Would You Buy for Cashflow Only?

Would You Buy for Cashflow Only?

Rental Property Investor · Olney, MD · Member since 2019 · 32 posts · 10 votes

The area: Sandusky, OH 44870.

The local economy: tied to the seasonal fluctuations of Cedar Point, an amusement park. Most major blue-collar jobs have left leaving a primarily services-based economy around Cedar Point tourists.

Background: I grew up there (live in Maryland now) and have seen my childhood neighborhood get taken over by the Firelands Regional Medical Center and have seen the surrounding area properties fall into disrepair. I have a team in place: agent, prop mgmt company, handyman, lawyer, et al. 

When I buy, I pay cash. I'm fortunate enough to own a couple tech companies that permit me that option. My goal is to find income producing assets for retirement. My two options today are between triple tax-free bond funds from T Rowe Price or incoming producing properties.

I have found a number of cash flowing properties that beat the tax-free return from the bond funds. My CPA created a spreadsheet for me that will calculate the return on these properties by taking into account my current tax rate (the highest) and the tax savings from the depreciation on these properties. When comparing the two returns, I want as close to apples vs apples as possible.

In light of all that, would anyone invest in cash flowing rentals when the potential appreciation is little to non-existent given the goal is cashflow only?

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Joe VilleneuvePro Member
Plymouth, MI · Member since 2013 · 13k+ posts · 19k+ votes
7y

Yes, but you still have to analyze that deal.  It's all about the deal you make, and how much you are actually paying for the property.

If you're paying all cash, you won't start making a profit until you recover all of it...in your case, from the cash flow.  If you buy a property all cash for $150k, and the cash flow (no loan) is $10k/year, it will take you 15 years (all going perfect) to recover your money spent...and then you start profiting.  Until then, all you're doing is getting your own money back in small (very small) pieces.

If you put 20% down instead, subtracting the mortgage payments, you could be getting $7k/year in cash flow.  That means you would recover all your cash, and start profiting, in year 5.  By the time you start profiting the all cash deal 10 years after), you would have profited $35k already...on just the one house.

Now the fun begins.  Take that same $150k, and put a down payment on 5 houses.  You end up cash flowing $35k/yr, instead of only $10k...spending the same money...and, all 5 houses recover their DP in 4 years.  So, by the time your all cash deal starts making a profit (11 years worth), you would have already profited around $385k.

Can that other investment do that?

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  • Rental Property Investor · Member since 2019 · 21 posts · 6 votes
    7y

    @Joe Villeneuve I'm curious about your answer as well! I'm starting off and before I pull the trigger I'd like to have my numbers as tight as possible. I've heard different things as to the viability of financing a property or a portfolio that sits in an LLC. Can you please provide some insight?

  • Real Estate Investor · North Ridgeville, OH · Member since 2016 · 97 posts · 81 votes
    7y

    For me this simply comes down to what are you trying to solve for? Terry in your case because you are not local, and you want to be a passive investor I would recommend you pass on this deal. I would expect you need to net at least 20% cash on cash return for it even to be worth a look. Personally I have bought all 10 of my rentals based strictly on cash flow only. I am in Cleveland and self manage though. My single goal for buying the properties was income, and that's exactly what it has created. Managing the properties myself takes a pretty good amount of free time. Especially at first. Once I have the property in a good spot from a maintenance stand point and have a tenant then it's much less work. For me the time needed is well worth it. To replace the income I receive from my rentals would take about $1-2 million dollars in traditional retirement accounts. We were able to duplicate that income with only a $365k investment. Your money would be better spent on something else. Also you can finance a property owned outright and held in an LLC. I literally just did this and close that loan on Thursday. Used Northwest Bank for the loan. They loaned 70% LTV.

  • Rental Property Investor · Olney, MD · Member since 2019 · 32 posts · 10 votes
    7y
    Originally posted by @Matt M.:

    @Terry Dunlap

    What are these properties cash flowing? And why invest in an area you already know is dead with no foreseeable appreciation. Unless it was cashflowing a lot, my answer would be a big no. I’m spoiled though, I’ve been lucky enough to find stuff that cash flows well, and appreciation is there right away.

    Search through this thread as I have a link to my results from the BG Rental Property calculator. 

  • Real Estate Investor · North Ridgeville, OH · Member since 2016 · 97 posts · 81 votes
    7y

    I have another question.  "My two options today are between triple tax-free bond funds from T Rowe Price or incoming producing properties."  Why are these your only options?  There are literally hundreds of options from dividend growth stocks, etf's, reits, etc.  Personally I am using the income from the rentals to build a dividend growth portfolio.  Being 44 years of age I am not ready to retire for at least 9-10 years.

  • Rental Property Investor · Olney, MD · Member since 2019 · 32 posts · 10 votes
    7y
    Originally posted by @Bill Pate:

    I have another question.  "My two options today are between triple tax-free bond funds from T Rowe Price or incoming producing properties."  Why are these your only options?  There are literally hundreds of options from dividend growth stocks, etf's, reits, etc.  Personally I am using the income from the rentals to build a dividend growth portfolio.  Being 44 years of age I am not ready to retire for at least 9-10 years.

