
  • Don’t let it become emotional
  • Verify your data and numbers
  • Have another exit strategy
  • Get an accountability partner
  • And more in the episode…

If you want Ashley and Tony to answer a real estate question, you can post in the Real Estate Rookie Facebook Group!

Click here to listen on Apple Podcasts.

Listen to the Podcast Here

Read the Transcript Here

Ashley Kehr:
This is Real Estate Rookie, show number 50. I am Ashley Kehr, and I am here with Tony Robinson. Today we have a special Saturday episode just for you guys, and we’re going to be answering a question from the Facebook group. Are you excited Tony?

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Tony Robinson:
I’m super excited to give the listeners a second dose of us during the week, and really spend some time diving into some of those questions that we know that they want to hear answers to.

Ashley Kehr:
So what we’re going to be doing going forward is we’ll be having the Saturday episode. We’ll be pulling questions from Facebook, from Instagram, from the BiggerPockets forums and coming up with some of our own questions. So if you guys want to get involved, join the Real Estate Rookie Facebook group. Just search Real Estate Rookie and ask to join. Make sure that you answer all of the questions and agree to the terms so that you can be submitted into the group.

Tony Robinson:
Beautiful. So the first question, excited to dive into it. It comes from Trevor who's in our Real Estate Rookie group on Facebook. And Trevor's question is, "Hey everyone, I found BP a few months ago and have loved the content so far. Very interested in getting out of the analysis paralysis phase and was curious if anyone is around the Northern Kentucky, Cincinnati area. Would love to touch base and hopefully pick up a few pointers on how you got started in that area. My girlfriend and I are determined to take the leap." So the big question is, what was the hardest part for everyone else in getting started, and then what helped you overcome that obstacle? So that's a big question, right Ash? And I feel like so many people think and have that same question. I know from my perspective, what held me back the most is trying to find that perfect deal.
You hear about all the different rules, this rule, that rule, then you’re trying to make all these different numbers work. But when I finally realized that the purpose of the first deal wasn’t to be perfect or hit a home run, but just to get that base hit and just get over the hump of getting the first deal done and learning and educating myself, it took away a lot of the stress because it’s like, “Okay, I don’t have to make a killing on this first deal. I just need to learn. I just need to educate myself. I just need to know the ins and outs of getting that first deal done.” And once I made that mindset shift, it became a lot easier to actually move forward.

Ashley Kehr:
And I think the mindset is a huge part of just taking action and getting that first deal done. Because if you can change your mindset and not be afraid, and you can overcome that fear of getting started, overcome that obstacle, I don’t think you will find any successful real estate investor who has regretted their first deal, even if they lost a ton of money on it. A while back, we had Jay Scott on, from the BiggerPockets Business Podcast, and I love hearing about his first deal. It was not a home run. It sat on the market. They ended up having to rent it out and finally sold it for basically what they had put into it years ago before they actually sold it. But he has done an amazing job and he has grown and he does not regret that deal at all because they learned so many lessons from that.
And I think that’s the same thing too, is just taking that action and getting into the groove, but really find out what are you afraid of? What is that actual obstacle? So is it that the numbers aren’t going to work? Well, bulletproof those numbers. Actually pull the proof and figure out, okay, my insurance is going to be this, prove it to me. My property taxes are going to be this, prove it to me. My rents are going to be this, prove it to me. How you can do that is you can get so much information online. Go online to any insurance website, ask for a free quote for that exact property. Plug in the information, a lot of times you can get quotes back within 24 hours on a property, and it will be a good estimate of what that insurance cost will be for you. And then next, you can pull the county taxes online, school taxes online, verify all that data and get your really tight numbers.
BiggerPockets has the BP Insights where you can pull the rents for that area from there and underestimate it. If you're not very confident, go below what it says the market rents are. And then if worse comes to worse, have another exit strategy. You are buying this property for a buy and hold, what's going to happen if you can't rent it out? Do you have the reserves in place to hold it for six months? Or would you be able to sell this property and then move on to another property? So these are all ways to put plans and ideas and strategies in place so that when you think about that worst fear, you say, "Oh, well actually I have a plan for that." Or "I looked at the data and the data does not lie that these are the actual property taxes and my numbers are accurate," if you can prove them to someone else.
So if you guys need an accountability partner, send us your deals and prove to us how you got those numbers. I think that’s a big part of it is really honing down where you’re getting your information from. What do you think, Tony?

Tony Robinson:
That’s such a good point, Ashley. As new investors, we can make investing be an emotional experience when really it should be based in the data. And it should be based on the numbers that, like you said, that you’ve proven to yourself. So when you can remove that emotional factor and really focus on the numbers, it makes a huge difference. I love that point. I guess one other thing I would add, and it came to my mind as you were speaking, is can you live with the worst case scenario? So if you buy this property and say that, I don’t know, you’re halfway through the rehab and you’ve realized that you hate rehabbing and you hate real estate investing, and you need to offload it mid rehab, can you live with that worst case scenario? Or say that you’re buying this property and it needs to sit vacant for a year, do you have the reserves to cover that property sitting vacant?
Whatever you feel the worst case scenario might be, think if you can live with that worst case scenario, and if you can, then what are you waiting for? If you know you can live with what the worst case scenario is, there’s nothing stopping you from moving forward. It just came to my mind, but I love what you said, Ash. It’s all good stuff.

