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All Forum Posts by: Andrew M.

Andrew M. has started 5 posts and replied 53 times.

Post: My TurnKey Investing Strategy. Feedback please.

Andrew M.Posted
  • Atlanta, GA
  • Posts 54
  • Votes 30
Originally posted by @Mark S.:

@Andrew M., I have 4 with one provider and 1 with another PM company.  I bought 3 directly from Mid South Home Buyers (MSHB) and 1 from their exchange program from another of their investors who originally bought from them.   Those 4 are managed by them.  I bought my other house from another provider who outsourced property management (at the time - now they have their own in house).  That was from James Wachob’s group, now TurnkeyInvest.com.  I like James and his team, but that house has had some HVAC issues arise (over $1K in under a year) and that should never happen on a turnkey (or if it does, it should be fixed by the turnkey company under some sort of first year warranty).  Since this house is with a third-party PM, that didn’t happen.  Perfect example of why you want to have everything done in house.  For comparison purposes, that $1K+ in HVAC repairs was more than all repairs on all my other houses combined since I’ve owned them.  

 Super valuable information, thanks Mark!

Post: My TurnKey Investing Strategy. Feedback please.

Andrew M.Posted
  • Atlanta, GA
  • Posts 54
  • Votes 30
Originally posted by @David B.:

@Andrew M.

Andrew, I 'm going to be a little more encouraging towards your plan.

The four big objectives things that you'll need to look for , when buying a first out-of-state turnkey  are:

1. good , decent  neighborhood that will attract and retain good tenants.

2. house in great condition (either well rehabbed, new, or just pristine) that will attract and retain good tenants.

3.  Good property management that will find and retain good tenants

4.  Numbers that work for you

I think if you can get all of these you have a good chance at success in the short run.  The property management  and house-location are particularly important for long-term success.   You have to have a long time horizon, and the property management will make a huge difference (for an out of state investor), as they will be able to correct issues and problems,  as long as they have an attractive  house in a solid neighborhood to work with. 

I have five Out of State SFRs (in 3 markets),  and have had some tenant issues as well as maintenance and cap-ex issues (roof, HVACs, etc) .  The property management companies (i luckily have good PMs) have been very helpful and handled these.  And, they have shown solid returns, when I include the Cash flow, appreciation and mortgage payd-own.

So if you are patient, long-term, and are able to absorb some bumps in the road (financial and emotional) , you may have a good plan.  

Thanks for the encouragement. I would say the response to my plans have been largely negative. That's ok though, many of the posts have made me think and hopefully start asking the right questions. Good to hear someone confirm it can be done though!

Post: My TurnKey Investing Strategy. Feedback please.

Andrew M.Posted
  • Atlanta, GA
  • Posts 54
  • Votes 30

For all those confused, I probably should've mentioned this from the start, I'm from Atlanta but my wife and I are currently working for a US company in Asia. That's the biggest reason I can't house hack, manage the properties myself, etc. Right now we spend some of the year in the US and some of it abroad. 

Post: My TurnKey Investing Strategy. Feedback please.

Andrew M.Posted
  • Atlanta, GA
  • Posts 54
  • Votes 30
Originally posted by @Ali Boone:

@Andrew M. Any reason for Memphis in particular? There are a lot of turnkey markets out there.

Good question, Memphis is the one I've spent the most time researching so far and I personally like the city. I'm definitely open to other areas as I mentioned in my OP though. Do you have a suggestion?

Post: My TurnKey Investing Strategy. Feedback please.

Andrew M.Posted
  • Atlanta, GA
  • Posts 54
  • Votes 30
Originally posted by @Mark S.:

@Andrew M., thanks for posting.  I’ll share my personal experience thus far and am happy to chat offline if it helps you.  

I currently own 5 turnkey SFRs in Memphis, TN.  

Here’s a brief general overview of my situation:

High income W-2 earner.  Not handy at all and no interest in buying a job (i.e., managing my own property, doing my own rehabs, etc.).  On the path to (somewhat) early financial freedom.  Heavily invested in the stock market and fully understand what that entails (discipline, long-term focus, ability to tune out the noise, etc.).  Interested in using leverage to create passive income that is durable and sustainable.  Realize bunting may be different than hitting a grandslam, but bunting beats bystanding.  

