Hi Arch,
It sounds like your existing Seattle/Eastside properties are bringing in some great cashflow, and you have tons of equity captured in those properties.
🧮It sounds like you have these priorities for your next PNW property besides the standard FI road map:
- Something that has positive ROI (appreciation + cash flow + tax deductions + loan paydown) purchased at $1M with 20% down and ~6.8% interest. Positive cash flow not required initially if it yields a return later.
- Something nice enough (or something that can be rehabbed nice enough) to Airbnb and enjoy visiting.
🗺️Where to find off-market properties:
- InvestorLift and any other wholesale aggregator
- Make connections with local wholesalers at REI meetups or on Bigger Pockets
- Most investor-focused brokers are plugged in with wholesalers and do their own monthly direct-mail campaigns and cold-calling.
🔼You've seen that things have changed quite a bit in the Seattle Metro over the last 5-7 years.
- The appreciation you've enjoyed on the other properties also applied to the properties you want to purchase today. When rates were below 4%, we were buying properties that cash-flowed on day one and simply increased cashflow with any value-add rehab we put in. Now it's tough to get positive cash flow even after a simple rehab. Many people are aiming for -$500/month cash flow now and then hoping to break even or go positive after refinancing in a couple years at 5%.
- You're right, if you want to maximize your first priority (positive ROI), you'll usually benefit more by finding an underpriced rehab on or off market and then developing it with an ADU and/or DADU. I aim to find distressed properties with or without existing ADUs, rehab the SFH and ADU, and build a DADU (DADU can satisfy priority #2, something Airbnb-able that you can be excited to visit). When my clients need capital immediately, they condoize and sell off the DADU or SFH.
- If you purchase a property that you can visit and want to maximize cash flow for the next property, I recommend looking in places like Bremerton and Burien. In Bremerton, you can fairly easily find positive cash flow in small multifamily. The prices are roughly half of Seattle.
- Investors are buying and selling properties every day in Seattle. It still pays off when you look hard and do your due diligence.
- I'm happy to share my contractor, lender (conventional, construction, or hard money), property manager, etc. contacts if you do choose to continue investing in WA.
📖If you haven't read them yet, check out EHB 1337 and HB 1110.
- EHB 1337 promotes ADU/DADU construction around WA. Here's a quick EHB 1337 summary I made. Here's a list of many jurisdiction's with links to current ADU requirements, GIS, permit/septic records, etc. This bill becomes effective in King, Pierce, Kitsap, and Snohomish counties in July 2025.
- HB 1110 ("middle housing bill) promotes development of multifamily properties on many residential lots in Seattle. You can find more information about how Seattle is meeting the bill's requirements here. I just went to the final Comment Open House and it looks like the final plan will go to City Council for vote around November and be effective in Q2 or Q3 of next year.
Feel free to PM me if you want to chat more about your situation.
Cheers!
Logan