Ashley Kehr:
A lot of times any problem or issue can be fixed with money. So that can seem so easy to say, but that’s why it’s important to have those reserves but also, maybe you have someone that would lend you money in emergency or maybe that’s why you’re taking on a partner. So for me, my first partner, he came to the table with all of the cash. I put in a little of my own for the rehab, but he used his cash to purchase the whole property, but he also had money and resources beyond that. He had his stock investments, other ways to access capital if we really needed it, if all of a sudden we needed to replace the whole foundation or fix the sewer, all of these things that you think of as a new investor, I knew that we could tap into his other resources, and to me, that was my safety net and that made me feel comfortable. And yes, it can seem unfair.
"Well, you're using him." Well, structure that partnership so that it benefits him and he wants to do it. And he did. He was more than happy. So what we did was, it was 50/50 equity and he also got a mortgage payment for any money he put into the deal. So every month he was paid principal and interest and five and a half percent. And he did nothing. I did the property management. I found the deals, everything like that. So if you really want to get started, give up something too and make it an opportunity for someone else. And that can really help you if you were like me and you were scared, you were nervous about getting started and that something horrific would happen and you wouldn't have the money to take care of it.

Tony Robinson:
So that’s a lot for you there, Trevor. I hope you got some value out of that, brother. But yeah, I think we hit it on the head. You follow that advice and you should be able to get that first deal done.

Ashley Kehr:
So make sure you guys tune in next Saturday. We will have another Facebook question that we will be answering and make sure you join us on Wednesday for episode number 51. Thank you guys for listening. I’m Ashley Kehr, @wealthfromrentals and he’s Tony Robinson, @tonyjrobinson.

 

Watch the Podcast Here

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In This Episode We Cover

  • How to overcome analysis paralysis 
  • Why you should know your “worst case scenario” and adjust accordingly to it
  • Having other exit strategies for your property 
  • Having reserves (or a partner with reserves)
  • Taking the emotion out of the deal
  • And More!

Links from the Show

  • BP Insights
  • Rookie Podcast 12: What Works (and Doesn’t) in a Recession & the Untold Story of J Scott’s Messy First Flip

Connect with Ashley and Tony:

  • Ashley’s Instagram
  • Tony’s Instagram

By Real Estate Rookie Podcast
Ready to go take action? Every Wednesday, the Real Estate Rookie Podcast will arm you with tips, tools, and inspiration to help you launch your real estate investing career. Hosts Ashley Kehr and Felipe Mejia welcome a wide range of guests as they tackle the newbie questions you've always wondered about, but might be afraid to ask. Listen. Learn. Then make it happen!
Read more
4 Replies
    Account Closed
    Replied 28 days ago
    Ready to go take action? Every Wednesday, the Real Estate Rookie Podcast will arm you with tips, tools, and inspiration to help you launch your real estate investing career. Hosts Ashley Kehr and Felipe Mejia welcome a wide range of guests as they tackle the newbie questions you've always wondered about, but might be afraid to ask. Listen. Learn. Sell on Amazon

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    Matthew Kwiatkowski Real Estate Agent from Philadelphia, PA
    Replied 27 days ago
    Analysis paralysis is one of the biggest problems I see with investors. If you're looking for to purchase investment real estate, the best deals move fast. If the deals is sitting out for anyone to come and grab, it's probably not the best deal. If the deal seems right, grab it so no one else does.

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    Andrew Syrios Residential Real Estate Investor from Kansas City, MO
    Replied 25 days ago
    Paralysis by analysis is a very, very common problem early on (and later on too for that matter).

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    Richard A. Real Estate Agent from North Myrtle Beach
    Replied 13 days ago
    It's can also be considered wise contemplation.. begin with the end in mind... Eventually you are going to have to make decision, However, I like to follow a good decision making process ie Kepner Tregoe.. Once you know what you are looking for I agree with Mathew you need to be prepared to "get it under contract" What does preparedness looks like to me? 1) I have a buyer with a stated need or I have identified a type of property I want to acquire 2) Analyze the data, I use 4 different sources of information to determine CMA and ARV 3) Use a good rule of thumb to assess the cost of rehabilitation i.e $X per sq ft for a cosmetic make over $X per sf ft for a major renovation 4) Do the math... don't forget to include the cost of money estimated carry time and costs..... Know what your buyer will accept. Most of my wholesalers want at least a 70% discount, My cash buyers want 15% discount on FMV minus cost to get it ready to listing or rent , My fix and flippers want at least $50,000 profit for their risk and efforts 5) SWOT Strength, Weakness, Opportunity, and Threats ie: Strength- its a 3-2 brick building; the bad- it has a septic system; opportunity -seller is highly motivated; threats- it in a flood area, 5) Make a strong offer … present the contract and EMD check 6) Arrange the financing... In a properly written contract you have a due diligence period and a contingency based on ability to get finance. Use your due diligence period to check the deal with your buyer, if you haven't already and do inspections i.e. check out the septic tank at least do a hydraulic load test, During your finance contingency arrange down payment and purchase money or contact your buyer and closing attorney to arrange a double close in escrow. There are a lot of moving parts in these transaction, however with some measured analysis and a good process, ( having a knowledgeable project partner helps) you will find you learn more as you do more.

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