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All Forum Posts by: Jeff G.

Jeff G. has started 3 posts and replied 31 times.

Post: State Farm is not renewing any apartment policies in California

Jeff G.Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 36

I don't feel quite as bad knowing that Fire Stations are being decline fire insurance

https://krcrtv.com/news/local/california-insurance-crisis-st...

Post: State Farm is not renewing any apartment policies in California

Jeff G.Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 36

My agent just informed me that State Farm is not renewing any apartment policies in California ( https://newsroom.statefarm.com/update-on-california/ ).  Does anyone have any recommendations for insurers for a ~60 year old 8-unit apartment in the Sacramento area?

Post: Tenant left no new address?

Jeff G.Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 36

I recently had a(n inherited) tenant vacate a house, owing more in rent and damages than her deposit will cover.  Being in California, I have to send a list of charges within 2 weeks, but she left no forwarding address.  Am I really supposed to send it to the address she just vacated?

Also, she left an old, beat-up desk outside which has since been rained on.  Is there some sort of legal litmus test for whether something is trash vs whether it needs to be put in storage?  I think most people would see it as trash, but I don't want to open myself up to "oh that was a family heirloom with sentimental value..."

Post: Go to "www.StopZillow.com

Jeff G.Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 36

While you're at it, might as well stop E-trade, Uber, Expedia, Amazon, etc -- maybe start a trade union to protect brokers & middlemen too...

Post: Can I evict for drug use, now that marijuana is "legal" in CA?

Jeff G.Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 36

Illegal drug use is a 3-day notice eviction.

Code of Civil Procedure Section 1161(4). Health and Safety Code Section 11571.1; California Landlord-Tenant Practice, Section 3.7 (Cal. Cont. Ed. Bar 2011).

http://www.dca.ca.gov/publications/landlordbook/terminations.shtml

Post: Why people are selling properties with good cash flow?

Jeff G.Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 36

If you're finding lot of good cash flowing multifamilies in Sacramento, I suspect you are leaving out a number of expenses in your analysis.  Feel free to post an example of what you're looking at, but here's a quick example:

6336-6338 Bonham Circle; Citrus Heights

$295,000 plus it needs ~$30k capex

Rents are currently $2175, and could be $2400 after updates.

Expenses:

$250k loan, 15 year fixed @ 4.6% = $1950/month

Water/sewer/garbage: $200/month

taxes: $300/month

So this example is already negative cashflow before maintenance & management.

Post: "The blinds were like that when I moved in..."

Jeff G.Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 36

...sigh...  

Post: Duplex deal analysis

Jeff G.Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 36

Is that truly a duplex or are they just selling one side?

Post: First Rental Property Analysis!

Jeff G.Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 36

Looks intriguing, but it is located in a small town in Ohio, 50+ miles outside the nearest metropolitan area, with a declining population, a per capita income of $18k (vs $27k for US), with 3 maybe 4 street parking spots, and with its 2 bedroom apartments currently renting for just $500/month.

It could be a winner, but might be a value trap too.  I'd triple check expense assumptions (for example, the current property tax is based on a $23,000 assessment & $112 capex seems low for a 100+ year-old converted 3-5plex).  I'd also pad vacancy allowance because it might be very hard to fill.  

Post: Best way to invest with $20-$25K?

Jeff G.Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sacramento, CA
  • Posts 32
  • Votes 36
Originally posted by @Raeshelle C.:
Originally posted by @Jeff G.:
Originally posted by @Raeshelle C.:

I'm currently saving right now, but I estimate that in 3 years I will have saved $20K-$25K. 

I'm 27.

I want to make $10K/mo and retire early.

I want to make $10K/mo within 10 years of buying my first rental.

Can anyone give strategies?

Work backwards from your goal.  It appears you want to retire at age 40 with $10K/month in income for the rest of your life (the Social Security Administration estimates that the average 27 year-old female will live to 83).  

So we open an annuity calculator and plug in those numbers.  As for interest, let's use the wildly optimistic 10% (which happens to be what Bernie Madoff promised investors in his ponzi scheme):

So you need to have $1.2 Million by the time you are 40 -- and that's assuming a 10% rate of return.  Use a more conservative 5% and you get $2.1 Million:

OK, so what kind of CAGR do you need to turn $22,500 into $2.1M over 10 years?

For comparison, here are the long-term rates of return from some of the greatest investors of our time:

Warren Buffett:  29% over 13 years

Peter Lynch: 29% over 13 years

Michael Burry: 22% over 8 years

Charlie Munger: 20% over 13 years

Bill Ruane: 18% over 13 years

This should illustrate how unlikely you are to passively turn $22K into $2M in 10 years (e.g. turnkey investing).  Of course, you'll run into no shortage of charlatans promising exactly those types of returns -- so buyer beware!

 many investors on this site actually have already accomplished earning $10k/mo with real estate.

 You won't find one who did it passively in 10 years starting with < $30k. You'll have to do a lot more than reinvest cash flow into new turnkeys to achieve the income you're wanting in that timeframe.