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All Forum Posts by: Jeff Burdick

Jeff Burdick has started 5 posts and replied 501 times.

Post: What do you fix first on a project?

Jeff BurdickPosted
  • Investor
  • Chicago, IL
  • Posts 515
  • Votes 247

Have you done a home inspection?   I would recommend getting a good, professional home inspector to do a home inspection while you're under contract and rely on his/her report.  

Post: New to BP and live in Logan Square

Jeff BurdickPosted
  • Investor
  • Chicago, IL
  • Posts 515
  • Votes 247

Welcome Nicole!  I am a fellow investor on the north side of Chicago!  

Originally posted by @Steve Kachniewicz:

ok a simple google search of crime rate Chicago  or crime rate and then the area you are looking for will give you all of the answers you need. I have two units currently for lease and I have had probably 12 people inquire and all of them but one live in the city. I have no idea why they are moving to the suburbs as Park Ridge is not really that far from the city and it borders the city of Chicago. But if the current trends continue with crime it will have an effect. That's all I am saying. Most young people don't mind because they think they're invincible to crime until it happens to them.  I have never spoken to a cop that didn't say that morale was at an all time low and that things are getting worse. But maybe you have different cop friends than I do.  I'll stay in the suburbs and you stay in the city. That much we can agree on. 

 This is the current trend in the city as a whole.  

If current trends continue, it'll have an effect.  That effect will be a beneficial effect.  

http://crime.chicagotribune.com/

My google search told me crime was down in those areas.  For example, violent crimes in Lincoln Park is down 20% year over year, property crime down 10%, quality of life crime down 10%.  Lakeview down 10%, down 30%, down 30%. North Center down 20%, unchanged, down 40%.  Lincoln Square down 30%, unchanged, down 10%.  

http://crime.chicagotribune.com/chicago/community/...

If you look at the bottom of the page, it'll give you historic crime of the neighborhood since 2002.  The trend certainly looks downward in all of these neighborhoods to me.

It is not just young people and it is not a perspective of invincibility.  I wouldn't go somewhere where I didn't feel safe.  I certainly wouldn't live somewhere where I didn't feel safe.  

But I've lived in the city for almost 7 years and I've never felt unsafe.  I've never been a victim of crime in Chicago.  I've never witnessed a crime in Chicago(other than very minor crimes like people with an open container).  I've dozens of friends here and met hundreds of people and I can only think of two incidences of friends being a victim of crime and both lived in sketchy areas.  

Originally posted by @Steve Kachniewicz:

OK apparently you don't watch the news in the evening. I'm not going argue this but the element is coming into the wealthy neighborhoods because that's where they find what they want.  Lincoln Park Wicker Park Lake view Wrigley Ville Logan Square, Edgewater has all seen crime rates explode. Don't take my word for it look it up online. I'm just saying people are going  leave the city if things don't change. I have many friends That used to live in the city and have since moved to get away from the crime. Sure there  are vibrant  communities but you have to look over your shoulder when you walk down the street.  If you want to move to very select neighborhoods like Edison Park where it's all police officers and firemen sure it's safe. But there are very few places now that are truly safe.   I also have a lot of police officer friends that tell me it's only going to get worse. And they should know since they deal with that every day. There are just too many uncertainties with the city of Chicago to be investing money in my opinion. It's just an opinion.

 I watch the news daily.  Please show me some statistics that indicate that the crime is increasing in the neighborhoods you listed.  I work in Logan Square...the neighborhood is significantly safer than it was just 5 years ago even.  

I know Chicago cops and they say the exact opposite.  I know one, actually, who is investing in some really sketchy areas because as he says "the gentrification is never going to stop." 

I have friends who've recently moved to the city from the suburbs.   I meet people constantly who "just moved from the suburbs."   

Originally posted by @Steve Kachniewicz:

not at the condos that I own. And I can buy them much cheaper than I can in decent neighborhoods in Chicago.  Plus my condos are in safe areas and there is no safe area in Chicago anymore. I'm just saying if I were choosing between suburbs and the city I would choose the suburbs 100% to invest in. Especially with the horrible school system that Chicago public schools has become

 There are no safe areas in Chicago?  Seriously?  There are dozens upon dozens of amazing, vibrant, and incredibly safe neighborhoods in Chicago.  

Also, CPS has dozens of award winning schools and among them are some of the best schools in the state.  

Originally posted by @Steve Kachniewicz:

I have purchased all of my investment properties in Park Ridge. Condos close to Maine South High School. You would not believe how easy is to rent these units out. I rehab them and people flock because Park Ridge is Safe and the excellent school system. I would never even consider buying in Chicago at this point. Crime is rampant and taxes are insane! 

