Fair Isaac's scoring model is "predictive"--that is, it seeks to identify those whose past payment history predicts how they would handle a future negative situation. What the defaulting homeowner's past payment history says to potential future lenders is: "We had better not take a chance on this borrower. We already know what they did in the past when faced with payment pressure."
I've never yet heard of a SS negotiator who obtained from the shorting lender a "paid as agreed" notation. This would be an "I-1" or MOP-1" notation, as opposed to "I-9" or MOP-9" notation. If there's a SS negotiator on this board or the entire planet who successfully wrestled a "paid as agreed" (I-1 or MOP-1) notation for a SS, please tell us how you did it. What possible reason could a SS lender have for letting a homeowner completely off the hook, only to possibly face him/her again in the future via loan application?
MOP stands for "manner of payment"--1 being as agreed; 9 being defaulted.
In any event, a SS negotiator would be well-advised to get such a promise in writing, but don't hold your breath. Look at it from the lender's POV: "Hmmm...let's see. We think we'll let this borrower screw us and we will not learn from this experience." Lenders simply don't operate that way.
In CA, a non-recourse state, there is no deficiency judgment. In a recourse state, obtaining a waiver of deficiency judgment is, in fact, a benefit, but it's the only one. Most lenders don't pursue deficiency judgments, anyway, although that stance could change in the future, depending on the circumstances.
All I'm saying is that SS investors had better be careful how they promise benefits to the hapless homeowner faced with foreclosure. That's not to say there's no benefit to avoiding foreclosure. The "F word" still carries significant social stigma, and some homeowners don't want to face themselves in the mirror and say, "I was foreclosed." They'd much rather say, "I sold my home" a mindset that maintains their dignity--a subtle to nearly worthless distinction from a FICO/future qualifying POV but meaningful to some homeowners.
I intended to post URLs to support what I said in my initial post but, apparently, as a new poster, I cannot post URLs until a couple of days has passed. I would, however, like to do that so y'all don't think I'm talking off the top of my head.
As to the no discernable difference between SS, foreclosure and 120 days late, that's the glaring failure of FICO scoring, in my opinion. Because Score Factor Code #22 is the ONLY category into which any of these derogs may fall, it's completely true that, once one's credit score has been decimated, there's no incentive for the consumer to NOT file Chapter 7 and/or walk away from their upside down property and scrape the whole damn mess into the dumpster.
There are three conduits, if you will, for dealing with a consumer: bankruptcy laws, FICO scoring models and lenders' underwriting decisions as dictated by Fannie/Freddie. They are not all congruent with each other! So the over-burdened homeowner must pick what hill he's going to die on and decide what's best for him in terms of immediate relief and future borrower eligibility.
BTW, a thirty party with a vested interest in the outcome--for example, a real estate agent who stands to make a commission on a SS listing--and who is LICENSED needs to tread particularly carefully. If you're an unlicensed investor, I guess your conscience is your guide.