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All Forum Posts by: Aaron Bry

Aaron Bry has started 7 posts and replied 38 times.

Post: Keep or Sell SFR in California?

Aaron BryPosted
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 38
  • Votes 6
Originally posted by @Adam N.:

I'm amazed that you found a house in California for under $300,000, that is a miracle in itself!

 Haha, it's because it is Sacramento and not San Diego, LA, Bay Area... 

I always think about how homes in other states are sub 100k and get really jealous.

Post: Keep or Sell SFR in California?

Aaron BryPosted
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 38
  • Votes 6
Originally posted by @Meeta Lele:

We actually did this - convert our primary to a rental - some years back and it's doing great. In the year after we converted it to a rental I also assessed the benefit of selling to save on the capital gains tax but the amount of tax saved was coming out to be equal to the cost to sell (primarily agent commissions)

Looking at the numbers I don't think your decision to buy was a mistake - why do you think that? Seems like it would be cash neutral if you rented it now, and that too with so little equity.  Is buy and hold a long term goal for you?

If you wanted to sell it might make sense to wait so your profits aren't gobbled up by costs. The commute does not sound like fun at all though. So if you are planning to move I would recommend saving for a down for your next primary/ duplex and not paying down this loan beyond the necessary monthly payment. That way selling this house is not a prerequisite even though you are free to do so when the time comes.

 With our payment currently, and assuming our house is in the middle range of that rental value I gave (lets say $1650) - we'd be very very hard pressed to remain cash neutral when you include any needed repairs/upkeep throughout the year. I used BP's calculators for a rough estimate and it put us with negative cash flow for the first two years.

I wouldn't necessarily call it a mistake I suppose. It's a learning experience. The numbers don't play well with what I could have done with a similar priced duplex in the area, but at the time I did not think about going for multiplex.

Yeah, the commute is one of the huge factors. On paper it's not too bad. Elk Grove to Davis, 35 minute drive each way roughly. But when you realize how many accidents happen on my route daily and the typical stop and go, it's roughly 45-50 minutes to work in the morning, and about 75 minutes on the way home. I've grown very tired of it. I think we will try to wait to avoid capital gains, however, if the market increases significantly enough to be attractive to sell before that period, we might.

Very good insight, Meeta! Thank you.

Post: Motorcycles

Aaron BryPosted
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 38
  • Votes 6

2007 Kawasaki Ninja ZX6R. Purchased for $3800 - it only had 2100 miles. Good deals can be found anywhere, not just in real estate, haha. Been riding for about a year now.

Post: Keep or Sell SFR in California?

Aaron BryPosted
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 38
  • Votes 6
Originally posted by @Wes Blackwell:

Hey @Aaron Bry! Great question!

A good rule of thumb to use for the costs of selling the home is 8% of the sales price. That will cover the 6% average commission you will have to pay, and leaves over 2% for title insurance, escrow fees, transfer taxes, etc. that will also be a cost. So IF you sold for $295k you're probably looking at somewhere between $270-275k minus your loan amount of $256k. BUT -- you will have to order a final payoff amount from your lender to TRULY know what you owe them, because you may have prepayment penalties, impound accounts, etc. that may take even more money out of your pocket.

Also, as @Tim Jones said, you really need to have an experienced agent perform a CMA for you, as there may be several other things that affect value that you're not accounting for (telephone poles, lot size, location on street, etc.) that will affect your value. If you send me a message with the address, I'll run a quick one for you just to see how an agent would view it. No obligation. Sellers tend to view their property in the best possible light and nearly ALWAYS think the property is worth more than it is, simply because they are unable to look at it objectively.

As for Redfin and their discounted commissions... I would pass, and would tell any homeowner that. How can an agent who specializes in less get you more for your property? Makes no sense. 1% saved in commission is only $3,000 for you and that's REAL easy to blow by selling your home for less or simply losing in a negotiation. Any agent worth a lick will not be working for Redfin. Plain and simple.

Also, if it's possible for you to put enough down to refinance and eliminate PMI (which requires 20% equity) then you may likely be able to purchase another property anyways with 20% down. Assuming you have good credit, solid work history, etc. lenders will generally be ok with a second loan as long as there is 20% down because they know you wont walk away from it because it'd be easy to sell (so no foreclosure for the bank).

My advice is to talk to your tax adviser, talk to your lender, and see what's possible. Then you can see about talking to an agent and how you can make the numbers work. Best of luck!

 Hey Wes,

I sent you a PM with the address just a minute ago. I appreciate you offering that, thanks!

Good point about the payoff. Something to consider. No prepayment penalities, however! I made sure of that when we first bought the home.

I hadn't considered Redfin to be a bad avenue - but you make a fair point! Even at the 8% average, we would walk away with some cash, and that's really the important thing for me - to walk away without being in the red, save as much money as I can/payoff all debt (down to $4k from $8800 five months ago in student loans, woo!), and then look into a duplex.

