Philidelphis market and Cleveland Market

Philidelphis market and Cleveland Market

Jay HinrichsBusiness Member
Real Estate Consultant · Summerlin, NV · Member since 2014 · 45k+ posts · 66k+ votes

Wanted to give my feedback on these two markets .. I am not making recommendations by any means I don't want to start a Cleveland is better than Philly debate other than we know the eagles are better than the brownies.

That said these are fairly new markets for me.. I have been in Philly/Baltimore now for about 18 months and Cleveland since June.

And my take on is as follows:  ( just got back this week from 3 days in Philly and was in Cleveland in Oct.)

Philly:

 To me is a mini New York ( stay downtown)  lots happening lots of young people ( I am OLD)  nicely attired . Not like Portland Weird were we have a lot of young people but they have a much more casual appearance or dress code.

Like 60 minutes said Portland is a city were young people come to retire :)

but back to what we do which is real estate Philly is just booming in all points of the compass coming out of down town there is serious rengentrification going on there.. and being a suburbs boy.. Row houses was something I just had never seen or could really understand.. Like who could live so close to each other.. but Hey its what they do there.

Talk about path of progress play.. 

Restaurants we went to were Packed with the millennials out on a Tuesday night that is always a strong sign of good things in a city..  All in all Pretty impressed there are going to be some really happy investors in that city.  Tax's are reasonable in this city.  That's one thing I like compared to say Chicago.

Cleveland:

My take on Cleveland was the down town was still a ways away but the burgs were happening.. some really solid neighborhoods with good price points.. for the starter or mid level investor.. For C and B- product I thought the areas looked much safer than some cities C product and when your  few miles out of the city in out lying areas it was really nice... You do have to watch for property tax's but once you navigate those then your in pretty good shape.. the POS while for some would be an issue for me I am OK putting 10 to 20k up and getting it back a few week later after the work has been done.. I can see though for those that need financing or more of a limited capital availability it would not be that great.. but I see that also as giving those that can handle the extra cash set aside without any stress better shot at some nicer deals as many wont buy just because of that..

So as an investor who has spent 20 years funding stuff mainly from the Mason Dixon line south.. I am glad to get up into the rust belt and see whats going on..  there is never ending inventory in these cities although prices are rising for sure but that is a good thing  who wants to buy in an area were they know prices never rise or wont rise.. ( I know that does not excite me personally) and to me its a testament of the areas bouncing back from multi decade lows.

Anyone else have thoughts ???

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Lee RipmaPro Member
Rental Property Investor · Prairie Village, KS · Member since 2015 · 2k+ posts · 2k+ votes
8y
Hi Jay, You’re not getting any love on this one so I thought I’d chime in. I’m always very interested in what your take on markets is! I’m a CA based Kansas City investor. I’ve got a few potential deals I’m looking at in KC but the market is hot and it’s hard to find value add deals that are not based on proforma numbers. I’m thinking about adding the Cleveland (and maybe Albuquerque) markets to my search. I’m looking for value-add apartments in the C transiting to B space. I’m looking for cash flow markets with some (over 3%) appreciation. The 2018 Marcus and Millichap market forecast sold me on Cleveland as exactly what I’m looking for. Now it’s all about finding the right submarket and the right deal. Very interested on your thoughts on the stock! Looking forward to hearing what others have to say!
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  • Jay HinrichsBusiness Member
    OP
    Real Estate Consultant · Summerlin, NV · Member since 2014 · 45k+ posts · 66k+ votes
    8y

    Hey you Philly investors don't shoot me for misspelling it in the title.. Use know what I mean !

