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All Forum Posts by: Justin Brin

Justin Brin has started 30 posts and replied 165 times.

Post: Cleveland and all the burbs

Justin BrinPosted
  • Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 165
  • Votes 65

@Bob Stevens I noticed Cleveland OH population is declining:

How much will it affect appreciation in the long run?

Where are all the vacant units in the area?

Post: Top location for long distance investing?

Justin BrinPosted
  • Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 165
  • Votes 65
Quote from @Taz Zettergren:

@Justin Brin I've had a ton of success in Memphis, Little Rock, OKC and Dallas. I tend to stay south of the Mason Dixon line because the weather isn't as tough on properties. Are you investing actively or passively? 

I currently do the management myself but most of the time there is not much work needed. I guess it will be 80% passively 20% active?

Post: Top location for long distance investing?

Justin BrinPosted
  • Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 165
  • Votes 65
Quote from @Sandra Regnell:

@Justin Brin I just bought one in Memphis with Memphis Invest.

Anyone else here have experience with them? The sale was smooth but no renter yet.

Homes are very affordable there and Memphis Invest is turnkey with integrated property management.


 What class area is it in? How the pics look? How are you advertising the rental? Which platform are you using?

Post: What do you think of Pittsburgh, PA?

Justin BrinPosted
  • Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 165
  • Votes 65
Quote from @Jeremy Taggart:

@Justin Brin There can be some vacant houses that need rehabbed depending on the neighborhood, but those aren't really a part of the rental housing stock. As far as vacant rentals if you price something properly typically rents pretty quickly. Just can't get too far outside the city that's when rental demand starts to fade. I honestly think one of the main reasons this market hasn't gotten saturated yet is the population statistics.  

Will it might be better to invest in a city with growing population over time this way there are more chances it will appreciate more?

Post: What do you think of Pittsburgh, PA?

Justin BrinPosted
  • Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 165
  • Votes 65
Quote from @Jeremy Taggart:

@Justin Brin I think Pittsburgh is a great area to invest in which is why I own all of my properties here haha

For this particular deal:

You can likely get a lower interest rate with a local bank here. Probably closer to 7.75-8% right now. That will help lower monthly payment.

I put 8.5% just to be safe since interest rate is going up almost every week.

Closing costs are going to be more like 5-6% of purchase price if you are financing. Have your transfer tax, title fees, up front escrow of insurance/taxes, lender fees, tax prorations.

Doesn't the seller pay the transfer tax?

For insurance and tax I include it in the monthly expenses since they are really for after the purchase is complete.

I put 1.5% for closing costs that only includes title fees, lender fees and escrow fees for the purchase. (Insurance, interest payment, property tax I include it in the monthly costs). Transfer tax in Los Angeles I know the seller pays. How is it in Pittsburgh?

From my experience in LA the closing costs is usually less than 1.5%. Maybe in Pittsburgh is different?

Brentwood is one of the highest tax areas in Pittsburgh and they will usually immediately re assess if they see a property sold for more than the current assessed value. This property is assessed low now, so taxes would likely double at some point in the next few years. Worse case scenario probably end up being $400/month. If you aren't aware of this, there goes all your cash flow you were expecting.

How much is the property tax rate there 1.67% or higher?

Market rents for 2BR in Brentwood are about $900-$1000, so your gross rent should be higher than what you are calculating here. 8% vacancy is fine. I like to use flat fees for maintenance and capex since those will vary depending on rent amounts. An early 1900s duplex in a C class area outside the city could be renting at $800/unit. Or you could go into an A class area in the city renting at $1400/unit. If both are early 1900's duplexes, maintenance and capex are likely going to be similar. Using percentages will give you way different amounts for these solely because of the market rents so it's faulty. I would say on a duplex like this generally looking at $80-$120/unit for both maintenance and capex respectively. Where you end up in that range will depend on age of the major items like roof, hvac, plumbing/electrical, etc. Also if there is any deferred maintenance.

You are right. Basing maintenance and CapEx on rent is not accurate.

You should also budget 10% for property management as well regardless if you are self managing or not. At some point you will want to outsource it if you are planning on scaling a portfolio.

I would also use $100/month for insurance. Insurance costs have increased quite a bit the last couple years. Don't want to get caught by surprise by that same as with the property taxes.

I agree. 

As for the property itself, I am not a huge fan of how it's built into the hill like that and all the steps on both sides of the property. Will be a pain for lawn upkeep and harder to attract/retain tenants with all those steps. Not to mention additonal liability for you as the owner of the property.

Good point. I will avoid houses hanging in the air.

Hope that's helpful. Pittsburgh can be a great market, but you have to know your numbers and the ins/outs of each area. Can be very street by street and every neighborhood/borough/township is different.

How you get to learn if a street is good or not? By driving by?

Post: What do you think of Pittsburgh, PA?

Justin BrinPosted
  • Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 165
  • Votes 65
If I put 27% down it will become cashflow positive. Usually appreciation is more important then cashflow as long as you can afford the small cashflow loses. Cashflow is taxable and usually appreciation beats cashflow in the long run. Rents eventually go up and eventually it becomes cashflow positive.

Post: What do you think of Pittsburgh, PA?

Justin BrinPosted
  • Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 165
  • Votes 65
Quote from @Jamie Dietz:

Two things to consider are the steps and weather.  A lot of Pittsburgh is built on hillsides but property a lot of steps can be treacherous in winter.   It can be turn off tenants and future buyers.  When I moved from Los Angeles to Pittsburgh everything appeared to be a great deal so make sure you have boots on the ground here before buying.  

Good point! Thanks!

Post: What do you think of Pittsburgh, PA?

Justin BrinPosted
  • Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 165
  • Votes 65

Hi @Jeremy Taggart I noticed the population in Pittsburgh is declining. This means there are many vacant units there because of it?

Post: The bad neighborhood I invested in may kill my investment

Justin BrinPosted
  • Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 165
  • Votes 65

@Rodney Lorenzo Compared to the other buildings in your area how does yours look? How it looks outside how it looks inside? How is the flooring or the paint job?

Maybe if you install new vinyl plank floors with a nice paint job and some new door knobs you can make your units look much better and attract a bit better tenants? This should not cost much.

If you want you can DM some pics and I might be able to suggest some low costs fixes that can improve the look?

For the future, I have a rule for myself, I will never buy a property that I do not see myself living in it. If I do not feel safe in the area I will not get close.

To attract better tenants maybe offer 1 month free in the first year, Maybe lower rents just to get a bit better tenants?

Usually higher cashflow properties means there is more risk in them that's why the cashflow is better.

You usually want lower cashflow properties but with better appreciation in the long run.


Ultimately, consider this experience as a valuable learning opportunity.
You now have a better understanding of where to focus your search and
what to avoid. Think of any losses as a form of tuition in the school of
real estate investment, which will undoubtedly serve you well in future
endeavors.

Post: What do you think of Pittsburgh, PA?

Justin BrinPosted
  • Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 165
  • Votes 65

What do you think of Pittsburgh, PA?

I'm trying to analyze this deal:

Address: 61 Pointview Rd Pittsburgh, PA 15227

Price heatmap:

Crime map:

What do you think? Do you recommend Pittsburgh, PA?