Please don't take this the wrong way, but I see two issues here:
1. If you don't know what to do what $1M, you probably shouldn't be willing to take $1M from another investor to investor for them;
2. You don't seem to be asking the right questions.
#1 speaks for itself.
As for #2, the correct question isn't what WE'D do with $1M -- the correct question is to the investor, "What are you looking to achieve with your $1M?"
Are they looking for ordinary income? Are they looking for cash flow? Are they looking for tax benefits? Are they looking to build generational wealth? Are they looking to build a brand? Are they looking to help the community?
Without knowing what the investors are looking to achieve, how can you possibly determine the right strategy to help them achieve it?
Your current strategy of flip 2 rent 1 can achieve the investor's goals, That is the strategy you know. Stick to what you know. Doing 7-10 flips as you said can increase their wealth by a significant amount. Use your past experience on your own flips to show them what the ROI can be implementing your strategy.
Keep flipping X and renting Y (insert whatever numbers you like).
There's capital everywhere in today's market. Can you put ZZZ (insert number) potential opportunities through the funnel? If so, that's your business plan. That's all of our business plans.
They are interested in everything ... rentals, flips, new construction, multi-families.
That is a pretty wide range of choices. They need to have a better idea what they want to do. I don't see how you can possibly give them a plan if they don't know what they want.
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Take that million, and just do hard money loans, that's what I do with my investors passive money, take it at 10%, loan it out at 12% and 3 points, keep the spread, rinse and repeat. I happen to only finance projects that are rentals that my gcs partners do the work on, so I have a somewhat unique business model.
Typical fix and flip model has scaling challenges. Once you get over a certain amount of capital it becomes hard to effectively allocate it.
If you don't run into that with 1mil, you will as you keep progressing.
I think you owe it to the family to speak honestly to that.
That's the reason most large institutional investors have a hard time in the SFH world and focus on larger, lower cap rate investments.
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Since you want us to give you an action plan and this is what I would do, if I were given the money.
I don't care what their strategy is, I am their CEO, we sat down and they trust me with their money. They must have think I know what I am doing.
Since they have no problem with money, and it is strictly their money, I would mainly go for higher-end flips. I personally don't like 30K houses in bad neighborhoods with lower returns. However, I would do do one or two lower-end too just to spread the risk.
1 lower end and 2 higher end flips first year.
Go for houses like 250k or more, shoot for 75K or more profit.
Buy rentals with your profits, not with principle.
Cash is the king, don't tie it to a rental yet. You dont have to deal with banks first year. Make your profits and work around your rental portfolio next year.
Then scale it up from there.
I see myself making reaching 5 millions at the 4th year :D)))
As @J Scott mentioned you dont seem to know what to do let alone start. You need to ask them more questions. Way more questions.
I also would like to know if you have reliable contractors and a handy man???? Because if you dont know any your in big trouble. Getting any Joe blow will get you smoked. If you dont know already there are many scammers and crooks in the real estate industry.
You mentioned the Baltimore market and you knowing it very well so you should know what areas and certain pockets of the city are rental areas, flipping areas and some areas that are both. I would for sure get ahold of some reliable licensed insured and bonded contractors who are knowledgeable and can provide you with previous work experience and call atleast 5-7 references. Also see if they are good with time management because many of them arent.
Best of luck to you.
Originally posted by @Gabriel Ehrlich :
@J Scott If you were given a chance like this at the beginning of your career how would you use it?
I would have turned it down. At the beginning of my career, I wasn't knowledgeable enough, experienced enough or connected enough to invest other people's money with a level of risk that I would have been comfortable with.
That's just me personally, btw. I tend to have a VERY low risk threshold when it comes to handling other people's money...
Flipping is shortsighted. Even the best "flipper" is only as good as their last deal. Awfully crowded these days and new people are entering, overpaying for things, and ruining the deals. Buy rentals, then buy some more. Make sure they are rock solid in every way, rented, then repeat.....or steal the million and piss it away on drugs and hookers. Whatever youre most comfortable with.