  • Lee RipmaPro Member
    Rental Property Investor · Prairie Village, KS · Member since 2015 · 2k+ posts · 2k+ votes
    8y
    Hi Jay, You’re not getting any love on this one so I thought I’d chime in. I’m always very interested in what your take on markets is! I’m a CA based Kansas City investor. I’ve got a few potential deals I’m looking at in KC but the market is hot and it’s hard to find value add deals that are not based on proforma numbers. I’m thinking about adding the Cleveland (and maybe Albuquerque) markets to my search. I’m looking for value-add apartments in the C transiting to B space. I’m looking for cash flow markets with some (over 3%) appreciation. The 2018 Marcus and Millichap market forecast sold me on Cleveland as exactly what I’m looking for. Now it’s all about finding the right submarket and the right deal. Very interested on your thoughts on the stock! Looking forward to hearing what others have to say!
  • Jay HinrichsBusiness Member
    OP
    Real Estate Consultant · Summerlin, NV · Member since 2014 · 45k+ posts · 66k+ votes
    8y

    @Lee Ripma  I suggest you take a trip to both places spend a little time on the ground.. in Philly its quite evident whats happening there..  Cleveland to me is a little more about the burbs. 

  • Cleveland, OH · Member since 2016 · 62 posts · 68 votes
    8y

    I actually did my first 203k FHA construction loan in Baltimore back in 2008. People would always say Philly is just a bigger Baltimore. I moved at the end of 2016 to Cleveland to start investing in real estate and bought a Multi and an SFR to flip.

    I think Cleveland and Philly really can't be compared considering Philly more than triples Cleveland's population size.  This speaks to tenant pool size, quality and demand for rentals.  Cleveland and Pittsburgh would probably be more of a comparable comparison.  

    With that being said, as a California boy, I noticed some things that these cities have in common, it's a city of charm and micro neighborhoods, almost as if they drew an invisible line to separate the good and bad areas (around Cleveland heights, Lakewood border etc).  In Baltimore it would be the Reservoir Hill Bolton Hill border near Johns Hopkins etc.  I've never seen boarded up houses to the extent that I have seen in these cities butting right next to nice areas of Cleveland Heights.  

    I moved here partly for this reason, to experience these invisible lines and the cultures of these micro neighborhoods. I actually lived in my SFR in Old Brooklyn for a year fixing it up. Is it the ideal neighborhood for me to live in? Probably not but I've got to make some great friends and learned much of the culture and mentality of the locals in that area. Just sold/closed on the house on January 5th. I built a really cool fireplace and got the courage to pursue woodworking (now I want to tackle some cool furniture). The mosaic tile work and crown molding was quite a feat!

  • Equity Raiser and Turnkey Provider · Cleveland, OH · Member since 2016 · 4k+ posts · 1k+ votes
    8y
    Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:

    Wanted to give my feedback on these two markets .. I am not making recommendations by any means I don't want to start a Cleveland is better than Philly debate other than we know the eagles are better than the brownies.

    That said these are fairly new markets for me.. I have been in Philly/Baltimore now for about 18 months and Cleveland since June.

    And my take on is as follows:  ( just got back this week from 3 days in Philly and was in Cleveland in Oct.)

    Philly:

     To me is a mini New York ( stay downtown)  lots happening lots of young people ( I am OLD)  nicely attired . Not like Portland Weird were we have a lot of young people but they have a much more casual appearance or dress code.

    Like 60 minutes said Portland is a city were young people come to retire :)

    but back to what we do which is real estate Philly is just booming in all points of the compass coming out of down town there is serious rengentrification going on there.. and being a suburbs boy.. Row houses was something I just had never seen or could really understand.. Like who could live so close to each other.. but Hey its what they do there.

    Talk about path of progress play.. 

    Restaurants we went to were Packed with the millennials out on a Tuesday night that is always a strong sign of good things in a city..  All in all Pretty impressed there are going to be some really happy investors in that city.  Tax's are reasonable in this city.  That's one thing I like compared to say Chicago.