    Just sent you a message.

  • Professional · Parsippany, NJ · Member since 2013 · 384 posts · 262 votes
    7y

    Invest for cash flow first, tax advantages are second, pay down of loan is third (increase equity = over time) and appreciation is just icing on the cake. As an appraiser and investor I currently do not see much room for appreciation here in my New Jersey. Sorry, but I have a strange feeling that this over inflated bubble will come crashing down since the government is pumping too much hot air into the bubble. With that being said I currently do not anticipate any of my properties increasing anymore in value and if they do it will be a home run. Fortunately I purchased below value a recession prices and values in my area are HIGHER than the 2006 market. However, At the present time the last thing you want to do Is overpay. As long as you are not overpaying and all the numbers make sense in regards to sufficient Cash Flow and management of said property then don't even think about appreciation. If you hold for a long period of time like I plan on doing its completely irrelevant. Appreciation at times is subjective and shaky. Even If all my properties were too drop substantially in value due to market crash. I still have all of the aforementioned benefits because historically rent prices will not decrease AND I am still locked into the loan based upon the current market value which made sense in regards to cash flow. If all people do I bank on appreciation to rip money out of a rental then they put themselves at high risk

  • Real Estate Agent · Santa Barbara, CA · Member since 2016 · 518 posts · 283 votes
    7y

    @Terry Dunlap I try to find deals at a 15% IRR and at least a 2x equity multiple over a 5 year hold. I only look in the central coast of California. Most of the money is made from the appreciation and it's not really speculating because I go in to every deal with the assumption that cap rates move against me by 100 basis points.

  • Rental Property Investor · Dallas, TX · Member since 2019 · 92 posts · 15 votes
    7y

    @Joe Villeneuve would you mind if I PM you to gain the bit of knowledge that you shared with @Terry Dunlap ? I too am curious about refi'ing SFR's held by an LLC.

  • Developer · Panama City Beach, FL · Member since 2013 · 130 posts · 88 votes
    7y

    @Terry Dunlap

    Why not invest in your tech companies? They should have much higher returns.

    I started by working with guys in Akron that were selling dumps to wanna be landlords in the late 90s early 2000s run up. I can tell you that almost every 'investor' that was lured in by cheap cash flowing run down properties went bankrupt within a year or two because your rent and expense projections are always way off. It takes a special hands on operator that knows this biz up and down to succeed. If you gotta pay someone to find and fix and manage, you're already sunk. I wouldn't deal with sub 1k rentals, plus you already noted the decline in your hometown. It's not going to turn around. I feel bad for all the out of town investors overpaying for houses because they fall for 'projected' cash flow on run down City properties.

  • Colton, CA · Member since 2019 · 105 posts · 24 votes
    7y

    I will do it. It depends on the city and the area. If there is population growth and job opportunities in the near future.

  • Realtor · Rootstown, OH · Member since 2018 · 98 posts · 39 votes
    7y

    Yes I would and I do. I buy houses in Akron. $25-$35,000. Rent is $650-900 per month depending on bedrooms, etc. I have houses that i bought in 2004-2005 that are worth less now than what I paid for them but I cash flow every month. I have no intentions to sell, I just collect cash flow. I get 80%-90% financing. Cash flow is my goal with zero capital left in the deal by year 2-3.

  • Luke CarlPro Member
    Rental Property Investor · Tennessee Florida · Member since 2016 · 4k+ posts · 5k+ votes
    7y

    Cash Flow The Dough Dough!!!! That’s what it’s all about

  • Real Estate Agent · Memphis, TN · Member since 2019 · 261 posts · 253 votes
    7y

    In my market, Memphis, that's just about all you can invest in; any appreciation is a bonus. We expect to see more of it down the road as the city finally grows into its own more and more as we cement our importance in the warehousing and distribution industries (along with biomedical device industry, interestingly enough) but that shouldn't be an immediate consideration.

    As people are pointing out: cashflow seems to take priority early on to amass a larger portfolio to roll into more stable investments eventually.

  • Developer · Cincinnati, OH · Member since 2018 · 1k+ posts · 3k+ votes
    7y
    Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:

    @Erik W.  its a great model for the buy and hold landlord that does it all themselves.. its just a business your business is low end rentals..  you buying a widget to create a return.

    the OP is a tech company owner Multiple and is looking for hands off investing.. this type of investing in my mind is a waste of his time and resources.. by the time he farms it all out he would be very lucky to break even.. 

    not to mention finding debt on low value assets is a chore in its self.. you can find a local bank that will loan to a local like yourself  but very tough for out of market folks to duplicate this model.. 

    and for sure you just play the cards that are dealt you in your market..  were we live in Portlandia and in Vegas there are no 10k homes  hell there are no 10k lots  lots start at 100k  ..  but we also create wealth with move up in values.. 

    this is constant topic of discussion..

    so IMHO  if your local and you dig being a landlord for 500 to 600 dollar renters.. then that's great . like I said its a small business just like buying any other small business that is going to generate revenue.. I personally don't call It investing though.

    I agree with you Jay.

