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All Forum Posts by: Axel Meierhoefer

Axel Meierhoefer has started 35 posts and replied 663 times.

Post: What would you do with $500k? Buy your own house or invest?

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Carlos Ptriawan I agree that it's not overbought and I didn't mean to give that impression. I believe the lower cost of mortgages is mainly due to the reduction in interest rates.

Personally, I believe we will see a phase of increasing inflation starting at some point in the next 5 years.

The other thing, and that's actually a really interesting data point is the income to payment ratio. So many lower-income people have lost jobs and the ability to pay or put mortgages on forbearance while they can't get foreclosed that the statistical numbers actually improved overall.

That's why I said that it may not apply to Uzma's price range as the people affected don't typically buy or rent houses in the $800K range, but overall I still believe that the great trajectory of the recent years will probably flatten out. Not that prices won't increase anymore but not at as rapid a pace as they have recently.

My Ohio properties appreciated 9% in 2020. I like that but it surprised me, blew me away and I don't assume that will happen very often again.

Post: What would you do with $500k? Buy your own house or invest?

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Uzma Abdullah I forgot to mention. There is a way for you to avoid the capital gains on the sale of the property that would feed into your overall goal of financial independence and still accomplish the rest of the plan.

It would be a pretty long post to explain and potentially bore others on the thread. If you like to hear, please PM and we can set up a call. I am doing that myself literally right now and it puts a smile on my face when I think of the tools we have available to us as RE investors.

Post: What would you do with $500k? Buy your own house or invest?

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Uzma Abdullah Glad to hear that you enjoyed my story for you.

Two quick things to point to for your path forward. As far as I can tell you have not reached your Time Freedom Point yet. I believe that's what @Account Closed is pointing to in a very beautiful way.

The equity in properties is nice and if it grows at the rates you describe, its outstanding, but it is also money that's not working very hard for you and can be pretty unpredictable. I had to chuckle when I read your post because it reminded me of the statement all these financial advisors always give before they help: "Past performance is not an indicator of future success".

Don't get me wrong, if you keep finding markets that appreciate as well as the ones you have been in so far and that keeps going, you will reach your TFP very soon with that model.

I know you are aware that we are rapidly running towards a massive affordability trap. It might not apply as much to properties in the price ranges you are dealing with, but as prices have kept increasing and incomes haven't, it is conceivable that there is a limit to appreciation. No idea when we hit that ceiling, but I can see that we might have a phase ahead of ourselves where appreciation will be subdued.

Maybe you have secured your rental property empire by then and just ride a steady wave. I wish that for you and Hubby.

Post: New Guy HELOC rental question

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Joseph Helms Congratulations on utilizing HELOC as an instrument for financing. Your description is confusing me a little. Here is what I think I read but might be wrong:

You have a primary residence that you financed using a HELOC 1st lien and you have a balance of $160K interest only.

You feel that that value you were given for your property was way lower than it should have been and now you want to get an appraisal to get the true value and then change the current HELOC to a new HELOC with 90% LTV. If that works out, congrats.

You are using some terms in a way and are missing a few things that make it hard to give you feedback or suggestions.

You said you have a balance of $160K. Normally that would mean you owe $160K on the loan/line of credit. Is that what you mean?

For steps forward and use of rent for future deals, it is most important to know how much investable cash/capital you have after the HELOC is in place. Is it $45K now? Your description is pretty confusing about that.

I would be happy to help and assuming I understand what your numbers are, I would use the positive cash flow from 2 rental properties as principal payment for the HELOC.

One of the advantages to using HELOC on your primary is that your monthly interest-only payment is low. That means even with a modest income you can qualify for regular mortgages on investment properties. If you take $5K and buy 2 well performing SFH from a TK provider, like I do, you would probably have about $500/month in cash flow to use as principal payment for your HELOC.

The probability of getting HELOC on investment properties is much lower and the amounts will be tiny. It's not impossible but I have not seen it to be practical. Lenders treat investment properties very differently than your primary residence.

If you can clarify some details I can probably give you some more feedback to develop your strategy. You can also PM me if you have questions.

