History Of US Real Estate Bubbles

[Hersh M.]

Recently while looking for resources on past real estate cycles, I came across below 2 articles.

1. http://www.businessinsider.com/the-economic-crash-...

This article has a lot of data but is missing the explanation for that data. If you have any resources like books, articles, podcasts that detail the causes of past real estate booms and busts, could you please share them with me? 

2. Also came across this interesting BP discussion from 2 years back - https://www.biggerpockets.com/forums/48/topics/152...

Looking at the data listed in the table itself, its difficult to see in spite of recent cycles happening at 6, 10, 17 years, etc, why would anyone think that 18 year cycle is correct. Last 4 cycles seem sporadic at best.

[Account Closed]

Originally posted by @Hersh M.:

@Jonathan Makovsky Yeah, thats my point, its not possible to predict cycles.

That is not true.  I have been doing it successfully for 4 decades.  It is about knowing the appreciation rate for your market and property type.

Also, I think the best measure is value not time.