I have been investing in Real Estate since 1997.
I have went through a few downturns even before the 2008 crash, such as the Tech Crash of 2001 where NASDAQ lost 66% of it value.
My properties are in NYC, Brooklyn specifically.
I tend to be a very detailed oriented researcher into the area of Investment that I am studying.
Prior to purchasing my RE Investments, I learned the RE Business Cycle so that I can soften a blow from a downturn as much as possible. That's because I'm very risk adverse.
I learned that everything is a business cycle. It goes up, peaks, goes down, bottoms and then goes back up again.
HOWEVER, while it is a business cycle, most people only think of it as simply a cycle that moves against a horizontal line. They don't realize that the cycle can move against an inclined line.
What do I mean by an inclined line for a business cycle? Well, imagine a line that is inclined upward. Draw a Business Cycle along that inclined line and then you will see that when the cycle turns down, it is muted. When it goes up, it skyrockets.
Many areas of NYC is exactly like an inclined Business Cycle.
Equally, there will be areas that are declined in a downward direction. Those will exhibit the opposite of an inclined business cycle.
I believe that an Investor can intelligently determine whether then business cycle will be inclined, declined or just horizontal by understanding what happens to their particlar neighborhood during the down cyle part of the business cycle.
For instance, in the downturn, it is normal for Cities to lose money, and therefore cut services. The first service they cut is usually the Fire Department. Then the retire older and more experienced Police Officers, then Teachers.
So, you would expect more burned out vacant buildings, increase in crime and decrease in the quality of schools in neighborhoods that cannot make corrective measures. Generally, these will be lower income neighborhoods which already had problems.
BUT, for those neighborhoods which had a strong support base and higher incomes, they could afford to have a volunteer Fire Dept, hire private security to drive the neighborhood, and keep the quality of their education for the kids up via private schools, which are generally expensive.
When the down turn happens, richer families which sought to save money and chosed to live in the lower income neighborhoods, find themselves leaving the lower income neighborhoods and moving to the safer, higher income neighborhoods. This movement has the effect of making the lower income neighborhoods worse and keeping the rents stable in the higher income neighborhoods.
ANYWAY, to make a long story short as there is MUCH more to add to this analysis, this particular effect made the financial crisis of 2008 barely noticable to my properties as they all were within the higher income neighborhoods.
In 2007, the values of my properties had peaked. From 2008 to 2009, the value had decreased about 10% but the rental income stayed the same.
From 2009 to today, all of my property values doubled if not trippled.
There is a reason why I'm willing to buy in the higher income neighborhoods in NYC. The RE Business Cycle is inclined upward, softening the effects of the downturn while moving quickly up when times are good!
Hope that helps.