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All Forum Posts by: Robert G.

Robert G. has started 2 posts and replied 194 times.

Post: First flip. Exit strategy?

Robert G.Posted
  • Residential Real Estate Agent
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 195
  • Votes 138
Originally posted by @Oscar Macal:

I decided to do a 15 year loan @ 3.75% and with taxes and insurance, it will put my payment right at $900 and the home will be rented out for $1,200.  $300 potential cash flow. Hopefully everything works out well.

Thanks again everyone for your advice. We'll talk soon.

Oscar

Sorry, but that seems a bit naive.  $300 potential cash flow?  Without factoring in vacancy, expenses for repairs, capex, management, etc?  It doesn't take a seer to see that this property will be breakeven (or negative cash flow) with those numbers above.  I recommend getting a 30 year loan to push down that mortgage payment to a more workable number.

Post: Any hope for this deal? What should we do?

Robert G.Posted
  • Residential Real Estate Agent
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 195
  • Votes 138

4K in rent?

We need more info.  Do you know how much is owed on the current mortgage?

Does your landlord still have possession as of today, or has it been foreclosed on already?

What would you estimate is the market value of the property?

Post: Rent too low, sale prices too high?

Robert G.Posted
  • Residential Real Estate Agent
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 195
  • Votes 138
Originally posted by @Kevin Bryce:

So aside from visiting properties and praying maintenance cost is half what I'm estimating, what should I do?  Paying more down payment isn't an option.  Am I left with trying to find an area with more reasonable, I definitely don't want to do that.

Thanks for your advice in advance!

-Kevin

The fact is, buying duplexes or small multi-family does NOT make sense in all markets.

If the purchase prices and rents are in line with what you stated in your post, you only really have 3 options that make sense: 1) don't buy a duplex, 2) find that rare gem of a deal (say a 200k duplex for 100k), or 3) relocate to an area where it does make financial sense. 

Post: My first deal analysis, please critique (Dallas)

Robert G.Posted
  • Residential Real Estate Agent
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 195
  • Votes 138
Originally posted by @Brian D.:

It's a 3/2 newly updated all around, good B neighborhood with good schools for $155,000.  Rent-o-meter shows $1300/mo.  

Unless you're speculating on appreciation, no need to even look into this property.

$155k purchase price for 1300 a month rent?  That means the purchase price equals 119 times the monthly rent.  Way off.  That number needs to be less than 100 before I'd even bother running numbers to see if I like the deal.

Post: How to analyze and get accurate numbers for deals

Robert G.Posted
  • Residential Real Estate Agent
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 195
  • Votes 138
Originally posted by @Justin Aguilar:

I want to learn the mechanics of real estate investment deals. I understand and familiar with the terms. I really want to learn what goes into the computing of the deals (the math)? What variables do I include to come up with a accurate estimate?  I feel the math is the most important part of the deal, if the numbers aren't right then I will never have a deal. 

 Start by reading (and studying) this:

https://www.biggerpockets.com/renewsblog/2010/6/30/introduction-to-real-estate-analysis-investing/

Post: Starting Funds for new investor

Robert G.Posted
  • Residential Real Estate Agent
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 195
  • Votes 138
Originally posted by @Anastasiia Greca:

So I would like to know what is the minimum, on your opinion, we need to have in our pocket to start? 

This is going to vary from one market to another.

Look around at multi-family properties in the areas you're interested in.  You'll need to save up for a down payment, potentially some rehab, and you'll want some cash reserves.

You'll also need to research financing options. Conventional loans may want 20% down (though you can find ones with less), but you may qualify for an FHA 203 loan, which allows you to only give 3.5% down (though you'll have a slightly higher interest rate).

Like I said, it really comes down to the cost of entry around you.  From the little I know of Michigan, I'd think you can pull it off for 15k to 20k.  But you'll want some better advice from someone more familiar with the exact region you're planning to buy in.

Post: Dallas Fort Worth Investors

Robert G.Posted
  • Residential Real Estate Agent
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 195
  • Votes 138
Originally posted by @Greg Varco:

Gotta say I’m in Tampa and even I know about this Hattie lady.

 First post on BP and you're going to use it to troll?

Hattie has over 1400 votes in just 1900 posts.  Obviously this community appreciates her insight.  If your goal is to spread some pointless hate, go do it elsewhere.  The internet is plenty big enough....

Post: First offer on a multi...

Robert G.Posted
  • Residential Real Estate Agent
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 195
  • Votes 138
Originally posted by @Jay Helms:

So, what am I doing right (a) my calculations (b) making rookie offer mistakes just pissing off fellow Pensacola investors (c) none of the above?

Well, first of all, a four-plex is considered residential.  So, regardless of how you decide to calculate your offer, the market value of the property is estimated based on comps (not from the income stream).  So the first question I have is how much have similar properties been selling for in the area?

Now, looking beyond that, it still looks like your offer comes in a little low.  The 2% rule, which is an ideal that you should not expect to hit in Pensacola, would indicate a value of $85,000 ($1700 monthly rental income x 50).  So the property is likely to have a fair market value north of 90k.  Your 72k offer was at 2.36%, which would be amazing if you can pull it off.

Yes, the expenses appear high at first glance.  Do the tenants pay utilities?

And the low cash flow per unit is likely caused by the 20 year loan term.  A 30 year term would bring the numbers closer to the $100 a door you'd expect to see, I think.

Post: How Much is Seller Financing Worth?

Robert G.Posted
  • Residential Real Estate Agent
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 195
  • Votes 138
Originally posted by :

So lets consider the FMV to be $200,000.

Down payment of 5% = $10,000

Loan Amount = $190,000

Total payments over 20 years at 4% = 276,000

Monthly Payments = $1,150

Annual Expenses

Taxes = $7,000

Insurance = $2,000

Sewage/Water = $800

Cap Ex = $3,000

Property Management = $3,840

Repairs/Maintenance = $3,000

Vacancy = $3,200

Total = 22,840 = 59.5% of gross income

Total Gross Annual Income = 38,400

Total Annual Expense = 22,840

Total Annual Payments = 13,800

Total Annual Cash Flow = $1,760

Now that it is revised, what re your thoughts?

-Jacob

I've got slightly different numbers (because you need to subtract the vacancy PRIOR to determining Income).  Very close, though (lower income, lower expenses, final amounts comparable).  Also, you didnt factor in any closing costs.

Anyhow, using your numbers presented above, I get:

Gross Income $35,200. Total Expenses $19,640. NOI = $15,560.

Loan Payments $13,816.  Total Cash Flow = $1,744.

$10,000 Down payment means this will be a 17.44% Cash ROI Year 1.

But you should gain about $6,332 in equity accrued.  So your total is closer to $8,075.

Which is a Total ROI of 80.78%.

Plus you're planning on paying yourself for another $3,840 for property management,

you'll actually make about $11,916 total year one.

Which is a Total ROI of 119.15%

So, with only 10,000 down, you'll theoretically recoup your entire investment during the first year of ownership. 

Post: First timer analysis

Robert G.Posted
  • Residential Real Estate Agent
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 195
  • Votes 138

I don't see anything set aside for Property Management in "Expenses".

I'd recommend accounting for PM even if you plan on doing it yourself (it will take work and time, so pay yourself accordingly).  There will come a time when you wont want, or wont be able, to serve as the property manager.  When that day comes and you have to pay for the service, you'll want the numbers to still work out.