Investor · Fredericksburg, VA · Member since 2017 · 377 posts · 230 votes
Curious, what if any, changes everyone is making for 2020 given the ever changing note climate? I.E. Are you staffing up, committing more resources to dealflow, raising additional capital, selling off your RPL's, etc.
Our loans, both the ones we buy as well as the notes we originate, come about 98% from brokers. We have more $ than good buying/originating opportunities. We have just begun a program to (hopefully) generate deal flow directly from borrowers and institutions wanting to sell their notes.
Part of our issue with deal flow is that we won't settle for returns that are below our risk adjusted return model, or risks that are higher. When everyone is accepting lower ROI and higher risk, they are preparing to get killed in the next recession. Preservation of capital is our number one priority.
Good topic, @Martin Saenz. I am looking to work more on my business rather than in it. I am in the process of hiring a part-time assistant and we just switched bookkeepers. Essentially focused on making sure we have the right people and systems in place to continue to grow our business at a solid pace. We are taking on more capital partners as well.
All of this has more to do with our growth as a small business as opposed to market conditions, though. I want to be well-positioned for when the market does turn, likely presenting more opportunities. How about you, Martin?
I'm going to be focused mostly on improving my processes so my business is less time consuming. At the moment I'm working on standard operating documents for loss mitigation.
Plans to continue to refine and scale management systems having just finished up getting bookkeeping in order for the year, which will allow opportunity to grow. Will be concentrating on working out the loans purchased this year and improve the loss mitigation steps along the way.
Our biggest issue has always been not having enough money to buy the loans that we have access to. Raising capital is a whole other full time job and there's been a learning curve. As we create, manage, and liquidate more funds to create a track record and continue to provide information of value through content based marketing, I believe that our efforts will snowball to the point where raising capital won't be a future problem.
Increasing efficiencies is an ongoing process and is handled on an ad hoc basis depending on demand, cost, and discovery. We'll consider hiring additional people once we get bigger after raising more capital. For now, we leverage our servicers, attorneys, real estate agents, and accounts for additional labor needs.
Good topic, @Martin Saenz. I am looking to work more on my business rather than in it. I am in the process of hiring a part-time assistant and we just switched bookkeepers. Essentially focused on making sure we have the right people and systems in place to continue to grow our business at a solid pace. We are taking on more capital partners as well.
All of this has more to do with our growth as a small business as opposed to market conditions, though. I want to be well-positioned for when the market does turn, likely presenting more opportunities. How about you, Martin?
Thank you,Jamie. Hiring an assistant was one of the best decisions I made in 2019. It forced my hand to load her up with all the activities that don't drive direct income to my business. I'm sure you'll find that too. I'm hiring another person next month to help manage all my performing notes, basic admin tasks, and reporting. That will allow my assistant to work out more loan mods.
2020 will be focused on reducing the cost of investment money. Two ways to make wider spreads - buy for less or borrower for less.
In 2020 buying for less will be unrealistic as I see pricing still rising or holding flat. Once the stock market flatlines come June timeframe due to the election, people may start to get nervous and look to diversify.
I see returns continuing to be depressed in notes as we move forward as pricing is not going down anytime soon.
Our loans, both the ones we buy as well as the notes we originate, come about 98% from brokers. We have more $ than good buying/originating opportunities. We have just begun a program to (hopefully) generate deal flow directly from borrowers and institutions wanting to sell their notes.
Part of our issue with deal flow is that we won't settle for returns that are below our risk adjusted return model, or risks that are higher. When everyone is accepting lower ROI and higher risk, they are preparing to get killed in the next recession. Preservation of capital is our number one priority.
@Don Konipol - Just did a podcast episode that about quality of paper is getting worse that is available on the market, quantity is down and cost is up which all equates to lower ROI and higher risk. you are correct that it may get ugly for some.
@Chris Seveney What do you mean exactly by the "quality of paper" getting worse? Thinner collateral files? More title issues? Worse collateral? Just curious :)
@Chris Seveney What do you mean exactly by the "quality of paper" getting worse? Thinner collateral files? More title issues? Worse collateral? Just curious :)
2020 will be focused on reducing the cost of investment money. Two ways to make wider spreads - buy for less or borrower for less.
In 2020 buying for less will be unrealistic as I see pricing still rising or holding flat. Once the stock market flatlines come June timeframe due to the election, people may start to get nervous and look to diversify.
I see returns continuing to be depressed in notes as we move forward as pricing is not going down anytime soon.
To borrower or to JV. I shifted my model to borrowing a few years back and will not turn back. I'm also looking to borrower for less. One of my biggest objectives is to staff up and do more efficient workouts. Time is that other factor I'm focused on.