Quote from @Eli Kim:
Quote from @Chase C Henderson:
Eli,
Another piece of the puzzle to look at, similar to what @Payton Haight was discussing and your own financial situation. Is the cashflow your expecting to receive include repairs and vacancy set backs? While it works today. Lets look into the future, what can you expect your cost to be in 3,5, 10 years? As an example.... When is the last time the auditor reappraised the value for the purposes of taxes (in Ohio we have a 3 year (Triannual) evaluation period on property taxes, meaning they can adjust our property taxes and the amount due every three years and recently a lot of properties in my specific area saw increase between 15% to 35%. (Not to mention insurance adjustment, material cost and interest rate increases).
Another point of investing advice. If you plan to buy another property with 25k you get. Make sure it does at least 1 of the two things.
1. The replacement property/investment will net you at least 7.15% or better cash on cash return. (This covers the 7.15% interest you are paying on 25k loan you are taking out).
2. Make sure you financially are at a place you can afford to take on both mortgage or renovation if they were to become vacant. (Or at least have a plan for where you gonna get the money to cover these cost).
Growth is a great thing, but if you over extend yourself, by the time you notice, it's often too late.
Very good points. I have taken adjustments into consideration. That’s another one of my worries. My cash flow would be reduced to only a few hundred dollars if I were to refinance. I’ve already experienced escrow adjustments on all my other properties and have lost a chunk of cash flow in a past several years. I would assume in a few years, adjustments would eventually take over the cash flow for this property. What are my options then? Raise rent?
I’m solid as far as cash on cash goes. I would be okay for mortgage and vacancy if that were to happen. But my concern would be if
multiple of properties were to go vacant. I have 4 properties right now. I’m thinking I have enough cash flow from the other properties and back up to cover for a few months.
thoughts?
Sorry about my delayed response I was on Vacation. Even us real estate people need breaks too!!
If your concern is vacancy and keeping up with cost there are a couple tools to discuss in this regard.
I am working on the assumptions you have a couple properties based on your previous messages.
Tool 1- You nailed it is rent increases, these are a tool of every landlord to keep up with cost rising, that being said, your property has to justify the cost or you will create vacancies. I have heard the "Old heads" talk about raising rents 30 dollars a month as no one will move out for a dollar a day, to everyone gets a flat $50 raise till they move out, to others saying take your increase in cost and add your profit margin to it (So if your cost increase $25 a month, then times 25 by your preferred cash on cash return i.e 8% for me. so $25x1.08 and i would increase my tenant rent by $27 that year.
So tool 2 to protect against multiple vacancies is stagger your lease expiration/renewal dates. So if you have 4 property/units try to set your lease to renew with some variance. So unit 1 lease ends December 31st, Unit 2 end March 31st, unit 3 June 30th, Unit 4 would be the last day of September.
*** This will space out when your have planned vacancies or help you prevent a swarm of move outs. This method if your are doing a good job vetting tenants and managing your properties should help stabilized move outs. (This won't prevent non payment issue based evictions, but will give you a planned idea about went to expect move outs. So you don't get caught with multiple voluntary move out in the same month)
Tool 3 is underwrite the vacancy in to your business. So we underwrite that we will only receive 90% of the rents we are supposed to collect aka 90% economic occupancy. Now we do this as we rent work force (factory workers and retail workers) housing in metro to rural Ohio. If your properties are in the premier neighborhood in like Orange County California you can adjust to a lower percentage of vacancy. The point being is we reduce our project revenue by 10% to create an accurate rent number to account for those vacancies.
Tool 4. Utilize equity in the other properties or your home
A great way to protect yourself from cashflow shortfalls is have a emergency place for funding, some organizations will use cash on hand, others will use things like lines of credit. So for instance if your worried about floating a property or 2 if you have multiple vacancies, if you have enough equity in another property you can get a LOC for emergency purposes. The idea being you get the LOC before you need it, so when you do have to cover a payment to contractor on a vacant property, or your tenant leaves in the middle of the night and you need that months rent to pay property taxes you have another pool of money to access and cover your butt. Also, it helps that its generally interest only and at a much much lower rate then a credit card.
*** Don't go spend on the LOC all willy nilly, this could put your whole operation in a bind
There is always levers and tools to solve situations and I am sure there is more then what I recommended here, but remember the reason most business fail is not because they aren't profitable, but because they mismanage their cash and do not have money to meet their liabilities when they come due