[I originally posted this question in another forum, but think it might have been slightly off-topic as I didn't receive any replies. I am trying again here.
@Dan Heuschele, i didn't want to risk high-jacking the other post, so wanted to say thanks for your previous comments and start the conversation here. Feel free to provide any thoughts you wish.]
I'm in the process of determining the best course of action on my rental property, but to make the most informed decision I need to know how/when to calculate my ROI, Cash on Cash Return, etc. I am utilizing Frank Gallinelli’s “What Every Real Estate Investor Needs to Know About Cash Flow... And 36 Other Key Financial Measures” GREAT book, especially for the math challenged like myself.
However I'm struggling with the start point of doing the math. I don't want to inadvertently skew the numbers.
As background, my rental property was originally my primary residence. I bought at the peak in 2006, immediately became underwater on my mortgage with the rest of America after the crash. I was assigned overseas in 2012, so refinanced my house before I left, and ultimately converted it into a rental property, figuring, naively, as long as the rental payment was larger than my mortgage payment I was good to go!
So when doing the mathâ¦Do I consider the original 2006 down payment costs and years of primary residence as part of the calculus on current ROI/ Cash on Cash return, etcâ¦or ONLY the numbers associated with the REFI in 2012 when I converted the primary residence to rental property?
I can provide the actual numbers, but think the fundamental question doesn't require the actual numbers..if i'm wrong i will provide the numbers ASAP.
I anticipate providing all the numbers under another topic as i am currently barely breaking even on rental payments to mortgage payments and am deciding what to do with my rental property to potentially make a silk purse out of this sow’s ear.
Thanks in advance if you can help me with what i'm assuming is a pretty fundamental question.
It appears you realize that this RE is significantly cash flow negative. What is less clear is how has it appreciated.
Typically the profit on most RE comes from these sources: forced appreciation (none), cash flow (negative), market appreciation including property and rent (unknown), equity pay down (if you refi in 2012 I suspect you got a great rate and that currently you are experiencing good equity pay down).
Without knowing the appreciation it is impossible to know if this has been a good investment.
As for the numbers to use I suggest 2 scenario: 1) calculate based on when it first became a rental. Conveniently you refinanced at that time and have an appraisal. You know what your equity was. You know what the property value was. This will provide how good your returns have been as a rental property. 2) I would run the numbers for today trying to accurately project current value, cap expense, vacancy, maintenance, conservative expected appreciation, etc. This will provide an estimate of your future return and will be key in determining if the property is your best investment opportunity.
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