What I’ve learned so far:

Turnkey providers can be EXTREMELY different in both the product they provide and the service they deliver.  Always run your own numbers (which you seem to be doing and that’s good).  As already mentioned, property taxes can jump on you so always assume the property will be assessed at your purchase price to avoid surprises later.  In the meantime, you may enjoy a short period of time of (seemingly) higher cash flow.  My cash flow numbers aren’t the sexiest, but my total returns are difficult to beat (consistently) so far - and I assume 0% appreciation in those calculations.  Generally speaking, if you play in a slightly higher rental rate sandbox, you will probably have a better overall experience - I don’t buy properties that rent for $600/month (I’m sure some people do great in lower rent ranges, but I feel that the rental amount can sometimes be reflective of the type of tenant you may be able to attract).  Reserves are definitely important; I’m going through my second turnover right now and I’m glad I consistently set aside reserves each month that were more than adequate to cover these expenses.  In order to get any SIGNIFICANT monthly cash flow, I will need many more of these or to pay off the mortgages (arguments for/against this and that’s for another day).  

Final Comment:

I think as long as you buy solidly rehabbed properties (not the lipstick on a pig stuff), have a solid property management team (that you will absolutely pay for but that make your investment possible and your life easier), who is able to attract and retain high quality tenants, this can be a great addition to your overall financial portfolio (and doesn’t have to be the end all be all); it’s just one component.

Feel free to PM me if you’d like to chat.  I have nothing to sell you.

Thanks Mark, this is definitely the kind of reply I was hoping to get when I started this thread. And I don't mean I just want people to agree with me or tell me how great my strategy is. What you're saying seems really logical and balanced; and it's just great to hear from someone who's been down this road before. Like you said, I'm not looking to buy a job either, if the numbers don't work for this to be a passive (mostly) investment, then I don't want it. 

I was wondering, for the 5 turnkeys you bought in Memphis, did you buy from the same provider or different ones? Could you recommend to me a good provider? Thanks for your time!

Post: My TurnKey Investing Strategy. Feedback please.

Andrew M.Posted
  • Atlanta, GA
  • Posts 54
  • Votes 30
Originally posted by @Chris Clothier:
Originally posted by @Andrew M.:

So, I know this has been discussed a million times on this site. I just wanted some feedback on my strategy over the next 5-10 years or so. 

Here's a little background about me. My wife and I are both employed (W2) and make about $60,000 a year in household income. We have about $30,000 cash currently and no debt. Our monthly expenses are under $2,000.

My plan is to invest in turnkey SFR in the Memphis market. I would like to buy between 15 and 20 gradually over the next 5-10 years. I expect the houses to all be between $100K-140K. I expect these to each rent for $800 - $1,200 per month. My cash flow goal after ALL expenses (including PITI, management fees, all maintenance and a reasonable allowance for vacancy) is an average of $200 per month per property. My plan is to finance these with traditional mortgages, 10%-20% down.

Here's what I'd like to know: 

Are my cash flow goals reasonable and achievable? 

Is there another market that you think would work better for my strategy?

Is securing that many traditional mortgages possible?

What are some difficulties I may encounter? What suggestions do you have for me?

If some experience property investors wouldn't mind sharing some wisdom I would greatly appreciate it. Thanks for your time.
 

Andrew,

Nice job introducing yourself and laying out a bit of your strategy.  It is kind of "30,000 foot-ish" so hard to give in depth feedback, but enough to start with.  And with the responses you've already received, hopefully I can give you some things to think about as you move forward.

First, you have to know that on a site like BiggerPockets the responses are going to run the gamut.  Unfortunately, you often have no idea what the experience or expertise is of the poster.  Here is my advice on what you posted and my advice on some of the comments from others.

Based on what you wrote, I would suggest trying to find an experienced real estate investor who can answer some of your questions about why you are investing.  Your goals.  Not that crap about "know your why" or "how to calculate your freedom number", but why you are actually investing in real estate.  I had this grand plan when I first started in 2003 to own 50 inexpensive properties in Memphis (I think at the time I described them as cheap) and I want to make $200 a month.  I was a passive investor at the time living in Denver with a full time job running my first start-up.  I also flipped houses in Denver because everyone told me I was supposed to learn to do it myself and invest close to home.  Problem was, I had no idea how these actions were going to lead to my goals of building long-term wealth and having a portfolio I could pass on to each of my kids.  That was goal, I was just doing a bunch of stuff blindly.  Fast forward, I almost drowned in all the paperwork of owning that many properties and the cheap, crap properties that were easy and cheap to buy became the bane of my existence.  I'm not sure I ever saw $200 monthly per property across my portfolio and I owned 57 properties at one point.  It was a disaster because I was just doing stuff with no real understanding.  And by the way, I flipped two properties in Denver and made a killing.  I thought I had it figured out and lost every $ of profit from those on the third.  I realized I am a much better business man than I am full time real estate developer.  I became a passive investor right then and there.

