COVID’s 5 Least & Most Impacted Multifamily Markets

COVID’s 5 Least & Most Impacted Multifamily Markets

Multifamily investor · Boston, MA · Member since 2017 · 281 posts · 521 votes

According to Yardi Matrix most recent publication, “COVID-19: A Game Changer for Multifamily", nationally, rents have dropped by 0.4% since the arrival of COVID. This past week I decided to focus on some key areas of data: which markets have seen the largest increases and decreases to rents during the onset months of COVID-19, as well as the current unemployment rates and demand for apartments within those respective markets. Factors such as employment and demand are two key components to take into consideration when evaluating which markets to invest in, as you well know. I thought you might find the data helpful in keeping up with current market trends. Interpretation can of course go in several direction, but what’s most interesting about this current trend is it seems the markets with less demand for multifamily housing display a more direct and severe impact, which is why you are more likely to see operators being forced to lower rents. Remaining vigilant of market conditions can allow you to modify your strategy, and adjust to ensure you can still achieve your overall investment goal even in challenging circumstances!

The 5 Least Impacted Markets:

5. Omaha, Nebraska


· 2-Month Rent Change Post C19: +0.8%

· Current Unemployment Rate: 6.5%

· Percentage of Renters: 40%


4. Huntsville, Alabama


· 2-Month Rent Change Post C19: +0.9%

· Current Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

· Percentage of Renters: 42%


3. Memphis, Tennessee


· 2-Month Rent Change Post C19: +1.3%

· Current Unemployment Rate: 7.2%

· Percentage of Renters: 42%


2. Mobile, Alabama


· 2-Month Rent Change Post C19: +1.3%

· Current Unemployment Rate: 12.6%

· Percentage of Renters: 44%


1. Portland, Maine


· 2-Month Rent Change Post C19: +1.7%

· Current Unemployment Rate: 10.2%

· Percentage of Renters: 55.7%


The 5 Most Impacted Markets
:


5. Boston, Massachusetts


· 2-Month Rent Change Post C19: -1.5%

· Current Unemployment Rate: 16.3%

· Percentage of Renters: 51%


4. Nashville, Tennessee


· 2-Month Rent Change Post C19: -1.7%

· Current Unemployment Rate: 15.2%

· Percentage of Renters: 46%


3. San Jose, California


· 2-Month Rent Change Post C19: -1.7%

· Current Unemployment Rate: 5.0%

· Percentage of Renters: 26%


2. San Diego, California


· 2-Month Rent Change Post C19: -1.8%

· Current Unemployment Rate: 13.9%

· Percentage of Renters: 39%


1. Midland-Odessa, Texas


· 2-Month Rent Change Post C19: -8.6%

· Current Unemployment Rate: 12.4%

· Percentage of Renters: 30%

Sources:

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  • Austin, TX · Member since 2019 · 5k+ posts · 5k+ votes
    6y

    It would be interesting to see that adjusted for Market Rate rents, vs Section-8 (which should be more stable), and by housing class (A,B and C).

  • Omaha, NE · Member since 2020 · 612 posts · 665 votes
    6y

    Don't let the secret out, but Omaha is a great city to invest in. Glad to see it make this very difficult top-5 list.

  • Greg H.Pro Member
    Moderator
    Broker/Flipper · Austin, TX · Member since 2013 · 4k+ posts · 4k+ votes
    6y

    The decline in rents in Midland/Odessa is 100% to do with the decline of the price of oil and not Covid.  

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