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All Forum Posts by: Johann Jells

Johann Jells has started 130 posts and replied 1625 times.

Post: NY Metro Rents: still low or back to pre-covid?

Johann JellsPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Jersey City, NJ
  • Posts 1,632
  • Votes 875

When I look at what's on the rental market it seems like asking prices are simply all over the place! Last summer and fall I had to drop rents up to 17% for a small 1BR, trying to get a gauge on what's going on for my big 2BRs. Thoughts?

Post: Properties that are old- anything to be aware of?

Johann JellsPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Jersey City, NJ
  • Posts 1,632
  • Votes 875

On the plus side, older properties were MUCH better built than they are today! My area is a mix of brownstones and high rises, and people living in the new construction are always complaining of noise and crappy quality.

Post: Need some MF advice please!

Johann JellsPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Jersey City, NJ
  • Posts 1,632
  • Votes 875
Originally posted by @Matt M.:

@Johann Jells

Thanks. I would definitely do market rent plus some $ considering utilities included. My educated guess would be about $10k just to separate electric.

Sounds high but you're in the trade and I guess you know your market. I've never had to separate electric but I've had to bring up new risers to apartments with one circuit and break up the wiring into a number of separate circuits. A lot depends on how it's set up and how creative you and the electrician can be with fishing through the walls. 

Post: What's going to happen to NY City?

Johann JellsPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Jersey City, NJ
  • Posts 1,632
  • Votes 875
Originally posted by @Justin Thorpe:

NYC will indeed rise like a phoenix. The green shoots are already visible. Several companies have started to send office opening memos in the past 4 weeks. Almost all are urging a hybrid work environment. The question is how quickly will all that unfold. Unfortunately this also signals beginning of the end of the "urban flight" and all the big bets people were taking on hopes of  "'forever" quarantine trends. Basically quarantine behaviors staying/sticking for the rest of eternity. Stuff like urban flight, migration to the boondocks, migrating to sunshine states etc. Well, the only thing that can keep those trends alive is if the pandemic takes another ugly twist and comes back in rage. But we all know the history of pandemics and how they have been crushed and beaten to pulp by humans in the past. Cant see why this time it will be any different.

 I agree, but I'd still hate to be holding commercial office space. Could be major conversions to residential like happened on Wall Street.

Post: ‘What’s in your garage’?

Johann JellsPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Jersey City, NJ
  • Posts 1,632
  • Votes 875

2010 Odyssey & 2012 Soul. The latter is the only car I've ever bought new, and that was because 'cash for clunkers' had messed up the used market. I'm a city boy, and never confused what I drive for my identity.  I DIY most maintenance & my wife accuses me of dressing like I was homeless. I get a kick out of making bank deposits looking like that and seeing how solicitous they get when they see my balance.

Post: Need some MF advice please!

Johann JellsPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Jersey City, NJ
  • Posts 1,632
  • Votes 875

My standard rant on "utilities Included" is that the cost isn't what you pay, it's the difference between what you pay and what's built into the rent.  That said, I bet separating electric is pretty feasible, far more than plumbing. Separating heat depends on a a lot of factors.

Post: What's going to happen to NY City?

Johann JellsPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Jersey City, NJ
  • Posts 1,632
  • Votes 875

More actual numbers. 

For the four federal fiscal years that ended Sept. 30, 2018, the most recent numbers available, Kentucky got $148 billion more from the federal government than the Bluegrass State sent to Washington.

Meanwhile, New Jersey got $71.7 billion less than it sent, and New York got $116.2 billion less.

https://www.washingtonpost.com...

NY and KY get roughly the same military spending, around $11B. So no, it's not a discrepancy of military spending, not that I could find a study that even included military spending. The "dependency" narrative that @patrick m is pushing is all in the direction of the Red states.

Here's more great analysis

https://rockinst.org/issue-are...

https://wallethub.com/edu/states-most-least-dependent-on-the-federal-government/2700#

Post: What's going to happen to NY City?

Johann JellsPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Jersey City, NJ
  • Posts 1,632
  • Votes 875
Originally posted by @Justin Thorpe:

Don't bother asking good ole Patrick for actual facts. He's in a fact free 'death to cities' fantasy land. Besides, Miami will be in it's own existential struggle against the rising sea before long. Already they have 'clear sky' flooding of the streets during normal spring tides.

Post: What's going to happen to NY City?

Johann JellsPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Jersey City, NJ
  • Posts 1,632
  • Votes 875
Originally posted by @Patrick M.:

@Johann Jells the numbers are flawed, they equate military bases with monetary payments and other nonsense meant to skew in favor of an predetermined outcome.

It is really amazing how difficult it is to get someone to say thank you for several billions of dollars.

Btw- there is renewed fear as another surge is hitting the north east. NYTimes

Ah, yes, of course, fake news.

"It is really amazing how difficult it is to get someone to say thank you for several billions of dollars."

This is something we can agree on, except that its trillions over many decades, much of it transferred from urban states to places like  "Kentucky, New Mexico and West Virginia", none known for economy dominating military presence, and certainly no more than NY, NJ or CA which also have significant bases. You present no data whatsoever, just a gut feeling that my public data MUST be wrong and urban poor MUST be taking your money!



Post: What's going to happen to NY City?

Johann JellsPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Jersey City, NJ
  • Posts 1,632
  • Votes 875
Originally posted by @Patrick M.:

 I think it would do progressives Rural Conservatives a world of good to graciously thank their fellow urban citizens for the continual decades long bail out rather than demonize them.

There, fixed it for you. I bring up McConnell simply because he's such a massive hypocrite. You are still in denial about which way the cash flows. The rural states simply do not generate the federal taxes, the money flowing to urban areas is taxes they have generated and money borrowed to be paid off by taxes they will generate in the future.

 NJ is 2nd to last in taxes paid to aid received back. Look at the actual numbers to see how much more federal money NJ would have to get to just break even.  https://www.njspotlight.com/20...


Federal spending in New Jersey versus taxes paid this year comes to $0.82 on the dollar. Our payments were $119 billion and our receipts were $98 billion, a gap of $21 billion. Only New York was slightly worse. Other “losers” include Connecticut and Massachusetts. Forty-one other states had a positive ratio, with some states receiving more than $2.3 for every dollar they paid in federal taxes — such states as Kentucky, New Mexico and West Virginia.