Real Estate Broker · Oregon & California Coast · Member since 2022 · 822 posts · 695 votes
Don't look now but the FED meets tomorrow and is highly anticipated to reduce the FED Funds rate further by .25%
Most Mortgage lenders have already priced this adjustment into scenarios which is why mortgage rates hit the lowest point of 2025 last week.
If trends hold - the 30 year fixed rate for a primary home borrower could average below 6% by - or during the 1st quarter of next year.
We are anticipating a compounding of purchase & refinance interest with every .5% drop in real rates. For example the volume of those that would benefit from a refinance from current rates around 6% would accelerate at 5.5% and re-accelerate at 5%.
Investor · Member since 2022 · 3k+ posts · 3k+ votes
10mo
Barely below 6% does nothing for folks that are FHB with 5-10% down. It matters to the folks with sub 50% LTV on a $2mil + property.
And does nothing for 97% of the BP investors that don't even have 5% down, and 2% of BP investors that have 20% down but nothing else reserve wise & can't underwrite even remotely ATM or ITM.
Mortgage rates need to get sub 5% for this to really matter to unlock inventory. Stalemate until we do; either it happens fast due to bad times or slowly due to uncertain times. Almost no good outcome.