I'm a little late to the conversation, but...
Disclaimer: I grew up in Cortland, in Trumbull County. It's kind of like Mayberry, without Andy and Opie. So I had a lot of misconceptions about Ytown before I started driving and researching back in 2016.
Covid did a number on malls, theaters and things like that. But Boardman is as close as you can get to a city that's almost entirely retail, so if the mall were to close, there'd still be plenty of shopping. It wouldn't kill the area economically.
The southside of Ytown has some very bad areas that I wouldn't walk in during the day. It also has some beautiful areas that are being revitalized.
Just like the rest of Ytown, it's imperative you know your neighborhoods. There are bad neighborhoods on the north, south, east and west. There are also really nice areas in the city with little crime. You can go from an area on the southside where there's a lot of crime to another area of the southside where there's almost no crime. There can be a drastic change in neighborhoods by just going 3-4 streets. So you need to know your streets.
One of the biggest issues in Ytown is INVESTORS. We have out of state investors who see the properties as disposable, buy them, slumlord them, and suck all the beauty out of them and leave them to decay. They rent to the first crackhead with the rent in their pocket and don't care about what/who they are putting in a neighborhood. And there are some local investors with the same mindset. And THAT will destroy a city faster than anything. If I could make a law against these kinds of investors, I would.
Then you have the city leaders who only care about affordable housing. Sorry, but affordable housing doesn't increase your tax base, make your schools better or clean up the neighborhoods. The city leaders need to get smart and realize that while *some* affordable housing is important, the reality is, the people who will live there, pay higher taxes and spend money at the downtown businesses are not the residents of "affordable housing", and if you want to draw the kind of residents that will fix up their homes, pay higher taxes and be the kind of neighbor that draws more people to move to Ytown, they need to stop with the policies that make it harder to attract gainfully employed, tax paying residents.
Youngstown is actually a place many people want to live, and they are finding it difficult bc there are too many slumlords and too much focus on "affordable housing". So they work in Youngstown, and then go home (and spend their money) in the suburbs.
So investors who are willing to really put the money into their properties - like literally roof to floor rehabs - can get great rents and excellent tenants. Property values in Ytown are appreciating, and they will appreciate faster the more investors who put real money into their properties.
If you're a BRRRR investor, you will probably leave money on the table when you refinance if you've done a C2 type of rehab, and that makes it difficult (it's held my progress back for sure). But if you choose your streets correctly, you'll be able to refinance within a few years and your properties will be worth more than what you paid to purchase and rehab (it has taken my first properties 4 years).
BUT, if you are BRRRR, even if you leave some cash in the deal, if you've chosen your streets properly, and you've done your rehab properly, your rents will be much higher than market rents (mine are currently 75% - 100%+ above the rents others on the same streets are getting), and you'll get better tenants who won't trash your house. On my last purchase, after rehab, I will get 4x the rent the previous landlord got (I know this, because I already have it rented for that amount, lease signed, deposit paid, unseen by renter except for a few pics and a rendering of the layout and what it will look like when we're done, with a May 15 - June 1 move in date)
I am focusing on 1 street. My plan is to own the street. If I own it (or most of it), I control its look, its personality, and its economy. I can turn a class D street into a class B street. I don't have to own the entire street - just the properties that aren't kept up (mostly the properties owned by slumlords). And as I get closer to my goal on owning the street, because what I'm doing is so transformative, I will also control the values of the properties on that street, and they will jump from 15.00 - 25.00/sq ft to 45.00 - 55.00/sq ft short term and 60.00 - 80.00/sq ft over the next 3-5 years, and then continue to appreciate with the rest of the neighborhood.
But the key is to see Youngstown as something more than a place to hoard cheap properties and slam the first person with money in their pocket through the door. The key is *real* investment for the long term. Investors who truly invest will see good rents on the front end and good appreciation on the back end.
Ok, I'm getting off the podium now.