    A smart engineer from my office calculated that someone who makes $200K/yr or makes $100/hour - it's actually costly for that person to buy a single family home that he rents just to make a $200/month cashflow. 

    One should calculate the time it takes to find the deal, negotiate it, market the rental, screen the tenant, trouble shoot any maintenance or tenant issues that arise, etc.

    It's better for a high earning person to invest passively in a syndicated apartment deal and get a 6-8% preferred return and 30% ownership/profit share. That is truly passive and worth the time of a $200K/yr earner.

  • Investor · Boston, MA · Member since 2015 · 1k+ posts · 3k+ votes
    7y

    @Terry Dunlap

    You have different goals than most folks giving you advice so I'd take most everything in this thread with a grain of salt.

    Most people on BP are using REI to grow their wealth. You want to use RE to preserve capital and protect against inflation. Nothing wrong with either camp, but what is good for the former doesn't always translate to the latter.

    If you buy for cash in an area like Sandusky you will lose capital since supply outstrips demand meaning you won't get any meaningful apperciation. Levering up as others have suggested just means you can buy more properties that will also lose value. Most of these C class rentals will be lucky have CoC in the 5-8% range over along term time horizon after CapEx, turnover costs, PM ect. Don't buy into the old trope that PMs will take care of everything. Instead of managing tenants you'll spend your time managing the PM.

    If you want "passive" RE look into syndication or other private offers. It is clear you are good a making money in your day job, so spend your time there and focus on investments that don't have such a high opportunity cost.

  • Rental Property Investor · New York City · Member since 2014 · 208 posts · 271 votes
    7y

    @Terry Dunlap It depends upon how much work you want to do. I would work with your CPA to compare multifamily syndications, small multifamily assets, SFR, other commercial, etc. Then factor in your time and see what pops. Others have given you lots of good advice as well. Feel free to reach out if you think I can help, and keep us posted!

  • Financial Advisor · CA · Member since 2012 · 128 posts · 76 votes
    7y

    Yes! I would definitely do that.  Put that nice cash in a diversified global fund and catch that 8-15% per annum.  Look at the compounding over the years.  It's hard to match.  Or, rake it in for a couple years and go buy your appreciating asset.  Some of each.

  • Alex KhanPro Member
    Specialist · Southeast Michigan · Member since 2015 · 300 posts · 244 votes
    7y

    @Terry Dunlap There’s still deals out there that will cash flow every month. 40-60k for the purchase and the right property below market value with an instant equity grab. Cashout once rented out and repeat.

    The key is in the buying of the right product that will appreciate and the discounted rate you purchase at should be lower than market value if you’re paying cash.

  • Rental Property Investor · Chicago, IL · Member since 2019 · 109 posts · 443 votes
    7y

    My opinion is YES...I would.  And here is why:  1. You don't know what the future holds and cities do different things, so Cedar Point (or anywhere) can become something different in the next 5 or 10 years, you cant assume it will always be what it is now.  2. You get the tax advantages of owning Real Estate regardless of appreciation and cashflow  3. You would be paying down principle every month so it is like a savings account and it forces you to save money you would otherwise spend

  • Rental Property Investor · Palm Harbor, FL · Member since 2019 · 5 posts · 3 votes
    7y

    @Joe Villeneuve *mind blown*

  • Rental Property Investor · Charlotte, NC · Member since 2019 · 40 posts · 23 votes
    7y

    @Terry Dunlap it's a luxury to be able to swing for the fences on appreciation only in every deal. You can't eat future appreciation and live in it.

    On the other hand its difficult to generate wealth if all you are doing is trying to leg out bunts to first base on low-margin cash flow.

    For me investing is like life the truth is somewhere in between.

  • Rental Property Investor · Erie, PA · Member since 2018 · 84 posts · 462 votes
    7y

    I do it everyday. I live in Erie, PA so only a couple hours from you (love cedar point by the way). We have little to no appreciation in our market, however it is a great place to buy for cashflow. It all depends on what you want out of your real estate portfolio, but for me I am long term buy and hold. As long as it gets me a healthy cashflow every month I don't care about too much else. It makes me money now, and in 15 years will be paid off making me even more money.

  • Rental Property Investor · Clinton, CT · Member since 2016 · 49 posts · 36 votes
    7y

    I agree with some of the members here. I purchase all my properties cash initially then put debt on them after. Having said that I am buying properties that need work and are vacant so I force appreaciation. Even if you put 50% debt on your property to recoup some of your capital to redeploy with a 15 year note let the bank and your tenants work for you. By the end of your note you will be able to still enjoy a debt free property while making more money and having more assists in the end.  

  • Bryan MitchellPro Member
    Rental Property Investor · Columbus, GA · Member since 2016 · 623 posts · 337 votes
    7y

    @Terry Dunlap, Scott Trench would say no. He’s big on appreciation plays. If the market like 2010-13 returns, then yes. I’d still buy no less than 30% below market. So, that’s a conditional yes for me. Great neighborhood during massive market downturn at +30% equity.

  • Member since 2019 · 1 post · 1 vote
    7y

    @Joe Villeneuve Thanks for such valuable information. Extremely helpful!

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