Post: What would you do with $500k? Buy your own house or invest?

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Jay Hinrichs As always, you are making great points. I agree with the quality of life consideration and being in San Diego County I fall into that group as well.

The balance and why I wrote the story for Uzma is more about how one can make money work. Investing in well-performing areas of the country to gain passive income to pay your rent in high quality of life areas and then, after those investments have generated equity, besides cash flow, to use that equity, i.e. through HELOC's or cash-out refi to put the roof over the family's head that you own, rather than rent, lets money work more efficiently than having to spend it all initially and have nothing left to generate cash flow.

Moving would probably be he worst choice and unnecessary

Post: What would you do with $500k? Buy your own house or invest?

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Doreen Hall Great and thank you. Let me know if I can help. Happy to share my contacts and resources.

Post: Out of State Investing

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Preeti Sampath I am in the old California (San Diego area) and I currently buy in Ohio and Alabama with TK providers so it's as passive as can be. I love the performance of the properties, especially compared to my home area. 

If your properties are in CO, you might be able to use HELOC to leverage and build assets without losing your current base.

Post: What would you do with $500k? Buy your own house or invest?

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Uzma Abdullah 

@Uzma Abdullah There have been a bunch of great considerations offered.

I hope you don't mind that I wrote a story describing how your journey could look like from my perspective. For reference, I live in San Diego county and my daughter lives in Orange county, slightly south of Irvine. I mention it to indicate that I am familiar with your situation and the market.

Several people here on BP know that I am a huge fan of turnkey investing, have 10 properties right now and am adding 3 more this year. The strategy I use is called OOS TK SFH

Uzma’s Story

It’s early March 2025. Uzma, her husband everybody calls “Hubby” and a couple from the Toronto area, Bill and Francine, are sitting on a covered patio of a nice house in Irvine, CA, enjoying some wine and crackers.

Bill and Francine came to visit when Uzama invited them, but they were both also really curious how Uzma’s and Hubby’s life had changed so much in the last few years.

Here is how Uzma tells the story of their journey (with some questions from Bill and Francine):

In Feb 2021 we were wondering if we wanted to keep flipping houses in Texas, should we rent here in Irvine, should we buy a place, can we get to financial independence any time in the foreseeable future? Lots of questions. Lots of questions. We posted them on one of those online platforms. It’s called Bigger Pockets and specialized in all things real estate and investing.

The opinions went in many directions. Some people said we should keep flipping in Texas and rent in California, other said we should make our landlord rich and rather buy. One guy introduced us to his OOS TK SFH strategy (yes, it’s a mouthful) and we talked a few times and then decided to apply that model.

As you recall, we had about $500K from some sales in Texas and we also wanted more time for our kids, so working here in Irvine and being constantly involved with the flips wasn’t great.

The OOS in the strategy stands for out of state and the TK stands to turnkey. Texas is out of state, so we were kind of familiar with that but not so much with turnkey. It basically means that you work with a company that finds houses (the ugly ducklings in a nice neighborhood), renovates them, then offers them for sale and when sold, also manages the houses. That includes finding good tenant, collecting rent, taking any calls for maintenance and repairs, advertising the property when a tenant moves out and new one needs to be placed, organizing the refresh in between tenants, all that stuff. We learned that there are a bunch of criteria to find really good turnkey providers but when you do, as we have, it’s a really passive thing.

We also learned a new term. We knew, or thought we knew, what financial independence would be. We also knew that we wanted to get that sometime in the future. That new term is called “Time Freedom Point”. It’s the point or date on the calendar where we make enough passive income to no longer have to exchange time for money. Basically, you don’t need a job. You can still have one, but you have the freedom to decide if you want to do stuff you love regardless if that pays anything or not. I can’t describe the emotions and feelings when you get closer and closer and ultimately get there, but it really is a special type for freedom.

We learned that you pick a number that you think you will need as your passive income from your investments.

Francine asked: “How did you figure that out?”

