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All Forum Posts by: Marcus Johnson

Marcus Johnson has started 13 posts and replied 648 times.

Post: What is an ideal vacancy rate??

Marcus JohnsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Saint Paul, MN
  • Posts 663
  • Votes 512
IMO, none. Your goal isn't to lose money each month due to vacancies. I believe that a quality apartment in a good location at the right rent will never go not rented.

Post: Dave Ramsey Philosophy + Buy & Hold Strategy = ........Reality???

Marcus JohnsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Saint Paul, MN
  • Posts 663
  • Votes 512
Originally posted by @JD Martin:
Originally posted by @Marcus Johnson:
Originally posted by @JD Martin:
Originally posted by @Marcus Johnson:

If you don't understand this, then I'm sorry, but you don't understand leverage or the power of multiplication. More power to you, and I hope you use the leverage that you don't understand to make you more money than would be possible leaving your capital idle.  

Blanket statements such as these prove to me you haven't read a word I've said.  And yes I do understand leverage, compound interest and the power of multiplication and for you to assume that is a completely ignorant statement.   I explained before that I use leverage and put 25% DP on my investment properties and primary.   I also have used the compound interest to grow my Vanguard portfolio, as well as my 401k's.   What you missed is that you cannot completely blow of a million dollars of interest payments on the lifetime of mortgages and those you never paid them.    Plus you cannot gloss over the fact that your expenses are much higher when you own a lot of properties.  

It isn't how many properties you have, it's about the ROI and if I can get that result with less properties more power to me, because the expenses statistically are much lower. Furthermore I forgot to mention other expenses such as double the amount of LLC renewal fees per year, double the amount of License renewal fees, lawn moving services, snow removal, flooring, where does this list end?

Again I refer back former cash only example and had I started in my 20's without being married or having children, then I would have been well on my way with a cash only real estate endeavor.  Because that no longer make sense due to my present state, I prefer to buy with 25% DP, in appreciative neigborhoods, with quality tenants and excellent cash flow.  

Post: Dave Ramsey Philosophy + Buy & Hold Strategy = ........Reality???

Marcus JohnsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Saint Paul, MN
  • Posts 663
  • Votes 512

  There is simply no way, for most people, that they have enough years to work another job and save enough cash to have this method of building wealth make sense. Even you realize this, unless you just like carrying notes of 75% of the cost of your units. The "DR" strategy - and it's not even his strategy, just his profit center - only works given enough years or enough outside income earned to save enough cash to purchase enough units to make this strategy work. Time is not your friend with this method; time is your enemy.

Of course it's possible as I've laid out in my last post.  With a decent job, working extra jobs and saving, you can easily get your first Duplex in 5 years paid for with cash.  And the next one even sooner with help from the cash flow from the first.   I would have gone with this strategy if I hadn't wasted my 20's on having fun.  By now I could have had 5 all paid for properties in my 40's.  Now I'm married with a kid and soon to be another, so it isn't realistic now, because I need the cash flow from my current duplex to buy the next one with 25% DP.  

Post: Dave Ramsey Philosophy + Buy & Hold Strategy = ........Reality???

Marcus JohnsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Saint Paul, MN
  • Posts 663
  • Votes 512
Originally posted by @Vincent Crane:

The real estate investors who truly grow the largest, are the ones who leverage debt. Gaining 5% appreciation on a $300,000 house where you owe debt, grows your equity pretty significantly vs having a $50,000 SFR in a C class neighborhood that cashflows $400 per month

 Yes, I agree risk = reward or devastation.   Everyone needs to manage their own risk level.   One needs to be wise when using debt for it can lead complete hardship.   

Post: Dave Ramsey Philosophy + Buy & Hold Strategy = ........Reality???

Marcus JohnsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Saint Paul, MN
  • Posts 663
  • Votes 512
Originally posted by @JD Martin:
Originally posted by @Marcus Johnson:

 I'm not going to bother with the numbers, only to point out that everything you posted about Buyer A is true for Buyer B but multiplied by a factor of however many units he/she has minus the incremental cost of the leverage. There is simply no way, for most people, that they have enough years to work another job and save enough cash to have this method of building wealth make sense. Even you realize this, unless you just like carrying notes of 75% of the cost of your units. The "DR" strategy - and it's not even his strategy, just his profit center - only works given enough years or enough outside income earned to save enough cash to purchase enough units to make this strategy work. Time is not your friend with this method; time is your enemy.  

That simply isn't true. If Buyer B leverages 10 properties each @ 180k @ 4% for 30 years, it ends up being very expensive in terms of interest and PMI payments, versus Buyer A which doesn't have these additional costs. Using the example above, if you use a mortgage calculator the interest for the life of the loan is $124,000 and the PMI ends up being $5,000. Multiple that by 10 properties and now your going to pay over 1 million in interest and 50k in PMI. Also, stastically since the leveraged buyer is able to buy more properties versus the cash buyer, the expenses over time are much greater.. If Buyer B is able to buy 10 properties and Buyer A because he pays cash only has 5 properties, statisically Buyer B has a higher rate of expenses then Buyer A because he has 10 roofs versus 5 that could go bad, 20 furnaces that may go bad versus 10, 20 water heaters versus 10, etc.....

Post: Dave Ramsey Philosophy + Buy & Hold Strategy = ........Reality???

Marcus JohnsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Saint Paul, MN
  • Posts 663
  • Votes 512

All I'm trying point out in this experiment is that it's totally possible.  Slow at first, just like a train.  It takes a while for it to get up to speed, but then good luck stopping the train. :)  My own investing ideas are a mixture of low debt, quality duplex's, good neighborhood, high cash flow and 25% DP with conventional loans.  

