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All Forum Posts by: Chris Magistrado

Chris Magistrado has started 19 posts and replied 76 times.

Post: Built an AI Deal Analysis Tool for Fun

Chris MagistradoPosted
  • Investor
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Jeff S.:

Sounds interesting, @Chris Magistrado. Of course, anyone or anything can make predictions, but the proof is in the pudding. I'd be curious how accurate your tool is with a comparison to real-world deals after they are sold. That is, how well did your deal analyzer estimates match the actual rehab costs, holding costs, ARV, and profit? A detailed before-and-after P&L comparison would be useful here to show accuracy and weaknesses.

I have a relatively sophisticated rehab spreadsheet I’ve been enhancing for years, and I know it’s reasonably accurate. It only knows what it’s told, however. Automating what spreadsheets already do is not useful since spreadsheets are already automated. I don’t think that’s what you meant. The top three expenses in a flip are the rehab costs, lender fees, and sales commissions. These typically account for about 80 to 85% of all expenses in a flip.

If you know the lenders' terms and the loan duration, lender fees, the second greatest expense, are easy to calculate. Agent sales fees, number three, which are normally a percentage of the ARV, are similarly trivial. You don't need AI for those. This leaves rehab costs, number one, and ARV, which is where the skill comes in.

Estimating today's ARV is fairly straightforward. A tool to accurately predict the ARV in 6 months or in a year, as well as the project's rehab costs, would be extremely valuable. I'm curious how well your tool could do that.

Will it tell you to go back and take a few more photos to get a better idea of the rehab costs? Since it will evaluate photos, bonus points if it could look at the MLS and recommend the best finishes and paint colors to maximize the ARV. Or the best MLS photos to take, how many, as well as staging styles. More bonus points if it could look back at the borrower's track record and predict how they will do on a particular type of rehab? I can ask for the world, can't I?

Everyone and their brother is now offering AI tools to evaluate loan documents and bank statements. Something to accurately evaluate a flip would be a welcome addition.

I’m curious to follow your progress, Chris. Sounds great.

You’ve brought up some of the challenges I faced in this. Accuracy of both the input data and the results.

First is the providing information it comes up with that isn’t there. Certain models like the ones ChatGPT are trained on do this, but other LLM likes Gemini don’t. It will only respond with what you give it, nothing more. This leads to better accuracy. I have a friend who uses this to summarize legal proceedings for his business. (He’s not a lawyer so it’s not life and death. 😂)

Second component is understanding what the AI indersgands when it views a photo and how accurate it is. This again has to do with how well the model is changed. When reviewing test results across multiple LLMs, one performed significantly better in this challenge, which means I used that one for the image progressing. I’m sure video will follow once better base models release, maybe even this year.

Third is your existing P&Ls. If you have historical data of what flips you’ve done, it can be trained off that, and only that as you desired. You can also just tell it what percentages you want to hit.

Fourth, you can adjust the prompt so it will tell you directly that it needs more information about certain things, and can suggest more investigation into areas of your flip to increase the confidency score of different parts in it’s rehab analysis. You can also request the confidence score by percentage if you want, and adjust it accordingly.

The way to test accuracy in Machine Learning, is by training the data on most of the deals. The you take a few deals, only give it them input, in this case photos, what returns you want, loan details, etc, and compare your final results with what they got. It’s not a crystal ball and it’s not going to catch major shifts in the market. That’s a whole other level of having to monitor the news, which I think is much more of a challenge. 

As for what it does, it’s nice to get a generally idea of what needs repair and areas to consider and what to look at. If you want an instance of this, happy to chat and see if it works for you. 

Post: Built an AI Deal Analysis Tool for Fun

Chris MagistradoPosted
  • Investor
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 41

I built something to make deal analysis easier, and I’m pretty proud of it. It’s still rough and has plenty of room for improvement, but I can upload photos of a distressed property, tax records, comps, lender rates, and local rehab costs.

From there, it analyzes the photos to identify repairs, explains why they're needed, estimates costs for each item, calculates the total rehab budget, determines ARV based on comps, and provides an expected return—basically automating a lot of what spreadsheets already do.

It’s not meant to replace an analyst, and of course, everything still needs to be verified. It won’t catch everything in photos yet, and comps can be off, but as a way to speed up deal reviews and analyze more properties in less time, it’s been pretty useful. It can even learn from past deals to help refine the analysis over time.

I built this mostly to better understand the components of a good deal. Now that it’s up and running, I’m wondering—are there other tools out there that do something similar?

I'm surprised at the responses here, and think there could possibly be confusion and an assumption that might be created in the responses.