Well, we looked at the numbers we knew form some of the houses we were considering at the time if we would continue to rent. Remember we weren’t’ sure yet if we should rent or buy. We knew a house we would rent that’s big enough for our family in the right school district and all that stuff would eb about $4500/month + utilities, etc. So, I took $5000/month for the house, then another $5000 for our cars, vacation money, food, memberships in our clubs, money for all the activities for the kids, averages for closing, and so on. We found a great app that allows to track all of that, so we always know where we stand each month.

Bottom line, our Time Freedom Point # was $10K/month. It felt like a huge amount and that it would take us a long time to get there. Basically, a dream goal.

When we checked out the OOS TK SFH strategy we learned another important thing we had never seen or hear before n that way. People always said that success in real estate is all about location, location, location. Today I would say that has some truth but there are two other things that have become more important for us.

They are performance and relationships.

For the properties we own, we looked to get close to, or sometimes even a little above the 1% rule. That means you buy a house that is freshly renovated by a turnkey company for let’s say $125K and you get $1250/month in rent. So, the rent is 1% of the purchase price.

That was an eye opener because we knew that the houses we were considering in early 2021 here in our area would be about $1.2 million to buy. That would have meant if we owned a house like that and wanted to rent it, we would have to get $12500/month in rent.

Look around Francine and Bill. This house here would have been that price at the time. Today it’s probably $1.5 million. We pay a little more than $4500/month. That means the performance for our landlord is about 0.3%.

That realization told us that we would be better off renting here and getting rich as landlords out of state, where we can 1%, or you could say, 3x as much as our landlord here gets out if this house.

Bill asks: “So where are these properties that you bought?”

Good questions, Bill. We initially didn’t know but there are not that many turnkey providers that really meet all the criteria. We also did not want to put all our money in one place, so we have properties in Ohio, in Alabama, in Florida and I think 1 in Mississippi – that’s a special project.

That’s also a good segue to that second aspect – relationships. Yes, the location of the properties is important when it comes to how much rent can you get, how is the economic situation of the area, etc. but it really is equally, if not more important to have a trusting relationship with the turnkey provider. We really wanted things to be passive, so we have time for the kids, and our hobbies, etc. For that to happen we needed to find these really good providers, develop deeper and deeper relationships with them so we can trust them to do the right things and look after our properties.

There was also a funny but important lesson to learn that has to do with human nature. Nobody had been dwelling on that much before we began working with some turnkey expert. See when a turnkey company has a client who owns 6 or 8 properties and keeps telling others, friend and family and colleagues, about the experience, leading to referrals, no company, and no turnkey company wants to lose that client. They treat us really well and anybody we ever send their way said the same thing. If we just one house we bought years ago it would be very different. We really have that nice trusting relationship with each of the few TK companies we work with. It’s a little like extended family. We know them all by first name and exchange Christmas cards, celebrate things together, etc.

Francine says: “So what did you end up doing with the $500k and how come Hubby does not have a job anymore?”

Well, funny you should ask. So we realized that with our $500k and some help we could buy 20 properties that perform well. They cost on average $125K. We calculated $25 for down payment and closing costs, appraisals, etc. for each.

We spread the purchases about equally across the three TK companies we work with. That all happened in 2021.

In the process we learned that Hubby and I can each have 10 government insured mortgages to our name. That’s what we did, using just one lender that works nationwide. That way they could use all our paperwork over and over again and we didn’t need to apply for each house separately.

So it was pretty much perfect. We had 20 golden tickets to our name, and we used them all to buy the properties. It was actually super helpful that Hubby had his job and I had my little side income so we could qualify for all of this.

Each of the 20 houses paid us about $300/month or a total of $6000/month by the end of 2021.

You recall that real estate platform called Bigger Pockets. They have all kinds of advice and calculators to determine if a property is a good deal. Part of that is their suggestion to put about 15% of the rent income aside for reserves, so when we would have to pay to fix something, we would not have to tap into our monthly cash flow.

The TK providers gave us between 3 month and 1 year of warranty on their work and so far, we actually didn’t have much to pay for because the renovations were really extensive for each house before we bought it.