Sounds like they may have watched too much HGTV and want to get their hands dirty. The goals are too vague. One answer you should have is the plan to preserve principal. Also your allocation to active projects and a place (liquid) where you can park a reserve and earn a little interest.
Multifamily. Multifamily. Multifamily.
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I really appreciate everyone's reply here, whether it is negative or encouraging - I want to see opinions.
To be clear, i wouldn't just be using this money as an investor, I would actually be building a company with the family, and if successful become a partner. The kick is, if the company profits the first year, the family will invest an additional million and every year thereafter. For everyone asking what the families goal is - it's to build liquid capital quickly.
The son is a real estate analyst that graduated from an ivy league school, hes bright but has 0 experience managing contractors or with construction. The mother was a big developer in the country she moved here from. Both have valuable skills. My role in this would be to help identify deals, strategy and manage contractors.
Thinking about this longer i believe the best strategy may be a combination of 5 flips in the 250 arv range and a couple new construction deals. I believe this would provide the quickest and largest ROI if done correctly.
If I don't take this opportunity, I might regret it forever, even more so than if I take it and fail.
Erase everything you know about the situation from your mind... Someone is giving you a million dollars to build a company and invest for a quick ROI, what's your plan?
If someone gave me $1mil. I would scale up and complete as many flips in a year as possible. I would allocate money towards landing off market deals, and then allocate what I need to flip as many properties at a time as I have quality workers to complete. I have had 3 at once, running them myself. With more capital I would be comfortable with 5 at a single time. With more capital and more deals, I have people I can trust to help and could see running 7-8 at once. This would all depend on finding the deals though, as that is the hardest part.
@Gabriel Ehrlich : you said "Invest for a quick ROI". I don't really believe that lasting wealth in RE is a "quick ROI". Real estate tends to be a "get rich slowly" game. The first question that came to my mind, when I read your post (other than @J Scott 's post, which was really what I was thinking) was "If this family has that many millions to invest, why do they need you in the first place?" In other words, what experience/skill set do you bring to the table to make your expertise necessary?
If your background is 100 flips and 50 buy & hold rentals, and that's what they are thinking of doing, then perhaps you have something to offer. What if they want to buy notes? What if they want to do new construction?
My three thoughts:
1. If your role in all of this is not already clearly defined, it would probably make sense to pass. It's pretty unusual for wealthy people to say "Hey pal, teach my son to do something, here's a cool million, if you make money we'll give you another million next year and each year thereafter, have fun!" If it isn't a scam, it sounds ludicrous to me. Actually, it sounds like a money laundering attempt, something that the mob would do.
2. If you are moving forward anyway, you should probably stick to what you know.
3. If you are going to move forward, and this isn't a scam (i.e. they deposit $1 mil in your account and tell you to carry on), you should probably visit a good contract lawyer to spell out what everyone's responsibility is and try to limit your liability if this thing goes south.
@Brian Pulaski I think that would be a good plan first year! Thanks for taking the question at face value!
@jdmartin I appreciate your concern, and I thought the same thing initially. However, they check out. Additionally, the reason they want me, and not some ultra successful investor is simple, the mother wants her son to have a partner, not a boss. I have enough experience to be dangerous, but not so much that I overtake every decision. They want quick ROI initially, as any startup would - I understand how real estate works and that it's a get rich slow game (if your're focusing solely on rentals). I'm proposing a flip heavy first year to maximize profits followed by a split investment (flips/new builds/rentals) the following year to help safeguard those profits and provide tax benefits. This is all hypothetical, I haven't accepted anything yet.
Originally posted by @Gabriel Ehrlich :
Thinking about this longer i believe the best strategy may be ... a couple new construction deals.
If you think new construction is a good strategy at this point in the economic cycle, I think you need to seriously reconsider your plan.
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