To provide a based answer, my question to @Zoe Brennan is, are you working on the investment opportunity with your time as well? Are you open to spending 40hrs-80hrs a week doing things other investors might not do? Do you have skills that compliment wholesaling or flipping? Whether it be cold calling, knocking on doors, flipping, and possibly doing some rehab work yourself?

For those who have $0 - little funding, you have to do more of the work yourself, and even possibly work to earn some more to start funding more of your deals. What I understand, (and please everyone jump in to agree or provide constructive feedback), the multiple ways to make money and lower the cost of investments in real estate can be found in different parts of each process. It seems this starts with finding the property. Wholesaling, where you can put a property under contract and sell that contract for more money. If you flip the contract, you can make $5k-$20k (more or less) depending on how well you position yourself. You could do many of these and increase capital, and/OR do this to find a discounted property.

The next area you can earn more capital or decrease the amount to pay for a property, is rehabbing and possibly flipping. You can use your existing $25k + HML to cover your first flip, and make anywhere between $10k-$25k in the course of 3-6 months (given market, location, etc.) You can do a few of these to build up more capital and/OR do this to get a better deal on a property.

If you find your deal (wholesale), rehab something and use HML, then get a conventional loan on it, ideally BRRRR it, you could have a great start. The level of difficulty depends on your skillset, time, and ability to learn. The money will come with any of the skills you acquire for this.


My opinion, if she has a lot of time on her hands, already has skills like cold calling, sales/door knocking, etc. she could be in a great position. If not, if she has the time to learn, she could use that $25k and make some moves with it, all while increasing capital.


I'm open to having a discussion about this topic to those who say it's unrealistic. I acknowledge I am new to this board, to real estate investing in general, and there is always more to learn. It seems flippers that do HML start out with about this on their smaller deals, no?

Post: Looking for Hard Money Lenders in Austin and Nearby Cities

Chris MagistradoPosted
  • Investor
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Steven Swanson:
Quote from @Chris Magistrado:

Love to connect. Looking for Hard money lenders for flips, then to refinance into a traditional mortgage.


 Happy to connect anytime. 


 Excellent! Sending a DM.

Post: Looking for Hard Money Lenders in Austin and Nearby Cities

Chris MagistradoPosted
  • Investor
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Erik Estrada:
Quote from @Chris Magistrado:
Quote from @Erik Estrada:
Quote from @Chris Magistrado:

Love to connect. Looking for Hard money lenders for flips, then to refinance into a traditional mortgage.


 Hi Chris, 

Is this your first time flipping/doing a BRRRR?

That's correct. First time for both. 

 Happy to connect with you


Thanks! Just got your message. I replied! 

Post: Looking for Hard Money Lenders in Austin and Nearby Cities

Chris MagistradoPosted
  • Investor
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Erik Estrada:
Quote from @Chris Magistrado:

Love to connect. Looking for Hard money lenders for flips, then to refinance into a traditional mortgage.


 Hi Chris, 

Is this your first time flipping/doing a BRRRR?

That's correct. First time for both. 

Post: Looking for Hard Money Lenders in Austin and Nearby Cities

Chris MagistradoPosted
  • Investor
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Clint Miller:
Quote from @Chris Magistrado:

Love to connect. Looking for Hard money lenders for flips, then to refinance into a traditional mortgage.


 Happy to connect if you're still looking 


Yes still looking! Let's connect!

Post: Looking for Hard Money Lenders in Austin and Nearby Cities

Chris MagistradoPosted
  • Investor
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Mike Klarman:

Chris, sent you a DM


 Awesome! Checking it now!

Post: Looking for Hard Money Lenders in Austin and Nearby Cities

Chris MagistradoPosted
  • Investor
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Simmy Ahluwalia:

@Chris Magistrado - Austin is a good market for us.  Happy to review your deal scenario and the numbers.  We can facilitate both the purchase/reno and then refinance into a 30 year fixed.


 Awesome! You and your team have worked in Austin? Can you share some numbers of great dealyou've done there? 

Post: Looking for Hard Money Lenders in Austin and Nearby Cities

Chris MagistradoPosted
  • Investor
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Kyle Deutschmann:
Quote from @Chris Magistrado:

Love to connect. Looking for Hard money lenders for flips, then to refinance into a traditional mortgage.


Hey Chris, that's exactly what I specialize in - bridge financing for acquiring and rehabbing a property, and then 30 year DSCR financing for turnkey rentals once the property is fixed up. Happy to connect sometime.

Texas is a state we like to lend in, so we generally are more lenient and bump up our max LTVs by 5% there (on bridge loans). 


 Very interesting! DM sent.