Does the 1% rule apply to multi-family as well?
14 Replies
Jerry Shen
from Denver, Colorado
posted over 3 years ago
I've heard of 1% rule for buying rental properties (1% of purchase price in monthly rental income). Does that apply all the way up to large multifamily as well?
Ian Tvardovskaya
Investor from Columbus, OH
replied over 3 years ago
@Jerry Shen large multifamilies of 5+ units are based on current income generated and your local cap rate. I've never heard of anyone using the 1% or 2% rule for these large commercial units. Key is to buy on actual income per month and not potential. Meaning if you buy a 10 unit that is only occupied by 5 tenants, base your purchase on the income produced by 5 tenants not what it could be with 10.
Jerry Shen
from Denver, Colorado
replied over 3 years ago
@Ian Tvardovskaya makes sense so buy based on cap rate? What do most cashflow investors target in terms of cap rate?
Matt K.
from Walnut Creek, California
replied over 3 years ago
the 1% thing really should be used to QUICKLY identify if a property is worth looking at in more depth. But reality is there are so many factors that could make something that doesn't meet it work it's almost a useless metric. Likewise, just because the return exceeds 1% it by no means that the purchase is a "good" buy either.
Logan Allec
Accountant from Los Angeles, CA
replied over 3 years ago
Similarly, just because the 1% rule is not met does not necessarily mean that the purchase is a "bad" buy either.
But yeah the concept is pretty much irrelevant to large multifamilies.
I think the 1% rule just arose as a back-of-the-napkin rule of thumb for SFRs and small multis.
Brent Coombs
Investor from Cleveland, Ohio
replied over 3 years ago
@Jerry Shen , roughly speaking, when you take the "1% Rule" and the "50% Rule" (50% covers all expenses except Principal and Interest) together, you end up looking at a back-of-the-napkin "6% Cap Rule" for commercial properties.
So I guess, the "1% Rule" works about the same as the "6 Cap" Rule!
ie. Not enough information to make a fully informed investment decision on! Cheers...
Yousif Abudra
Real Estate Investor / Syndicator from San Ramon, California
replied over 3 years ago
In agreement with @Brent Coombs The 1% "rule" is really a quick sniff test. It means you will likely pass over great deals and not know it. But also spend time looking at horrible deals.
When screening through 40+ deals a week, yes it helps make things more efficient. But does not and cannot ever replace local market and property knowledge. That part takes time and effort.
Charles Kennedy
Rental Property Investor from Philadelphia, PA
replied over 3 years ago
@Ian Tvardovskaya The key may be to buying on in-place income, but any half-decent broker will make sure to have the cap rate based on potential, because cap rate is really based on "Year 1" NOI, not in-place NOI. So while it would be great to buy a B-class apartment that is 50% leased and at 1/2 market rents, at a 9% cap on in-place NOI, that's probably not the case!
Eric Bilderback
Real Estate Agent from Sisters, OR
replied over 3 years ago
I always use it. It might just be my location and my class of properties (C+, 2-20 units) but I be very nervous about buying a property that didn’t meet the 1% rule. The only exception I can see is if the rents are under market and you can bring them up. More times then not when I see a property that mess the 1% I start taking a very serious look at it.
Charles Kennedy
Rental Property Investor from Philadelphia, PA
replied over 3 years ago
@Jerry Shen Cap rates vary based on 3 things I'd say:
a) Class of property
b) Type of property
c) Market the property is in
The pinnacle real estate investment would be a class-A apartment building in manhattan. An investor will never have problems leasing that building out and it could probably be considered as riskless as a treasury yield. This would probably trade at a 4% cap or maybe a 3.5%. On the other hand, if you buy a class-A apartment in Tampa, an investor may be paying around a 5.5-6% cap. Still a strong market, but returns are higher since it's not a top market. For purposed of the average mom and pop buying a small apartment in their local market, targeting something around a 9-10% cap might make sense.
Matt K.
from Walnut Creek, California
replied over 3 years ago
@Charles Kennedy you should look at some of the cap rates (or should I say lack there of lol) in SF ....
Charles Kennedy
Rental Property Investor from Philadelphia, PA
replied over 3 years ago
@Matt K. I'm guessing 3-4s? I'm really not up to date on the major markets... I work in Atlanta in CRE and am only familiar with rates here.
Matt K.
from Walnut Creek, California
replied over 3 years ago
Here's a ton on info, they're back up to 4% now avg across the bay area...
https://www.paragon-re.com/trend/bay-area-apartmen...
But here's a older article about them getting down to 2.7% lol
http://journal.firsttuesday.us/california-has-the-...
or this gem lol
https://www.bisnow.com/san-francisco/news/multifamily/nob-hill-multifamily-breaks-record-low-cap-rate-44653
Lane Kawaoka
Rental Property Investor from Honolulu, HAWAII (HI)
replied over 3 years ago
@Jerry Shen it should be more like 1.5% rule because with MFh you need to have a bigger margin because expenses will be higher with additional amenities. Plus you aren’t being a mom and pop land lord using bubble gum and duct tape to fix stuff.
Joe Lantrip
from Saint Charles, Missouri
replied over 3 years ago
@ Jerry Shen - What do most cashflow investors target in terms of cap rate?
I can't speak for All Investors, or even 'most' investors, but my target is as High a Cap Rate as Possible WITHOUT being in the 'War Zone'...