Post: Dave Ramsey Philosophy + Buy & Hold Strategy = ........Reality???

Marcus JohnsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Saint Paul, MN
  • Posts 663
  • Votes 512
Originally posted by @Brent Coombs:

@JD Martin, ah, it looks like the vote police have waived their objections...

@Marcus Johnson, according to the cash-only philosophy/religion, there will be NO borrowing allowed by Buyer A. If the market won't bear more than $100k when access is needed to its value, then it's $100k LOST!

Not if it helps to prevent a foreclosure, plus the property can simply be sold for 100k if need be.  

Buyer B (who had $200k in the first place but didn't use it for just one property), still had a large enough cash reserve to keep their loans paid on time, and thus was able to ride out the crisis.

In my scenario, Buyer B doesn't have any more money, that's why they had to take out such a large mortgage.  You hear that all the time on the Bigger Pockets forum.  

 Yes, we can all make up scenarios that help to prove our point of view.   I do agree with that.  As for Dave Ramsey, the only time he believes in borrowing money is for your primary home, not investment properties.  And in that case it's that the amount of your mortage payment be no more then 25% of your Gross income and on a 15 year note or better.  I personally believe that putting 20 to 25% DP on investment properties is advantageous because it forces you to have skin in the game and to make good decisions.  Plus it allows for a smaller mortgage amount and less interest paid over the life of the loan.  

Post: Dave Ramsey Philosophy + Buy & Hold Strategy = ........Reality???

Marcus JohnsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Saint Paul, MN
  • Posts 663
  • Votes 512
Originally posted by @Brent Coombs:
Originally posted by @Marcus Johnson:
Originally posted by @JD Martin:

Buying any kind of real estate entails risk, whether you leverage or pay cash...

...If one pays cash, they don't declare bankruptcy because they own the property and can simply sell it for a gain.   

Marcus, just what "gain" are you talking about? 

 Whoops sorry, I didn't mean to use the word gain. I meant to use equity. Unless the house has completely tanked and isn't worth $1, you'd have equity to be able to sell it if you got into a rough spot, unlike someone who borrows and takes a huge mortgage out, they would be completely screwed not being able to sell at a loss, because they don't have any money to make up the loss. Plus they still owe the mortgage.  

Consider this scenario: you bought your home in 2006 for $200k cash and then in 2008 can't pay your taxes and got foreclosed upon. You then ended up with just $50k that your home was then sold for. You hardly got rich that way! You took a risk with your $200k cash, and got burned! What's Dave got to say about that?

Not possible.  The person who has the mortage 99% of the time is the one who defaults and declares bankruptcy.  In your scenario, why wouldn't the cash buyer just sell the property to prevent the foreclosure or better yet borrow against the paid for property.   

Let's use your scenario as an example for the differences between a cash buyer and someone taking out a mortgage.   If two individuals buy an investment property for the purchase price of 200k.  Buyer A has the money saved up and pays cash for the property.   The closing costs are minimal because it's a cash purchase.   Buyer B doesn't have the money, except for 10% down and has to take a mortgage out for 180k, plus 6% closing costs which is the average for my area.   Now the market takes a huge downturn and both properties are now worth 100k and like you said in 2008 both individuals cannot make the tax payments and are being threatened with foreclosure.  

Buyer A can just sell the property worst case or borrow against the property to cover expenses until things improve like the housing market has to the present time.  Buyer B, because they borrowed 180k cannot sell because they owe 180k and have no equity to borrow against.  So they foreclose and now their credit score is damaged and are unable to borrow money on real estate for 5 to 7 years..   Plus they are probably going to be sued for the difference of what the auction brings for the sale of the house.  

Post: Dave Ramsey Philosophy + Buy & Hold Strategy = ........Reality???

Marcus JohnsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Saint Paul, MN
  • Posts 663
  • Votes 512
Originally posted by @JD Martin:

Buying any kind of real estate entails risk, whether you leverage or pay cash. Anyone who has fooled themselves into believing they are playing risk-averse or risk-free because they paid cash is a fool. There is no such thing as owning your properties free and clear; there is always property taxes, insurance, capital expenditures, and maintenance to be paid. The only thing leverage does is add a note to the aforementioned list. If the note takes $200/month from a $500/month free and clear property, but allows for purchase of another $500/month free & clear property, who is running the bigger risk? The guy who now brings in $800/month F&C and has cut his vacancy risk by 50%, or the guy with all his cash sunk in one property? And anyone that is bringing in 7 figures of income and is over leveraged is a fool; if you have made it to that bar, common sense tells you to eliminate some risk or build one hell of a war chest.

 Yes, but there is a difference that your missing.  If one pays cash, that means they owe no one a mortgage or interest.   If one takes out a loan, they owe the mortgage, the interest, the insurance, the taxes, the maintenance, etc....    So if one defaults with a mortgage because they cannot make the payments, they take a huge hit with their credit score and finances and may even declare bankruptcy.   Especially, if the property declines in value and now they owe more on it then its worth.   If one pays cash, they don't declare bankruptcy because they own the property and can simply sell it for a gain.   

Post: Dave Ramsey Philosophy + Buy & Hold Strategy = ........Reality???

Marcus JohnsonPosted
  • Investor
  • Saint Paul, MN
  • Posts 663
  • Votes 512

@JD Martin So do you only look at the upside of leverage?   If you take your same philosophy and apply it to a situation that does take place all of the time, the more risk you take the larger the losses.   So you cannot just say that when you borrow money that it's just a win, win.   Sometimes leveraging properties can completely wipe you out like 2008 when the housing market crashed.