You need to connect with a local investor in Atlanta if possible.  If not, start listening to the BP podcast and find persons whom you feel you can connect with and reach out.  You need to surround yourself with people who are successfully doing what you want to do.  You will become the 6 people you surround yourself with so be careful who you listen to.  The naysayers and posters constantly posting all the reasons other investors can't do something are the ones who are not where you want to be.  Choose carefully!

I agree with many posters on here about the number of properties and the cash flow. Both are arbitrary. It doesn't have to be a set number of properties and it does not have to be a set cash flow number. My personal advice is that I would rather use leverage to acquire properties than hold them. I want to buy properties where I can fashion the calculations to reduce principle and own the asset free and clear in the shortest time possible. I often am cash flow neutral but pay off assets in 8-12 years. I don't need cash flow and I have a solid, steady income so I don't put money off to the side as a "no-big-deal" fund. I know that move-outs, maintenance and Capex will occur, but I take precautions to limit those exposures as much as possible. In your case, over a 15-20 year period, if you are able to purchase 1-2 properties every 3-5 years, you could own 8-10 properties inside that time frame and if you purchase properties that are a better long-term value investment, you may see rents from $1100 to $1400. If your average rent is $1250 and you own 8 properties, your monthly gross income would be roughly $9000 monthly. Ten properties would be $12,500 monthly. Rather than trying to figure out how many $200 rentals you can acquire, think what your real long-term goal is and ask mentors or investors who have achieved that goal to assist in the best strategy. That is my first advice. I just think you may be a bit premature in laying out a plan and I just hope you exercise patience before moving forward. Hopefully every poster on here would agree that there is no need to rush.

Now, my other advice is to understand that the word turnkey means absolutely nothing today on this site. It has been hijacked so many times that you need to forget it and understand it is simply a marketing term. On some level it means that there are some passive elements to the investment. Someone bought something and they are selling it. That pretty much sums up what every turnkey property has in common! From there, you really have to understand that it is up to you to dig in and get to know if the person or company you are doing business with is going to help you reach the goal you have set for yourself and the strategy you are using. I mentioned taking steps to reduce my exposure to maintenance, vacancy and Capex. You absolutely can reduce those variables, especially in the relatively short period of the first 7-10 years. Not every investor and certainly not every company that markets "turnkey" real estate believes in or understands how to do that. There are definitely differences in companies and the actual value they bring you as an investor. Figuring out how to align your needs and expectations with that value is your challenge.

Any poster on here who tells you definitely will or that you will not make money with a certain strategy or investment has no idea what they are talking about and probably not worth taking seriously.  Each person has there own experiences, but none are in your situation and none can tell you exactly what outcome you will achieve.  There is a possibility to achieve what you outlined in your post by purchasing turnkey properties in Memphis.  Yes, you can hit those goals.  You can also lose a lot of money and miss your goals.  Your job is to do your homework on the front end and align your expectations with the best decisions based on knowledge, facts and doing your own homework.

I would read what Rob Hakes has to say and definitely pay attention to his story. He has documented his experience so far.  But remember, he made decisions and had expectations and he can share with you what he did and how it has turned out...with that particular investment and company.  He has taken the time to document it.  He has not taken the time to go on every thread about Turnkey and simply tell the poster that they were definitely going to lose money.  If you are going to learn lessons from investors, learn them from those that are giving details and sharing the good, the bad and the ugly.  And remember, your job is to make an educated investment decision.  All of the horror stories plus all of the homerun stories only amount to data and education.  

Two last things in my ridiculously long post!  @Matt R. is one of those guys that I love reading and for years have told myself and probably him as well that I want to meet up out in Cali for a beer and a surf lesson next time I'm there.  I admire and respect his posts and think he gives great level headed advice.  However, lol.  If we're going to use sports analogies, if my math is correct, a batter laying down 10 bunts is batting 1.000, has 3 runners on base and 7 across the plate.  Those bunts may not be sexy, but over time and adding up, they amount to a lot of wins.  I work with a lot of investors who have no need nor desire to go any public forum, they just love the consistent and reliable realization of hitting their goals and expectations.  Many with well over 10 bunts!