    Cleveland:

    My take on Cleveland was the down town was still a ways away but the burgs were happening.. some really solid neighborhoods with good price points.. for the starter or mid level investor.. For C and B- product I thought the areas looked much safer than some cities C product and when your  few miles out of the city in out lying areas it was really nice... You do have to watch for property tax's but once you navigate those then your in pretty good shape.. the POS while for some would be an issue for me I am OK putting 10 to 20k up and getting it back a few week later after the work has been done.. I can see though for those that need financing or more of a limited capital availability it would not be that great.. but I see that also as giving those that can handle the extra cash set aside without any stress better shot at some nicer deals as many wont buy just because of that..

    So as an investor who has spent 20 years funding stuff mainly from the Mason Dixon line south.. I am glad to get up into the rust belt and see whats going on..  there is never ending inventory in these cities although prices are rising for sure but that is a good thing  who wants to buy in an area were they know prices never rise or wont rise.. ( I know that does not excite me personally) and to me its a testament of the areas bouncing back from multi decade lows.

    Anyone else have thoughts ???

     I do not know much about Philly, but I hear good things. Also, not trying to start an argument, I would have to agree with what you said about Cleveland. Being someone who lives here and invests here, I can admit I see the same things you describe. Should be a good future ahead. 

  • Jay HinrichsBusiness Member
    OP
    Real Estate Consultant · Summerlin, NV · Member since 2014 · 45k+ posts · 66k+ votes
    8y

    @Andrew A.  I am not really trying to compare them.. I do business in Baltimore as well.. and I too have never really experienced the board up situation there in Baltimore..

    My post is just my observations of being in the industry a few decades.. plus you would have to be kind of blind to miss whats happening in and around down town Philly when it comes to re gentrification.

    these markets for investment purposes lagged say Detroit in the day Memphis  and other southern cities.. There just was not the turn key presence there was or is in say a Memphis were you have 2 or 3 of the bigger players in the industry all working the same market...

    Although now you have some big players in both Philly and Cleveland.. The one I work with in Philly I would say is top ten in the US in volume.. And Cleveland my teams there are more starter to mid range investors buy and hold folks .. helping them build their own portfolios..  I think I have closed going on 30 or 40 for them since last June.. so not a bad start if your trying to maximize doors.. as a basic start up.

  • Accountant · Philadelphia, PA · Member since 2013 · 303 posts · 210 votes
    8y

    @Jay Hinrichs I remember a post you had from a couple year ago where you weren't high on Philly. Something about so much inventory being in really bad shape. What changed your mind on the market and is the development you see now similar to any other markets you've been in?

  • Jay HinrichsBusiness Member
    OP
    Real Estate Consultant · Summerlin, NV · Member since 2014 · 45k+ posts · 66k+ votes
    8y
    Originally posted by @Account Closed:

    @Jay Hinrichs I remember a post you had from a couple year ago where you weren't high on Philly. Something about so much inventory being in really bad shape. What changed your mind on the market and is the development you see now similar to any other markets you've been in?

     I stand corrected and with egg on my face... and in the last two years the amount of re birth their you would have to be blind not to see it.. cities turn and this one is turning quick there are going to be multi millions made here in the repositioning of these assets that were left to rot last decade or so.

    How is that for humble pie ?   :)  big slice with ice cream on top.

  • Accountant · Philadelphia, PA · Member since 2013 · 303 posts · 210 votes
    8y
    Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:
    Originally posted by @Account Closed:

    @Jay Hinrichs I remember a post you had from a couple year ago where you weren't high on Philly. Something about so much inventory being in really bad shape. What changed your mind on the market and is the development you see now similar to any other markets you've been in?

     I stand corrected and with egg on my face... and in the last two years the amount of re birth their you would have to be blind not to see it.. cities turn and this one is turning quick there are going to be multi millions made here in the repositioning of these assets that were left to rot last decade or so.

    How is that for humble pie ?   :)  big slice with ice cream on top.

     Ha I didn't mean to call you out. I just remember reading that post by someone with 10,000 posts and a podcast and thinking man am I placing a bet the wrong city if this is how people from the outside feel. Now I'm relieved that you see it differently, and was just curious what changed your mind.

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