I don't know if I'm ready to have two mortgages yet - to be honest, I'd rather get out of this deal cleanly and venture out on my own without my brother, when I am more financially prepared to do so.

Again, I can't appreciate the responses enough. You guys are awesome.

Post: Keep or Sell SFR in California?

Aaron BryPosted
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 38
  • Votes 6
Originally posted by @Tim Jones:

@Aaron Bry

As you can see Aaron, lots of good insight here! 

You mentioned comps, but have you had a local realtor come and see the condition of your home and prepare you a proper CMA? You mentioned that improvements were made. It would be best if you had some more concrete info before making a decision. Also, it's not too hard to sell it yourself through a title company and save yourself 6%. We're in a strong seller's market here in the Central Valley.

Another thing to consider is both your local and national market. I feel that our prices are approaching 2004-2005 levels, just before stupidity took over and banks gave loans to dogs, cats, etc. If you feel that you're possible in a bad investment now, how would a 10-15% market correction affect you? I can't say if or when it would happen, but are you prepared? 

Just some things to consider along with all the rest...

TJ

 Tons. It is why I am here! I need to be educated properly. I appreciate good insight. :)

I have not, but I have already thought about having a CMA if/when the time comes to sell. Right now I am purely estimating.

I've seen FSBO before - how exactly does that work? I'll have to look around and see if that is something we should do if/when we sell. Redfin is only 1.5% to the listing agent, and if the buyer uses a Redfin agent, it's also 1.5% there as well.

That is partially why I would like to look into selling. I have a fear of hitting that "bubble" again and us losing money that we were not well prepared to lose. I don't think it would be anywhere near as bad as 2008, but I do see a market correction coming and I want to be ahead of the curve instead of trying to hold out for top market value. A few grand in the bank is better than a major loss.

Lots of good comments/options here, I think best bet is to wait it out and see what happens with the market in the next six months. Forecasts show my home could hit 300K early 2017.

Post: Keep or Sell SFR in California?

Aaron BryPosted
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 38
  • Votes 6
Originally posted by @Derek Jones:

Based on my calculations if you sold for $295k you would have proceeds of about $277k so you and your brother would have roughly $10k each. 

If you move, where would you move to? 

But then that 10K is taxed, so wouldn't it be better to stay long enough to avoid capital gains?

I would move to Davis, about half a mile from work. $50 more per month but no maintenance, no commuting expenses, and more hours in a day to work (overtime is pretty much always available at my job - if I don't spend 2 hours commuting per day, I can do 2 more hours of overtime instead)

Post: Keep or Sell SFR in California?

Aaron BryPosted
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 38
  • Votes 6
Originally posted by @Jeremy Brown:
Sounds like you're learning the right things. I cringe whenever I hear people talk about renting out their house after they move out. Almost every time, it's a bad investment, (rent:value ratio is way off), they have no idea how to be a good landlord, or both. Usually both. Fortunately, it sounds like you are at least figuring out how to properly assess your situation. That's a lot more than most people I talk to (outside BP).

Yeah, I can fully admit this is a bad investment now, ten months ago I thought differently.

BP has helped me a tremendous amount but I am still ignorant to some things and always learning from this site!

Thank you Jeremy.

Post: Keep or Sell SFR in California?

Aaron BryPosted
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 38
  • Votes 6
Originally posted by @Jeremy Brown:

One other note: with a $300k investment, you can get more than your $1500-1800 range. You should be able to find a duplex that rents out for over $1000/side. 

 Yeah, I've found that out too - only it was too late, I had already purchased the home.

I'm chalking this up as a lesson learned and a place to live that is cheaper than my apartment was - will be going the multiplex route next time!

Post: Keep or Sell SFR in California?

Aaron BryPosted
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 38
  • Votes 6
Originally posted by @Ken Teng:

You do not need to worry about capital gain, because there is none. When you sell, there is about 10% related fees, that will wipe out your capital gain.

In general, I recommend you holding onto your property, too. Frequent buy and sell eats into your profit. Also I guess you have a pretty good mortgage rate. I believe the house price in CA will go up in the long run.

 Yeah, a quick Redfin calculator left me with $8k walking away (and that is to be split 50/50) - and that is using Redfins 1.5% commission, not the standard 3%.

The financing is at 3.8%, so not too bad. Housing market has been increasing very well here so maybe it is a good idea to hold off and see if it makes it to low 300's.

Thank you guys!

Post: Keep or Sell SFR in California?

Aaron BryPosted
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 38
  • Votes 6
Originally posted by @Jeremy Brown:

I'd be careful with your rent projections. The last couple years have been hot. Owning a rental in the hopes of future rent increases is a risky business. I wouldn't do it. 

 Noted. Thank you, Jeremy.

Back when I first purchased this home I was niave and thought "Well, at least my rent is going towards equity and not paying a landlord."

Several headaches later and realizing what a home truly costs, I wish I could go back and either save more or go for a duplex instead.

I appreciate the advice!