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All Forum Posts by: Nick C.

Nick C. has started 9 posts and replied 2162 times.

Post: Success Rate in Real Estate...Shockingly Low

Nick C.
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Tampa, FL
  • Posts 2,283
  • Votes 2,956
Quote from @K S.:
Quote from @Nick C.:

If you buy and hold long term the success rate has to be greater than 90%, as long as it's positive cash flow. What the market is doing is irrelevant.

 What does success look like to you? Your returns won't change in 10 years as your maintenance, taxes and hoa will wipe out any increase in rent over time. If you're investing for appreciation only, then realize that housing has only appreciated around the rate of inflation of ~3%.

As long as it's positive cashflow? You'll need over 50% down just to break even at these interest rates. You have to be a high earner with lots of capital to just break even.

Statements like these are a bit simplistic to be a realistic strategy for the casual investor.


Sorry for the simplicity but it's one sentence. I'm not trying to write a dissertation on the topic. There's plenty of nuance that can be argued, but ultimately if you keep a cash flowing piece of RE for 10+ years and sell it for more than you bought it for, you're doing alright, and that's a very realistic strategy, especially for the casual investor. 

Post: Success Rate in Real Estate...Shockingly Low

Nick C.
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Tampa, FL
  • Posts 2,283
  • Votes 2,956

If you buy and hold long term the success rate has to be greater than 90%, as long as it's positive cash flow. What the market is doing is irrelevant. 

For flippers the success rate was very good as the market was rising for 10+ years. A lot of bad flips turned into good flips given enough time. Now that the market isn't steadily rising probably less than 25% are going to have success.

For wholesalers the success rate has to be less than 5%, maybe less than 1%. 

Post: Section 8 Rentals

Nick C.
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Tampa, FL
  • Posts 2,283
  • Votes 2,956

I think you're going to have trouble finding livable properties for 50-90k, unless you're in a market nobody wants to live in. 

Post: Can I call a lawyer for this?

Nick C.
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Tampa, FL
  • Posts 2,283
  • Votes 2,956

Was it marketed to you as a duplex? I'm not a lawyer, but I've seen cases like this go both ways. A lot of it depends on the judge too. 

The seller obviously knowing may not be enough. If you can prove the seller knew it was a SFH, and kept that information from you to get a higher price that caused damages (the 20-30k fix), you may have a good case.

You definitely want to speak to a RE lawyer before making any moves... 

Post: Buying house on .9acre lot with existing barn.

Nick C.
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Tampa, FL
  • Posts 2,283
  • Votes 2,956

What information are you looking for? The numbers you need are - how much would she like to sell the home for (get this from the seller), how much does it need in repairs (if you've already remodeled a house you should have a decent estimate), and what it's worth after it's repaired (run comps on zillow if you have to, or a local realtor could help you out with this).

Great cashflow on the Illinois rental btw. 

Post: Advice on contracts

Nick C.
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Tampa, FL
  • Posts 2,283
  • Votes 2,956

There’s 2 ways to do it- one involves a PSA and assignment. The other way involving AB & BC contracts are for doing a double close. 

Post: WARNING! Glenn Gurvitch (My Area Realty) renews lease without owner’s approval

Nick C.
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Tampa, FL
  • Posts 2,283
  • Votes 2,956

Does the agreement you signed with Glenn Gurvitch have language about the property manager renewing leases? A property manager renewing a lease doesn't really count as an experience that should "blow your mind".

Post: Pace Morby Mentorship

Nick C.
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Tampa, FL
  • Posts 2,283
  • Votes 2,956

Well this explains the avalanche of one post user reviews…

Post: Pace Morby mentorship

Nick C.
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Tampa, FL
  • Posts 2,283
  • Votes 2,956

ChatGPT is really cranking out the guru reviews lately... 

Post: Pace Morby SUBTO Course

Nick C.
Posted
  • Specialist
  • Tampa, FL
  • Posts 2,283
  • Votes 2,956

And after 20 years in real estate you finally got so excited about something you had to come make your first post on biggerpockets. That makes perfect sense.