 Property taxes are higher in Park Ridge than in Chicago.  

Originally posted by @Sid Franklin:
Originally posted by @Jeff Burdick:
Originally posted by @Sid Franklin:
Originally posted by @Jeff Burdick:
Originally posted by @Sid Franklin:
Originally posted by @Jeff Burdick:
Originally posted by @Sid Franklin:
Originally posted by @Jeff Burdick:
Originally posted by @Sid Franklin:

1. all Rahm does is try to lure business to Chicago.  

2. Chicago has had a range of terrible to great schools for decades...the percent of good/great schools is increasing.   

1. Trying hard is not good enough to deal with Chicago's debt now.  Rahm is awesome at promoting Chicago but he needs Rauner and the legislature to support his efforts.  He's just one man.  We're lucky to have him.  Imagine what investing in Chicago would be like under Mayor Chuy Garcia?

2.  If you want classes sizes under 30 for your children in K-12 in Chicago, you need to pay to send them to a private school - like the Mayor and others in his adminisitration do now.  This is not the case in the suburbs.  Once Chicago property taxes start to equal Park Ridge, Oak Park, Palos Heights, etc. property taxes (without the good schools with low class sizes, low crime, good parks, etc.) the exodus will begin on the north side.

 Class sizes of 30+ don't exist in CPS schools in most middle/upper class neighborhoods on the north side.   Many CPS schools on the north side are as good or better than those in the suburbs.   

Chicago's north side already has the good schools, low crime, good parks that the suburbs have.  IF, and that's a BIG if, Chicago's taxes ever equal those of the suburbs, the suburbs will never duplicate the preferred style of living that urban residents enjoy such as walkability, mass transit, nightlife and restaurants, etc. There is a lot of reason that hundreds of thousands of people prefer to live in the city than the suburbs and the property tax rate is not one for the vast majority of them.  

You can convince yourself that there will be some sort of exodus of north side residents, but all of the facts say otherwise.  

Originally posted by @Sid Franklin:
Originally posted by @Jeff Burdick:
Originally posted by @Sid Franklin:
Originally posted by @Jeff Burdick:
Originally posted by @Sid Franklin:
Originally posted by @Jeff Burdick:
Originally posted by @Sid Franklin:
Originally posted by @Jeff Burdick:

"A rapidly decreasing number of people in poverty decreases what the city has to spend on social services."

The poor on welfare and reliant on other government assistance are not the people moving out of Chicago. The poor will quickly outnumber the rich in Chicago and they likely won't be voting for candidate's willing to hold the line on taxes, government assistance and pay and benefits for government employees. It is middle class taxpayers seeking lower taxes, better schools and less crime that are depopulating Chicago, Cook County and Illinois. Once a neighborhood loses its middle class taxpaying citizens, it might as well be Detroit when it comes to real estate values and tax revenues generated.  The north side then gets to make up the difference.

 You are incorrect in regards the demographic changes taking place in Chicago.  The poor and working class are leaving Chicago.  Middle, upper middle, and upper class people are moving in.   

However, there will not be enough yuppies and out-of-staters to keep control of City Hall and avoid the Detroit death spiral of property tax hikes, poor schools, bad crime and service cuts, unfortunately.  the growth is not nearly enough and with Rauner and Rahm fighting rather than luring businesses to Chicago, that is not going to change any time soon.

 Now I'm convinced you're just trolling.  

I can't stand Rahm, but all Rahm does is try to lure business to Chicago.  

Chicago has had a range of terrible to great schools for decades...the percent of good/great schools is increasing.  Chicago has had neighborhoods with significant crime to negligible crime for decades.  The population in the areas with bad crime is decreasing, requiring less social services.  

Originally posted by @Sid Franklin:
Originally posted by @Jeff Burdick:
Originally posted by @Sid Franklin:
Originally posted by @Jeff Burdick:
Originally posted by @Sid Franklin:
Originally posted by @Jeff Burdick:

"A rapidly decreasing number of people in poverty decreases what the city has to spend on social services."

The poor on welfare and reliant on other government assistance are not the people moving out of Chicago. The poor will quickly outnumber the rich in Chicago and they likely won't be voting for candidate's willing to hold the line on taxes, government assistance and pay and benefits for government employees. It is middle class taxpayers seeking lower taxes, better schools and less crime that are depopulating Chicago, Cook County and Illinois. Once a neighborhood loses its middle class taxpaying citizens, it might as well be Detroit when it comes to real estate values and tax revenues generated.  The north side then gets to make up the difference.

 You are incorrect in regards the demographic changes taking place in Chicago.  The poor and working class are leaving Chicago.  Middle, upper middle, and upper class people are moving in.