Lastly, investing does not have to be an "or" strategy.  You can have "and" strategies.  In other words, you can invest in passive, turnkey real estate and be an active investor.  You can invest in passive, turnkey real estate and invest in index funds or syndications.  You don't have to choose just one.  It's not invest in one or the other.  I have invested in syndications and while they have been good, I didn't "own" the asset and I could not borrow against the asset.  I have lent money in real estate deals and earned great returns, yet I didn't own the asset when it paid off.  I buy the same dollar amount of an index fund on the same day of every month, and even with the recent corrections, I am still in the black on my investments in the market.  And you know what, the whole time I am making those investments, I have a resident paying off my mortgage where I leveraged a high-quality property passively.

Hopefully this long post sheds some light on your next steps. I'm sure in a city like Atlanta you and find investors who have traveled the path you are discussing and can help shed some light for you. If you have any trouble finding one, reach out and I'll help connect you. I know two investors over there with REI clubs and several on here that are active. Best of luck to you ~

Wow, this is more than I hoped for! Thank you so much Chris for taking the time out of your busy day to write that out for me and other newbies to benefit from your experience. You've given me a ton to think about, not just in this singular RE strategy I was considering but in my entire investment strategy going forward. I'm also going to rewatch BPP 224 as soon as I have time. 

Post: My TurnKey Investing Strategy. Feedback please.

Andrew M.Posted
  • Atlanta, GA
  • Posts 54
  • Votes 30
Originally posted by @Account Closed:

The reason Memphisonians dont buy from Memphisoninas TK companies is because they dont want to overpay for most like C- rated  donkey khrap.  No  you will not be getting B class as many companies will lead you to believe.

 Haha ok Juanita, I get it, you don't like Memphis TK companies. Thanks for the input.

Post: My TurnKey Investing Strategy. Feedback please.

Andrew M.Posted
  • Atlanta, GA
  • Posts 54
  • Votes 30
Originally posted by @Caleb Heimsoth:
Originally posted by @Andrew M.:
Originally posted by @Caleb Heimsoth:
Originally posted by @Andrew M.:
Originally posted by @Caleb Heimsoth:

@Andrew M. It won’t be passive, that’s one flaw. Owning real estate isn’t passive. I can run my stock portfolio in real time from my phone. You can’t do that with real estate (you can come close though.)

You can’t buy these with 10 percent down. It’ll be 20 or 25 percent down.

Your cash flow numbers are too generous. It’ll be 100-125 a month long term, not 200.

If you buy turnkey and get 200 a month (won’t happen, but let’s say it does), you earn 2400 a year. Let’s say your tenant stays 2 years, which is about average. That’s 4800.

They leave it’ll be minimum 2000 to fix everything. Then you pay the lease up fee of 800-1000 (depends on rent) and you may one mortgage payment. Let’s say that’s 700.

Your total minimum is 3700. So you make 1100 cash flow in 2 years or a whopping 45 dollars a month.

This is if everything goes well, which it won’t. And this is under normal times, not with the impending recession we have coming.

There are way better investments that TK rental properties.

First off, I really want to thank you for taking the time to write all that out because I can tell you don't want me to make a bad financial decision. That said I don't quite follow all your assumptions.

Here's how I see the numbers on a hypothetical purchase (let me know where I'm wrong): 

Purchase price let's say $100,000

Down Payment: $20,000

Mortgage payment/mo (based on current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 3.99 percent): $380

Taxes/mo: $62

Insurance (based on avg. premiums throughout the state): $91/mo 

Monthly Rent (I've looked at many listings and reference materials, this number seems reasonable): $1,050

Vacancy Rate: 5%

Property Management: 10%

Repairs & CapEx: 15%

 So...          $1,050 - 380 - 62 - 91 - 52 - 105 - 158 = $202 

This leaves little room for error but I think it proves it is possible. 

As far as the $2,000 damage when a tenant moves out that you mentioned, I would certainly hope I have a security deposit to cover that (or the bulk of it). I would also consider including a cleaning fee into the contract if the house requires cleaning upon tenant exit. Anyway, I can't deny you're much more experienced than I am. What part of my estimates do you think is incorrect or what am I missing? Thanks. 