It is probably not that obvious, but that reserve money added up really quickly for us, so we don’t need to even do that anymore.

Francine asked: “What do you mean it added up quickly?”

Well, if you think about it, we took 15% of the $1250 rent each month, so basically about $180 for each house x 20 houses. That is $3600/month and at the end of the first year, we had more than $43000 in that savings account.

The turnkey providers told us that the most expensive thing to fix on a house if it were ever necessary is the roof at about $6000. So, in reality we have basically money for 7 roofs in the bank – and we could fix them all at the same time. We feel that’s really a great cushion and everything small is not a concern for us. We still put a little aside each month, about 3% or so ($50/month for each property)

So when you think of it, at the end of 2021 we had $6000/month in income and we felt we were on our way to our Time Freedom Point. We found this house here and put it on a 5-year lease.

With the money we knew we can easily pay the rent and the utilities and even have a little left. That’s was pretty cool already.

Then, in 2022, when we had reached the reserve level – they call that the “Pivot Point” when you don’t need to add as much to the reserves anymore, our cash flow from each property increased by about $125/month. That increased our monthly cash from $6000 to $8500/month.

Last year, in 2024, Hubby started thinking about slowing down in his work. For a while he tried to work part time, but that didn’t really work so well. The real change happened in the early fall last year when we had our rents adjust the first time. We increased the rent by about $75/month on each property on average. In a few cases we got new tenants and were able to increase the rent a little more in some others it was only $50/month because the tenants love the houses and want to stay as long as they can afford it. It all made sense.

Overall, we now get another $1500/month cash flow due to the additional rent, so we actually celebrated our Time Freedom Point on Christmas 2024. That was so cool.

Hubby had his last day on New Years eve (on vacation naturally) but that closed a chapter.

So yeah, we are making $10k/month now, have this great reserve and could not be happier. We know that there will be more increases in the future, and we are no debating of we should work on paying down the mortgages a little faster than we need to or keep adding more properties.

The most important thing is that we now have about $2.5 - $3 million in assets that the tenants are paying off and as you can probably tell, we have this calm about us. We spend tons of time with the kinds, each time they are out of school we can go and explore new places. It’s actually amazing. I never thought this could be possible in 4 short years.

It was definitely an exciting ride, but we are really glad that we didn’t buy a house here and now never have to worry about having enough money or making an income or stuff like that.

Bill and Francine were looking at Uzma and Hubby for several minutes in stunned silence. Then Francine asked: “Can we do that too?”

Uzma smiled and said: “sure, just get help to avoid mistakes and be disciplined during the journey.

They all raised their glasses to celebrate together.

Post: The TK- Cycle - a different kind of turnkey investing

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Chris Clothier Thanks for sharing the story. I see a social aspect to proving to house and in some areas, even people who have jobs can't afford to live in a small house. It will take the right circumstance and location and TK provider to make it work.

Sadly some people only had profit motives and gave the idea a bad rep.

Post: The TK- Cycle - a different kind of turnkey investing

Axel Meierhoefer
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Escondido, CA
  • Posts 676
  • Votes 550

@Chris Clothier Thank you. Those are awesome reminders and I totally agree that the risk is much higher than traditional TK, as I wrote in the original post.

Fundamentally, applying due diligence to the extent possible is always a good guideline.

Part of the opportunity is to provide good housing in generally underprivileged areas. What my research has found so far is that certain parts of the country, as sad as that is, are less fortunate economically than others. That can get to the level that large parts of a community would meet Section 8 requirements rather than the more traditional setting you describe, where a really challenging area or part of a city meets those criteria.

I have not completed the research but have found the whole areas in Louisiana, as an example, qualify, not just a particularly bad part of a city.

Still, you are right that one needs to be very aware of the risks. I also am very aware of the TV personality you are referring to and therefore very strongly suggest for anybody considering the TK-Cycle approach to really check everything, especially including visiting the properties under consideration and the overall area, do proper location research.

In a way, one could almost say that the higher risk and potentially higher reward should proportionally increase the diligence and research if someone wants to use this model.

I hope you agree.