Using percentages to dictate repairs and capex is a bad idea. It doesn’t work. 

You’re welcome to buy a TK property but after you own it a few years and try to sell it (which you won’t be able to since you bought at top of the market), you’ll understand what I mean.

I personally think the s and p 500 index fund is better than a TK property.
 

I'm invested in the S&P 500 index fund already actually. It's a fine investment. My interest in turnkeys is I would like to diversify and add leverage to my investments. Also, if I were to buy a TK property I wouldn't sell in a few years, I would buy with the intention to hold for the long term, at least 20 years
 

I thought the same way.  After the neighbors throw a rock through your window for the third time or have your water heater stolen, or your tenant leaves randomly etc etc, you’ll probably be thinking differently.

Good luck my friend, with whatever you decide.

Thank you for the words of wisdom. Good luck to you as well!

Post: My TurnKey Investing Strategy. Feedback please.

Andrew M.Posted
  • Atlanta, GA
  • Posts 54
  • Votes 30
Originally posted by @Caleb Heimsoth:
Originally posted by @Andrew M.:
Originally posted by @Caleb Heimsoth:

@Andrew M. It won’t be passive, that’s one flaw. Owning real estate isn’t passive. I can run my stock portfolio in real time from my phone. You can’t do that with real estate (you can come close though.)

You can’t buy these with 10 percent down. It’ll be 20 or 25 percent down.

Your cash flow numbers are too generous. It’ll be 100-125 a month long term, not 200.

If you buy turnkey and get 200 a month (won’t happen, but let’s say it does), you earn 2400 a year. Let’s say your tenant stays 2 years, which is about average. That’s 4800.

They leave it’ll be minimum 2000 to fix everything. Then you pay the lease up fee of 800-1000 (depends on rent) and you may one mortgage payment. Let’s say that’s 700.

Your total minimum is 3700. So you make 1100 cash flow in 2 years or a whopping 45 dollars a month.

This is if everything goes well, which it won’t. And this is under normal times, not with the impending recession we have coming.

There are way better investments that TK rental properties.

First off, I really want to thank you for taking the time to write all that out because I can tell you don't want me to make a bad financial decision. That said I don't quite follow all your assumptions.

Here's how I see the numbers on a hypothetical purchase (let me know where I'm wrong): 

Purchase price let's say $100,000

Down Payment: $20,000

Mortgage payment/mo (based on current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 3.99 percent): $380

Taxes/mo: $62

Insurance (based on avg. premiums throughout the state): $91/mo 

Monthly Rent (I've looked at many listings and reference materials, this number seems reasonable): $1,050

Vacancy Rate: 5%

Property Management: 10%

Repairs & CapEx: 15%

 So...          $1,050 - 380 - 62 - 91 - 52 - 105 - 158 = $202 

This leaves little room for error but I think it proves it is possible. 

As far as the $2,000 damage when a tenant moves out that you mentioned, I would certainly hope I have a security deposit to cover that (or the bulk of it). I would also consider including a cleaning fee into the contract if the house requires cleaning upon tenant exit. Anyway, I can't deny you're much more experienced than I am. What part of my estimates do you think is incorrect or what am I missing? Thanks. 

Using percentages to dictate repairs and capex is a bad idea. It doesn’t work. 

You’re welcome to buy a TK property but after you own it a few years and try to sell it (which you won’t be able to since you bought at top of the market), you’ll understand what I mean.

I personally think the s and p 500 index fund is better than a TK property.
 

I'm invested in the S&P 500 index fund already actually. It's a fine investment. My interest in turnkeys is I would like to diversify and add leverage to my investments. Also, if I were to buy a TK property I wouldn't sell in a few years, I would buy with the intention to hold for the long term, at least 20 years.

Post: My TurnKey Investing Strategy. Feedback please.

Andrew M.Posted
  • Atlanta, GA
  • Posts 54
  • Votes 30
Originally posted by @Account Closed:

Ask yourself this if they were so good why are people who actually live in Memphis not TK companies customers?

I assume some of them are TK company customers. Regardless CBS news recently reported that nearly 40% of Americans can't cover a surprise $400 expense, let alone save $20,000+ for a down payment. That could have something to do with it.